NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Long Range Thread 16.0

Page 7 of 40 Previous  1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 23 ... 40  Next

Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by frank 638 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:50 am

This is getting very exciting I don't want to jinx it let's hope these Trends continue for today tomorrow Monday and Tuesday

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2188
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by dkodgis on Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:56 am

Anticipation. If I can wait a year for a birthday, I can wait until Thursday. Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.
dkodgis
dkodgis
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1373
Reputation : 97
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 10:32 am

I really liked the 500mb map depiction of the 12z NAM. Stronger ridge and shortwave lagging behind more thus causing earlier interaction with the northern stream.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 10:55 am

Yes, I think the NAM would have been a BIG run. Also, anybody else notice the fact that per models this will be a WARM CORE system???? That would be beyond incredible, but is also the reason we are seeing outputs of extreme bombogenesis and lows that are sub-960 mb on modeling. The snow rates would be insane in the convective banding mid true.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Dec 30, 2017 10:57 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:I really liked the 500mb map depiction of the 12z NAM. Stronger ridge and shortwave lagging behind more thus causing earlier interaction with the northern stream.

I like the tempered enthusiasm today from everyone regarding the possible outcomes for Thursday. Jman calling it wishcasting last night I also saw as a big positive. If he doesn't jump on board until the day before I think we're onto something.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6482
Reputation : 229
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Dec 30, 2017 10:58 am

@rb924119 wrote:Yes, I think the NAM would have been a BIG run. Also, anybody else notice the fact that per models this will be a WARM CORE system???? That would be beyond incredible, but is also the reason we are seeing outputs of extreme bombogenesis and lows that are sub-960 mb on modeling. The snow rates would be insane in the convective banding mid true.

East big guy, tempered enthusiasm. We've got a long way to go.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6482
Reputation : 229
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:00 am

The southern jet streak is lagging behind more on the GFS at hr 90.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:02 am

That was just general discussion, CP, not excitement for our area per se' lol just remarking on how amazing that would be, regardless of whether it hit or not haha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:03 am

Earlier phase on GFS......coming further west again.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:04 am

@rb924119 wrote:That was just general discussion, CP, not excitement for our area per se' lol just remarking on how amazing that would be, regardless of whether it hit or not haha

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

We can all dream. Would love to see it.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6482
Reputation : 229
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by MattyICE on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:05 am

Look at those heights rise at hour 114 over Nova Scotia. Another key trend to keep an eye on.

MattyICE

Posts : 75
Reputation : 5
Join date : 2017-11-10
Age : 35
Location : Clifton, NJ (Eastern Passaic County)

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:06 am

HOLY CRAP GFS DROPS IT 14 MB IN SIX HOURS!!!!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:15 am

Ukie looks like a hit
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4407
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:16 am

EVERYONE TAKE NOTICE: In addition to tempered enthusiasm and cautious optimism if the euro, or any other model for that matter, shows a huge hit please DO NOT post any snow maps in this thread at this time. Please refer to the banter thread with all snow maps until further notice. We will try and keep all superstitions in line for this one. No KOD’s in this thread.

Thank you,
Management geek

P.S. I’m being serious though. No snow maps

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
WINTER 2020/2021 SNOW TOTALS 7.25"(First snow Dec 16th/17th)
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"[/size]
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6671
Reputation : 291
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:18 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:19 am

@sroc4 wrote:EVERYONE TAKE NOTICE:  In addition to tempered enthusiasm and cautious optimism if the euro, or any other model for that matter, shows a huge hit  please DO NOT post any snow maps in this thread at this time. Please refer to the banter thread with all snow maps until further notice. We will try and keep all superstitions in line for this one. No KOD’s in this thread.

Thank you,
Management geek

P.S.  I’m being serious though. No snow maps

thank you!! I am very superstitious about things like this!! Did you catch any big fish...
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2805
Reputation : 75
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 56
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by SoulSingMG on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:21 am

@sroc4 wrote:EVERYONE TAKE NOTICE:  In addition to tempered enthusiasm and cautious optimism if the euro, or any other model for that matter, shows a huge hit  please DO NOT post any snow maps in this thread at this time. Please refer to the banter thread with all snow maps until further notice. We will try and keep all superstitions in line for this one. No KOD’s in this thread.

Thank you,
Management geek

P.S.  I’m being serious though. No snow maps

I am obsessed with this post. And 1,000% agree, FWIW. savior
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2732
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:21 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"
Are u sure??? 12z UKIE is not out yet on my site.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:25 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"
Are u sure??? 12z UKIE is not out yet on my site.
I guess its legit. I'm hearing a sub 980 over the BM.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:26 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"
Are u sure??? 12z UKIE is not out yet on my site.
.

Me either, but this is the best I could get from my source:

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Img_1410

Apparently it's a BM track.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5172
Reputation : 189
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by SoulSingMG on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:31 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"
Are u sure??? 12z UKIE is not out yet on my site.
.

Me either, but this is the best I could get from my source:

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Img_1410

Apparently it's a BM track.

shocked

I love the Ukie. Always have.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2732
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:33 am

@sroc4 wrote:EVERYONE TAKE NOTICE:  In addition to tempered enthusiasm and cautious optimism if the euro, or any other model for that matter, shows a huge hit  please DO NOT post any snow maps in this thread at this time. Please refer to the banter thread with all snow maps until further notice. We will try and keep all superstitions in line for this one. No KOD’s in this thread.

Thank you,
Management geek

P.S.  I’m being serious though. No snow maps

Can I also add one addendum to this.

No declarations of how Red Sox Suck or the Cape is gonna get buried before a flake even falls, allusions to 100 mph winds which never happen, or any other such imaginary images brought on by the operational run of any major model. Many here have ODS (Operational Delusional Syndrome, as a side not I was cured of this same malady several years ago) and their ODS posts should be limited to banter only.

Maybe we should even have an "EXTREME BANTER" thread for said individuals.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6482
Reputation : 229
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:33 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ukie looks like a hit

From Armando: "UKMET is a bomb"
Are u sure??? 12z UKIE is not out yet on my site.
.

Me either, but this is the best I could get from my source:

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Img_1410

Apparently it's a BM track.
I'm getting my sources from the American WX site. They are saying its a big hit.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:44 am

CMC is stuck at hr 30.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1681
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:45 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:EVERYONE TAKE NOTICE:  In addition to tempered enthusiasm and cautious optimism if the euro, or any other model for that matter, shows a huge hit  please DO NOT post any snow maps in this thread at this time. Please refer to the banter thread with all snow maps until further notice. We will try and keep all superstitions in line for this one. No KOD’s in this thread.

Thank you,
Management geek

P.S.  I’m being serious though. No snow maps

Can I also add one addendum to this.

No declarations of how Red Sox Suck or the Cape is gonna get buried before a flake even falls, allusions to 100 mph winds which never happen, or any other such imaginary images brought on by the operational run of any major model. Many here have ODS (Operational Delusional Syndrome, as a side not I was cured of this same malady several years ago) and their ODS posts should be limited to banter only.

Maybe we should even have an "EXTREME BANTER" thread for said individuals.

Lol. Noted

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
WINTER 2020/2021 SNOW TOTALS 7.25"(First snow Dec 16th/17th)
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"[/size]
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6671
Reputation : 291
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Long Range Thread 16.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 7 of 40 Previous  1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 23 ... 40  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum