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Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:54 pm

wow 10 mb stronger 983, still looks bout same as 18z, whoich is fine. at least didnt pull a nam or go east.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:56 pm

actually surface is smidge eaST.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:58 pm

CMC looks east too. GFS/CMC just develop the low too far east of Florida, it's always going to be east, unless it develops it earlier and west

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:59 pm

i SAW SURFACE SHOWED RAIN FOR CAPE SO I LOOKED AT TEMPS, SO THE STORM IS ACTUALLY GO RAISE SURFzCE TEMPS INTO THE 40S THERE AND MID 30S HERE?
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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:00 pm

CMC actually better aloft

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:02 pm

CMC is actually a very nice hit for Jersey shore, NYC, and LI. Not really sure how though with the LP so far east

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:04 pm

Wow CMC has a godzilla for CT! and almost into the area.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:05 pm

Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th - Page 6 Gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_14

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:06 pm

The western side of the precip is more expansive and intense and it makes a curve towards Nw a bit.  We can see how close we are to  a godzilla or even more.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:09 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:08 pm

If we still cant post snow maps please move it for me, CT and LI get it good and this with LP way east, its just a huge storm. and the center of the storm is in that blank zone so that makes zero sense.

Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th - Page 6 Gem_as10


Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:10 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:09 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:The western side of the precip is more expansive and intense and it makes a curve towards NE a bit.  We can see how close we are to  a godzilla or even more.

Still doesn't look like something I can trust haha

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:11 pm

@Sanchize06 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:The western side of the precip is more expansive and intense and it makes a curve towards NE a bit.  We can see how close we are to  a godzilla or even more.

Still doesn't look like something I can trust haha
note what i added to my post, there is no snow where the rest of the storm is, no sense.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:18 pm

Jeff on news 7 says major storm with snow and wind or OTS. did not lean either way.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:18 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Sanchize06 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:The western side of the precip is more expansive and intense and it makes a curve towards NE a bit.  We can see how close we are to  a godzilla or even more.

Still doesn't look like something I can trust haha
note what i added to my post, there is no snow where the rest of the storm is, no sense.

Yeah, it's odd. Would like to see if the UKIE is west, then I'd feel better

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Post by sroc4 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:47 pm


That is an IVT creating this second precip shield. Def possible. I mentioned it previously.

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:49 pm

@sroc4 wrote:

That is an IVT creating this second precip shield. Def possible. I mentioned it previously.

Then I feel even less confident if it's an IVT. Those are impossible to trust haha

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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:52 pm

@sroc4 wrote:

That is an IVT creating this second precip shield. Def possible. I mentioned it previously.

That's in response the negative titling of the PV lobe of energy, while the main low is from the lead energy. That's also why we are seeing these weird looking precip maps; two forcing maxima embedded in a larger region of low- and and upper-level support.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:55 pm

In other words there's just way to much going on for the models to get it right. I wonder if they ever will before Thurs.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:01 am

Happy New year!!!!
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:04 am

Happy New Year, everybody!! Let's ring it in with a bang and a Frsnkzilla!!!

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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:11 am

Happy New Year people here is to everyone's Heath and happiness and hopefully lots of SNOW
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Post by frank 638 Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:22 am

Happy new year everyone let's have healthy happy New year with a big blizzard

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:23 am

The navgem was a huge bm blizzard if it wasn't stated already. Is ukie out yet?
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Post by Grselig Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:23 am

Happy New Years. Have fun. Be happy. Be healthy. May we enjoy tons of white gold!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jan 01, 2018 12:30 am

Happy and Healthy New Year!! Let's tip a glass to some good runs!!
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