Re: December Obs and Discussion

by **frank 638** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:17 am

Yes it is Frank it is freezing outside I'm working Outdoors at LaGuardia Airport and I have three shirts on heavy jacket and thermal jeans

by **Math23x7** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:06 pm

Here in the Montreal region, it is -5* F, the wind chill is -25* F and there is a healthy snowpack. Tonight, it is forecasted to get down to -15* F with the wind chill going down to -35*F.

by **billg315** Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:57 pm

19* here at 7 p.m. Just put my trash out. I can confirm. It's cold. That is all.

by SnowForest Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:58 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:Here in the Montreal region, it is -5* F, the wind chill is -25* F and there is a healthy snowpack. Tonight, it is forecasted to get down to -15* F with the wind chill going down to -35*F.

Wow, that's brutal cold. Looks like most of NJ can expect temps in lower teens and single digits tonight. Currently 20 degrees here.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:18 pm

17° here and dropping

by **frank 638** Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:53 pm

Down to 19* already and I am working on a new building that is not closed up yet at LaGuardia so it's about another 10 degrees colder than outside cannot wait.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:11 pm

17* winds at 15 mph...brrrr real feel of 5*

by **Radz** Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:20 pm

16.5° winds 5-10mph, feels like an ice box out there

by **amugs** Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:49 pm

16* here and boys on the ice rik tonight

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by **frank 638** Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:29 am

Brrrrrr r 13*with a real feel of 3* dress warmly everyone

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:48 am

@amugs wrote:16* here and boys on the ice rik tonight

Love it Mugs!!

13 degrees. Madonne I'm not use to this.

by **rb924119** Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:58 am

That really is awesome, mugsy. How do you do that??

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:51 am

GFS Ensembles and other models are trending wetter for Saturday's system. I am going to forecast 1-3 inches of snow for NYC, eastern NJ, and LI. Lollipop 4-5" amounts possible. C-2" with lollipop 3"-4" amounts for those N&W. It will be a high ratio / fluffy type of snow day. I will not start a thread. Let's just use this thread to talk about it.

December Obs and Discussion - Page 4 Gefs_qpf_mean_nyc_15.png.340088be1ba1a26b9056e353d0bf7335

December Obs and Discussion - Page 4 Gefs_qpf_mean_nyc_15.png.340088be1ba1a26b9056e353d0bf7335

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:51 am

Reason I like more along the coast is due to jet enhancement / extension

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by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:10 am

2 days left. 50 miles more n and w shift and all coastal areas would be in .4" +. Let's get her done. With these ratios we could reach warning criteria IF WE GET MORE IF A SHIFT. I'm just hoping here

by **amugs** Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:58 am

So you areally in the 3-5" with high ratio if you get .3-.4qpf easliy. These little costal have trended more NW and this airmass is ready to produce.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:59 am

5.0 degrees, snow on the ground still from Christmas Eve. I don't think any of the 2.5 inches has melted yet.

Boy how expectations can change the mood. Now that we all put the 30-40 inch clown maps from last week out of our collective memories we can get our juices flowing for a possible 1-4 this Saturday.

I like the trend especially for LI, give me 2-3 Saturday IMBY and I'll be a happy man.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:29 am

I am going to update my SCI to 75% for at least 1 inch of snow falling in NYC this Saturday. Short range models are coming in wetter for this event.

by **frank 638** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:32 am

13* trying to stay warm I have 3 heavy shirts on with heavy jacket and I am still cold

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:34 am

NAM was so close to moving heavy precip on shore.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:44 am

Hi-res NAM Saturday afternoon

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by **aiannone** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:47 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hi-res NAM Saturday afternoon

Not bad!

by **amugs** Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:57 am

CMC PULLIN A PETTY BABY ON THIS!

UHHMMM ...............WONT BACK DOWN, ANYONE???

by **jimv45** Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:01 am

With this cold will not take much, like cp said i will take a few inches and be happy

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:04 am

@amugs wrote:CMC PULLIN A PETTY BABY ON THIS!

UHHMMM ...............WONT BACK DOWN, ANYONE???

Other than LI basically .1-.2 qpf through most of the area, would translate to a basic 2 -3 inch snowfall. I'll take it.

Love the Tom Petty reference, RIP legend.

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