Possible Snowstorm December 8th-9th

remeber west = warm which = mixing issues

Frank needs to up his percentage of the snow index it's still at 10%

Lee's "first call"...

Frank better have a serious and I mean SERIOUS girlfriend. His lack of excitement and contribution is unacceptable. And where is Math the new heatmiser?

jake732 wrote:remeber west = warm which = mixing issues

Not worries about that with latest runs Jake. Heaviest precip comes after sundown sun angle in our favor giddy up

Yes only 10% chance pretty sure it's gotta be higher than that. Could still be at work too. Maybe can't do that from phone I dunno.

One thing I will say is these systems almost always seem to be quicker to move out than anticipated, and so snow totals on models often need to be shaved off the top a little. And I wouldn't entirely rule out boundary layer issue in certain locals just yet either.

syosnow94 wrote:Frank better have a serious and I mean SERIOUS girlfriend.  His lack of excitement and contribution is unacceptable.  And where is Math the new heatmiser?

HOLY SIKES JIMMY CALL IN OUT THE BOYS IN A BIG WAY LOL!!!
@ALEX HELLO?? What did I say kid.

I wonder if we will see winter weather advisory got up by tomorrow night

amugs wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:Frank better have a serious and I mean SERIOUS girlfriend.  His lack of excitement and contribution is unacceptable.  And where is Math the new heatmiser?

HOLY SIKES JIMMY CALL IN OUT THE BOYS IN A BIG WAY LOL!!!
@ALEX HELLO?? What did I say kid.

You bet I am Amugs. The first snow of the year has a weird effect on me. I am some kind of fired up individual right now!!!

amugs wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:Frank better have a serious and I mean SERIOUS girlfriend.  His lack of excitement and contribution is unacceptable.  And where is Math the new heatmiser?

HOLY SIKES JIMMY CALL IN OUT THE BOYS IN A BIG WAY LOL!!!
@ALEX HELLO?? What did I say kid.

You nailed it lol!

meh, congrats coast lol

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-082100-
Sussex-Warren-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
349 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey, east
central Pennsylvania and northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Snow showers or snow squalls may coat some roads with up to an inch
of snow Sunday morning in parts of the Lehigh Valley, Pocono Mountains,
and into far northwest New Jersey with the higher terrain more susceptible
for an accumulation.

There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals. The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm. Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI. The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue. The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

Math23x7 wrote:There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals.  The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.  

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm.  Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI.  The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue.  The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

Well I remember that storm like it was yesterday I'm on the coast in ocean county and we got burried with 30 inches!

Math23x7 wrote:There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals.  The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.  

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm.  Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI.  The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue.  The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

My man how’ve you been. What happened to you? Mr negativity these days. Love ya though.

syosnow94 wrote:

Math23x7 wrote:There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals.  The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.  

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm.  Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI.  The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue.  The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

My man how’ve you been.  What happened to you?  Mr negativity these days. Love ya though.

James, check the banter thread.

So it's funny, the only time I have these days is when I'm at work! Am I reading these soundings correctly, seems a little warm midlevels at the onset, temps not really dropping until later due to the column cooling, maybe not as much snow as we think....

Dr no drinkig the cool aid with Math LOL!!
For the coastal plain zoo it maybe an issue.Inland not as much IMO.
We can look tomorrow to see we our BL are at.

WHIT GOLD FTFW!!!!!!!!

GEFS!!

Dunnzoo wrote:So it's funny, the only time I have these days is when I'm at work! Am I reading these soundings correctly, seems a little warm midlevels at the onset, temps not really dropping until later due to the column cooling, maybe not as much snow as we think....

No, those soundings are fine. The 0°C line is the thicker, black, dashed line that extends up and to the right from the temperature label. That column is definitely sufficiently cold for snow. Skew-t'sare tough; too many lines ahaha

amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

RGEM shifted west lol

Math23x7 wrote:There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals.  The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.  

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm.  Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI.  The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue.  The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

Still think Long Island struggles with accumulations till late Saturday. Probably wet on the roads.

sroc4 wrote:

amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

NO FU guys in the snow capitol of the NE - I hope it changes to rain!!!!

LOOK - not a close up but.................. how about almost .75"