Re: Possible Snowstorm December 8th-9th

by **mmanisca** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:09 pm

Math23x7 wrote:There has obviously been a west trend as of late which means that two days out, we are in some decent snow totals. The question is: will the west trend continue to the point where the low is so far west it results in rain for the region and snow north and west.

Interestingly enough, from what I heard, it was two days prior to the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard on the 12Z NAM that the models began trending west with the big storm. Recall that by the night of the 24th the jackpot zones were over eastern LI. The western trend continued to the point where the snow totals in eastern LI went down as dry slotting became an issue. The jackpot totals ended up being over NE NJ with 30" snows in some spots.

Still think Long Island struggles with accumulations till late Saturday. Probably wet on the roads.

by **amugs** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:10 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

NO FU guys in the snow capitol of the NE - I hope it changes to rain!!!! alien

LOOK - not a close up but.................. how about almost .75"

by Guest Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:15 pm

sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:20 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:So it's funny, the only time I have these days is when I'm at work! Am I reading these soundings correctly, seems a little warm midlevels at the onset, temps not really dropping until later due to the column cooling, maybe not as much snow as we think....

No, those soundings are fine. The 0°C line is the thicker, black, dashed line that extends up and to the right from the temperature label. That column is definitely sufficiently cold for snow. Skew-t'sare tough; too many lines ahaha

Ugh! Every time I think I have these figured out... not so much! I need a refresher!

by **sroc4** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:28 pm

Hardey Har Mugsy ol pal. Im just starting to look at some of the details over LI and Im loving what Im seeing. At the start of the precip 2m temps in mid to upper 30's with DP in the mid 20's. Very quickly 2M temps drop to low 30's 31-34. With 850's and 925mb all well below freezing the entire time it will accumulate for sure if this holds true. Again its all preliminary

by **sroc4** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:30 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

Yes sir. We are in a good spot to jackpot for the moment if it all pans out. Not a done deal yet though

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:39 pm

sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

Yes sir. We are in a good spot to jackpot for the moment if it all pans out. Not a done deal yet though

OK, maybe I need to stay overnight Friday into Saturday in Commack!

by track17 Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:40 pm

Skins
You are the expert on weather at the coast what are you thinking?

by **frank 638** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:41 pm

i wonder how far west this baby will come and how high will our snow totals go up

by Guest Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:41 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

Yes sir. We are in a good spot to jackpot for the moment if it all pans out. Not a done deal yet though

OK, maybe I need to stay overnight Friday into Saturday in Commack!

Commack Motor Inn? You can pay by the hour. Loved the place in HS and College. Very Happy

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:44 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

Yes sir. We are in a good spot to jackpot for the moment if it all pans out. Not a done deal yet though

OK, maybe I need to stay overnight Friday into Saturday in Commack!

Commack Motor Inn? You can pay by the hour. Loved the place in HS and College.

No visiting my Aunt and Uncle tomorrow....

by **MattyICE** Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:45 pm

Makes me much less hesitant to accept the NAM with the RGEM also onboard with similar support.

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:07 pm

I think im going to have to come home for a couple days for the first snowfall lol

by **amugs** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:12 pm

aiannone wrote:I think im going to have to come home for a couple days for the first snowfall lol

Alex the 13th there is anoth we one knocking too
Sroc Love ya brother you know I was kidding
I will be watching ol whitey fall on my outdoor ice rink as I sip my home made bailey's and devour my homemade amaretto cannoli cream and chips.

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:15 pm

amugs wrote:
aiannone wrote:I think im going to have to come home for a couple days for the first snowfall lol

Alex the 13th there is anoth we one knocking too
Sroc Love ya brother you know I was kidding
I will be watching ol whitey fall on my outdoor ice rink as I sip my home made bailey's and devour my homemade amaretto cannoli cream and chips.

Homemade Baileys! Party at mugsys! drunken

Shouldn't be too hard for me to get there!

by **mikeypizano** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:18 pm

amugs wrote:
aiannone wrote:I think im going to have to come home for a couple days for the first snowfall lol

Alex the 13th there is anoth we one knocking too
Sroc Love ya brother you know I was kidding
I will be watching ol whitey fall on my outdoor ice rink as I sip my home made bailey's and devour my homemade amaretto cannoli cream and chips.

Homemade wine is where its at! I will be racking a batch of apple this weekend into the primary fermenter...

by **amugs** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:23 pm

Nice Mike and we make home made Jack Daniels Cider. U at riding if u have this peeps. Ohhh Nellie.
Zoo ur gonna be skin up at the Commack Motor Lodge like the motel in Shitz Creek from the Flix LOL!!

by Carter bk Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:26 pm

Banter thread

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:30 pm

Who's here for the 0z NAM?!

by **mikeypizano** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:32 pm

aiannone wrote:Who's here for the 0z NAM?!

I am!

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:35 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
aiannone wrote:Who's here for the 0z NAM?!

I am!

by **mikeypizano** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:35 pm

aiannone wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
aiannone wrote:Who's here for the 0z NAM?!

I am!

I sent you a friend request on Facebook and Mugs, I sent you a PM

by **aiannone** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:40 pm

RGEM is also west
Possible Snowstorm December 8th-9th - Page 12 Rgem_m11

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:58 pm

aiannone wrote:RGEM is also west

Looks fantastic to me.

by Guest Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:59 pm

Carter bk wrote:Banter thread

Dude first storm of the year and we are all jacked up. We lived for this, and your second post is this ?

by **mikeypizano** Thu Dec 07, 2017 9:00 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Carter bk wrote:Banter thread

Dude first storm of the year and we are all jacked up. We lived for this, and your second post is this ?

FETCH THE BAN HAMMER!

by emokid51783 Thu Dec 07, 2017 9:02 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
amugs wrote:GEFS!!

Do you have a view with LI?

Scott. .75” Nassau/queens border to 1.10” over Montauk. .85” IMBY. .95” in yours Verbatim.

Yes sir. We are in a good spot to jackpot for the moment if it all pans out. Not a done deal yet though

OK, maybe I need to stay overnight Friday into Saturday in Commack!

Commack Motor Inn? You can pay by the hour. Loved the place in HS and College.

Oh Syo, those were the days.. remember the jungle room lol. Now I'm just hoping for white gold in Jersey City

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