Re: December Obs and Discussion

by **docstox12** Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:24 am

syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?

Yep.Watch a big cutter and temps up in the 50's with 2-3 inches of rain.I've seen that a lot after a cold spell.

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:40 am

syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?

Come up to NH when I go back to school. We have 3' on the ground......and counting. We will probably end up somewhere near 100" when all is said and done this winter.

by **Snow88** Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:48 am

Nam is a little better for tomorrow for the area

Nam has 1-3 inches for the area .

3 is more towards eastern LI

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Dec 29, 2017 10:06 am

Hi res nam looks better for C nj and snj coast not that good to nyc December Obs and Discussion - Page 6 5a465810

by **amugs** Fri Dec 29, 2017 1:25 pm

RGEM - coating to 2"

December Obs and Discussion - Page 6 Rgem_asnow_neus_35

by Guest Fri Dec 29, 2017 2:20 pm

amugs wrote:RGEM - coating to 2"

.
I’ll take my 0.0002” and be happy thank you! Kuumbaya! hurryup

by **frank 638** Fri Dec 29, 2017 2:55 pm

I am happy we had some snow in Dec but I am getting tired of this coating to 3 inches of snow can we get a real storm for crying out loud I just want a freaking blizzard all ready

by Guest Fri Dec 29, 2017 4:04 pm

WWA for Suffolk County LI for 2-4”. Nothing IMBY even though I’m less than 2 miles from there.

by **jmanley32** Fri Dec 29, 2017 7:37 pm

That's odd. I'm not expecting anything maybe a flurry.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Dec 29, 2017 7:46 pm

jmanley32 wrote:That's odd. I'm not expecting anything maybe a flurry.

Only for eastern LI, anything west of Nassau County will see little.

by **amugs** Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:13 pm

I'll take this 1" and run.

December Obs and Discussion - Page 6 0D73488F-8FA1-4E50-8541-03D92F26A6B5.png.6ff760a15e8a35a52636b587a618c919

by **amugs** Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:14 pm

by **aiannone** Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:28 pm

NWS Upton,

As weak low pressure approaches from the west, mainly light snow
expected for the majority of the area on Saturday, with the most
likely time frame from late morning into the afternoon west, and
afternoon/early evening out east. Snow accumulations in most
places should be about an inch from NYC north/west, and at least
1-2 inches farther east, due to high snow ratios despite
relatively modest QPF. These snow ratios should drop off from
about 20:1 to 15:1 in the afternoon as warm advection warms
saturated low layers enough to lead to some riming. Meanwhile, a
leading mid level shortwave disturbance and [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper level]upper level[/url] jet
streak passing through will likely induce development of a weak
inverted trough or surface low just south of Long Island, with
an associated zone of low level convergence leading to somewhat
higher snow totals across parts of Suffolk County on Long
Island, especially the south shore and east end, and so have
issued a [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Winter Weather Advisory]Winter Weather Advisory[/url] for the entire county. Worst
case scenario per multi-model ensemble guidance would lead to
amounts about 1-2 inches higher than forecast, with at least 3
inches from NYC east, and 4-5 inches for Suffolk.

by **Sanchize06** Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:55 pm

0z NAM comes in a little wetter, particularly CNJ/SNJ and LI

December Obs and Discussion - Page 6 Namconus_apcpn_neus_8

by **docstox12** Sat Dec 30, 2017 6:24 am

Yes, a little wetter up here too in the LHV.Now 1 to 2 inches from less than an inch.Won't take much at these ratios.10 degrees now.2 inches would be a gift!!!

by **Radz** Sat Dec 30, 2017 7:20 am

10° with very light snow falling...

by **docstox12** Sat Dec 30, 2017 7:32 am

9 degrees light snow.Ground coated already.

by **algae888** Sat Dec 30, 2017 7:51 am

docstox12 wrote:9 degrees light snow.Ground coated already.

Same here doc 14* degrees lights snow ground covered. National Weather Service has me for 1 to 2" today

by **docstox12** Sat Dec 30, 2017 7:55 am

OK, AL, 2 inches would be a gift on this one! With this cold, every flake is counted,LOL.

by **algae888** Sat Dec 30, 2017 7:57 am

With December likely finishing between -2 and -3 below normal and January likely averaging below normal with the first 10 days well below normal. Add in November and I would like to know when was the last time we had 3 months in a row of below normal temperature departures. Mike or cp can you let me know

by bobjohnsonforthehall Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:01 am

16 degrees with light to moderate snow in Flemington. So cold the roads are covered before the grass.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:16 am

9.6 degrees with steady light snow. At the very least it's freshening up the 2.5 inch snow pack that has steadfastly endured since Christmas morning. I'll take 1-2 inches today and run with it.

It's still amazing to me with all of this arctic air around that we haven't breached zero yet, but I think that's finally coming Sunday night.

Winter as it should be.

I'll check on that Al.

by **SENJsnowman** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:17 am

16* with moderate fluffy snow about halfway up the Jersey coast. NWS calling for 2-4".

Judging by the radar, this could be a nice little event for much of the area.