December Obs and Discussion
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dad4twoboys
1190ftalt
Sparky Sparticles
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Quietace
36 posters
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
Yep.Watch a big cutter and temps up in the 50's with 2-3 inches of rain.I've seen that a lot after a cold spell.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Come up to NH when I go back to school. We have 3' on the ground......and counting. We will probably end up somewhere near 100" when all is said and done this winter.syosnow94 wrote:Woke up to SCI lowered. Scroll mentioning EURO for next week gone, and NWS forecast lowering amounts for tomorrow. (Yes 2-4” would have been nice). This is getting real frustrating real quick. Who wants to bet we get 2 big rainstorms after this cold shot ends?
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Nam is a little better for tomorrow for the area
Nam has 1-3 inches for the area .
3 is more towards eastern LI
Nam has 1-3 inches for the area .
3 is more towards eastern LI
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Hi res nam looks better for C nj and snj coast not that good to nyc

skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
RGEM - coating to 2"


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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
.amugs wrote:RGEM - coating to 2"
I’ll take my 0.0002” and be happy thank you! Kuumbaya!

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Re: December Obs and Discussion
I am happy we had some snow in Dec but I am getting tired of this coating to 3 inches of snow can we get a real storm for crying out loud I just want a freaking blizzard all ready
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
WWA for Suffolk County LI for 2-4”. Nothing IMBY even though I’m less than 2 miles from there.
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
That's odd. I'm not expecting anything maybe a flurry.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:That's odd. I'm not expecting anything maybe a flurry.
Only for eastern LI, anything west of Nassau County will see little.
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
I'll take this 1" and run.


_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion

_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
NWS Upton,
As weak low pressure approaches from the west, mainly light snow
expected for the majority of the area on Saturday, with the most
likely time frame from late morning into the afternoon west, and
afternoon/early evening out east. Snow accumulations in most
places should be about an inch from NYC north/west, and at least
1-2 inches farther east, due to high snow ratios despite
relatively modest QPF. These snow ratios should drop off from
about 20:1 to 15:1 in the afternoon as warm advection warms
saturated low layers enough to lead to some riming. Meanwhile, a
leading mid level shortwave disturbance and [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper level]upper level[/url] jet
streak passing through will likely induce development of a weak
inverted trough or surface low just south of Long Island, with
an associated zone of low level convergence leading to somewhat
higher snow totals across parts of Suffolk County on Long
Island, especially the south shore and east end, and so have
issued a [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Winter Weather Advisory]Winter Weather Advisory[/url] for the entire county. Worst
case scenario per multi-model ensemble guidance would lead to
amounts about 1-2 inches higher than forecast, with at least 3
inches from NYC east, and 4-5 inches for Suffolk.
As weak low pressure approaches from the west, mainly light snow
expected for the majority of the area on Saturday, with the most
likely time frame from late morning into the afternoon west, and
afternoon/early evening out east. Snow accumulations in most
places should be about an inch from NYC north/west, and at least
1-2 inches farther east, due to high snow ratios despite
relatively modest QPF. These snow ratios should drop off from
about 20:1 to 15:1 in the afternoon as warm advection warms
saturated low layers enough to lead to some riming. Meanwhile, a
leading mid level shortwave disturbance and [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=upper level]upper level[/url] jet
streak passing through will likely induce development of a weak
inverted trough or surface low just south of Long Island, with
an associated zone of low level convergence leading to somewhat
higher snow totals across parts of Suffolk County on Long
Island, especially the south shore and east end, and so have
issued a [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=Winter Weather Advisory]Winter Weather Advisory[/url] for the entire county. Worst
case scenario per multi-model ensemble guidance would lead to
amounts about 1-2 inches higher than forecast, with at least 3
inches from NYC east, and 4-5 inches for Suffolk.
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
0z NAM comes in a little wetter, particularly CNJ/SNJ and LI


Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Yes, a little wetter up here too in the LHV.Now 1 to 2 inches from less than an inch.Won't take much at these ratios.10 degrees now.2 inches would be a gift!!!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
10° with very light snow falling...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
9 degrees light snow.Ground coated already.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Same here doc 14* degrees lights snow ground covered. National Weather Service has me for 1 to 2" todaydocstox12 wrote:9 degrees light snow.Ground coated already.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
OK, AL, 2 inches would be a gift on this one! With this cold, every flake is counted,LOL.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
With December likely finishing between -2 and -3 below normal and January likely averaging below normal with the first 10 days well below normal. Add in November and I would like to know when was the last time we had 3 months in a row of below normal temperature departures. Mike or cp can you let me know
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
16 degrees with light to moderate snow in Flemington. So cold the roads are covered before the grass.
bobjohnsonforthehall- Posts : 311
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
9.6 degrees with steady light snow. At the very least it's freshening up the 2.5 inch snow pack that has steadfastly endured since Christmas morning. I'll take 1-2 inches today and run with it.
It's still amazing to me with all of this arctic air around that we haven't breached zero yet, but I think that's finally coming Sunday night.
Winter as it should be.
I'll check on that Al.
It's still amazing to me with all of this arctic air around that we haven't breached zero yet, but I think that's finally coming Sunday night.
Winter as it should be.
I'll check on that Al.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
16* with moderate fluffy snow about halfway up the Jersey coast. NWS calling for 2-4".
Judging by the radar, this could be a nice little event for much of the area.
Judging by the radar, this could be a nice little event for much of the area.
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Very light snow started here 18* Thought it was suppose to start in the afternoon
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Light snow here with a solid coating.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Light snow here. Dusting so far. Every flake sticking lol
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: December Obs and Discussion
Congrats SNJ it's your winter


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