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Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

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Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 31, 2017 6:33 pm

Guys thank you for the update I will check back later on tonight stay safe everyone my fingers are crossed for a possibly major Nor'easter I hope we get a big blizzard for everyone and a happy New Year stay safe

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 6:44 pm

Gee syo I couldn't feel the sarcasm from the comment to the gefs being east lol.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 6:46 pm

BTW the gefs aren't really east from what I can see.
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Dec 31, 2017 7:04 pm

Madonne, give it a rest with this throwing in the towel crap already! It isn’t over until the fat lady sings! And I don’t hear any singing...
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Post by deadrabbit79 Sun Dec 31, 2017 7:35 pm

Which is why everyone should just go enjoy the holiday until tomorrow night even Tuesday. If you are gonna throw in the towel then pick it up again and throw it in again etc etc with every model run you are in for a very long and torturous next 2-3 days.

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Post by aiannone Sun Dec 31, 2017 8:32 pm

SREFs are NW. I’m going out for the night. Of course I’ll look at the 0z runs on my phone while I’m out but probably won’t post until our big 12z runs tmw. Happy new year guys!Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th - Page 4 A9eeba10
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 8:36 pm

Are we looking at the possibility of a major freezing rain storm IF this gets too close to the coast? With the power of this storm winds etc. that would be very very bad. I understand the upper levels can warm to rain but the surface is so cold it would freeze prolly before it hit the ground. This is all a hypothetical question because that has not been mentioned much yet but have heard some talk.
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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:20 pm

Now I have both eyebrows raised after those SREFS. Expecting big NAM run here folks.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:21 pm

Noticeably stronger lead energy and northern stream is faster and further south.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:24 pm

Mini-ridge between the energies is much more muted as a result of faster and further south northern stream, likely will see earlier interaction. How early? That's pending.....

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:34 pm

NAM got some ice on it tonight? running bit slow.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:37 pm

WOW gigantic shift east on LP development, not good. Instead of south tip FL its NE of Bahamas, unless I am not reading it right?


Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:38 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:38 pm

Huge, I MEAN HUGE IMPROVEMENTS! Going negative over Alabama!!

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:38 pm

Definitely more digging this run, could be a good one

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:40 pm

Okay I obviously misread it opps.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:41 pm

Big hit coming it looks like!

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:41 pm

weird looking, it has like a few LP centers I didnt know which to look at.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:42 pm

Dear Lord it looks like its gonna go NNE!
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Post by Radz Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:45 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Huge, I MEAN HUGE IMPROVEMENTS! Going negative over Alabama!!

WOW NAMed!
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:46 pm

Or it'll just go east, that's interesting

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:46 pm

Looks like its going due east OTS, explain?
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:47 pm

@Sanchize06 wrote:Or it'll just go east, that's interesting
Yep worst thing we seen yet, lets hop its a bad run. straigfht OTS would be quite the coup for the NAM versus all the others.
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Post by Radz Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:49 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Sanchize06 wrote:Or it'll just go east, that's interesting
Yep worst thing we seen yet, lets hop its a bad run. straigfht OTS would be quite the coup for the NAM versus all the others.

No north movement at all blah!
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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:51 pm

I don't even know what happened there, so I'm not even gonna try ahaha that was just strange. But I didn't like howntue western ridge devolved toward the end.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:57 pm

@rb924119 wrote:I don't even know what happened there, so I'm not even gonna try ahaha that was just strange. But I didn't like howntue western ridge devolved toward the end.
well i know we dont live and die by a model run or try not too but if the other models do that i think its safe to say it aint happening cuz thats a huge change.
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