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Winter 2017 2018 Hopes, Thoughts And Any Early Forecasts

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Post by Max90 Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:33 am

Hi folks this might be a bit to earlly but what are your thoughts and hopes for winter 2017-2018?


Last edited by Max90 on Tue Oct 31, 2017 10:55 pm; edited 2 times in total

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Post by HectorO Mon Oct 09, 2017 1:14 pm

Mild and wet. With cold air showing up when most of us are ready for spring, as usual.
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Post by Guest Mon Oct 09, 2017 1:43 pm

I don't think this warm pattern can hold another 6 months so I'm going with a good winter, at least 4 snowfalls of 6 or more inches with 2 of them pushing a foot. That's for you guys. In my neck of the mountains, I'm going to be watching a crap ton of Miller Bs giving you guys the snow I want for myself. What am I basing this on? Absolutely nothing but the idea that this warmth can't last forever. Can it?

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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 09, 2017 2:40 pm

@TheAresian wrote:I don't think this warm pattern can hold another 6 months so I'm going with a good winter, at least 4 snowfalls of 6 or more inches with 2 of them pushing a foot. That's for you guys. In my neck of the mountains, I'm going to be watching a crap ton of Miller Bs giving you guys the snow I want for myself. What am I basing this on? Absolutely nothing but the idea that this warmth can't last forever. Can it?

LOL, Aresian, hopefully not forever, but it sure feels like it.I have trees with color, leaves falling down and it's almost 80 degrees.

I go with my gut with 57 years observing Fall and Winter patterns and that tells me absolutely nothing either, LOL.By Christmas time I usually get a good idea of what's going to happen.Way too early yet to make an educated guess.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Oct 09, 2017 7:45 pm

The way I see it is why would you want a cold weather regime in October? There have been a couple of times in the past where we would have cold and snow in October; does the post Sandy snowstorm ring a bell, only to flip to a warm regime just in time for winter. Let it torch now then ease into a colder pattern come November and beyond.
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Post by amugs Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:45 pm

[quote="nutleyblizzard"]The way I see it is why would you want a cold weather regime in October? There have been a couple of times in the past where we would have cold and snow in October; does the post Sandy snowstorm ring a bell, only to flip to a warm regime just in time for winter. Let it torch now then ease into a colder pattern come November and beyond. [/quote

ABSOUSLUTELY NUTS!!
Here is the EURO ens mean for Dec. Where does one sign
Winter 2017 2018 Hopes, Thoughts And Any Early Forecasts   Ecmwf_10


And we have LR forecast that has a PV perturbation late Oct that would lead the Nov turn around if it comes to fruition of course.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by HectorO Mon Oct 09, 2017 10:34 pm

Mugs you're right, but I just wanted a normal October. I'm more of spring summer and fall fan and I feel cheated out lol.
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