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December 9th Storm - Snow Map

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Dec 08, 2017 9:31 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:

are you working the storm?

I'm sure I will be getting called in tomorrow at some point
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Dec 08, 2017 9:37 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:

are you working the storm?

I'm sure I will be getting called in tomorrow at some point
be safe..
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Post by Fededle22 Fri Dec 08, 2017 9:42 pm

I hate to ask this, but I am supposed to be traveling to Lynbrook, LI tomorrow for an early family Christmas celebration starting at 1pm. What can I expect in terms of conditions? Thanks in advance for any information.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Dec 08, 2017 9:46 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:

are you working the storm?


I'm sure I will be getting called in tomorrow at some point
be safe..

Thank you
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Post by track17 Fri Dec 08, 2017 9:55 pm

Skins what is your final call for us

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Dec 08, 2017 10:11 pm

3-6
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Dec 08, 2017 10:13 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:3-6

I'll take it!
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Post by mikeypizano Fri Dec 08, 2017 10:17 pm

What about me skins? Near Scranton , PA.
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Post by track17 Fri Dec 08, 2017 10:18 pm

Nice skins thank you

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Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:34 pm

Nothing like drinking and tracking or more or less reading others reports about upcoming storm. 1st snow of year the year I am suprised how dead the forum is.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:41 pm

i hear ya, its not go be upon us till morning though.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:44 pm

True but this board usually blows up days before for moderate events like this. Its usually about the tracking more then the event. Yes performance is important but it is what leads to it that matters.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:45 pm

@2004blackwrx wrote:True but this board usually blows up days before for moderate events like this. Its usually about the tracking more then the event. Yes performance is important but it is what leads to it that matters.
yeah i dunno then.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:56 pm

Just looking at current radar I see a miss

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Post by Carter bk Fri Dec 08, 2017 11:59 pm

On accuweather radar u can actually see when the heavy snow is above u its cool. That one atorm a few years back i watched the heavy bands stop in queens and head back out it was cool and heart breaking at same time

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Post by mikeypizano Sat Dec 09, 2017 12:04 am

Accuweather has me in nothing, wunderground says 1-3...
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Post by hyde345 Sat Dec 09, 2017 12:34 am

@2004blackwrx wrote:Just looking at current radar I see a miss

Precip will start moving more northerly when partial phase happens between upper trough and low. Dutchess county still looks like it should get 3 to 4 inches.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Dec 09, 2017 12:46 am

Okay it is bizarre that literally no one is here, but with the non event hurricanes over the summer/fall we had more action and this is what we are all about SNOW! I guess we see who the true weenies are lol
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Post by docstox12 Sat Dec 09, 2017 1:00 am

We will see what the radar looks like in the morning.NWS has me now 3 to 4 inches so its a bump up from the 1 to 3 earlier.
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Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 09, 2017 1:16 am

For anyone still up worried about the lack of precip fret not.  Looking at the current 500mb charts you can see the trough is still positive tilt.  It wasn't supposed to go neutral until tomorrow.  The other absolutely beautiful feature is the 300mb jet streak in absolutely ideal position and is 160+kts!!  When the low moves further north and the trough tilts towards neutral you will see the precip expand N&W and heavy bands set up with really nice upper level divergence in the R rear quadrant of that jet streak.  Remember this is supposed to be a moderate event.  I'm off to bed.  Be on in the am. Ciao! 

December 9th Storm - Snow Map - Page 5 500mb10

December 9th Storm - Snow Map - Page 5 500mb_sf
December 9th Storm - Snow Map - Page 5 300mb_sf

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
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Post by aiannone Sat Dec 09, 2017 1:45 am

Arrived back on LI. Ready for the snow
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Post by Radz Sat Dec 09, 2017 3:38 am

Short range models such as the HRRR put the onset of accumulating snow north and west of NYC around noon and expanding as the two systems interact later in the afternoon - and even at that, very dry air up here to over come. Hopefully some banding will get pulled back NW after saturation as the low wraps up... looking fwd to seeing some good snows as my Christmas lights turn on this evening!
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Post by Scullybutcher Sat Dec 09, 2017 5:07 am

Hate to be that guy but, looking at the radar is this thing going to bust?
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Post by Guest Sat Dec 09, 2017 5:21 am

@Scullybutcher wrote:Hate to be that guy but, looking at the radar is this thing going to bust?

Sculls I’m with you. I’m worried. Yes I saw what sroc4 posted and I trust him but snow was supposed to start around 6 am. It’s 5:15 and the radar is absolutely empty over all of Jersey save for a flurry or two. Not gonna lie. IM GOING BACK TO BED BUT IM WORRIED. HOPE sRoc is right. Shocked Shocked Shocked

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Post by track17 Sat Dec 09, 2017 6:04 am

I just looked at a radar and nothing in nj. At all the whole day. Did this move east because it is obvious we are not getting anything based on the future radar I looked at kinda sad. The Mets and models messed up bad here.

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