January 4th Snowstorm: 1st Call Snow Map

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:Hi-Res

You have to love this map, our area 8-15 and beantown gets 3 and most of eastern Massachusetts rain.

I think everyone would take this. We deserve this map for what a headache this storm has been lol

The dark blues on this graph represent areas of subsidence on the NAM. An area between two heavy bands of snow could be "dry slotted" in a sense. There is always a "screw zone" with every big/powerful storm and it's unpredictable where it sets up.

THIS IS A GREAT SIGN!!!!!!!!!
RH IS SHOWING GREAT LIFT AND PUTS THE LHV AND NNJ BACK IN THE GAME!!

945mb !! Holy smokes! Frank do you think those winds on the 3km nam verify? I dunno how well they do compared to the Euro that always seems to be high, 3km nam i usually do not see come in this high except for LI but they got HWW or BW all way back to NW of NYC verbatim.

3km 15.4 NYC so around 12-15 for me, heck yes ill take it, who knows though 18z could see 20-30 again this storm is causing a wirlwind of model outcomes.

Florida getting intense snow rates at the moment.

Frank_Wx wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:Hi-Res

You have to love this map, our area 8-15 and beantown gets 3 and most of eastern Massachusetts rain.

F them

CP's revenge runs amok in that certain town.PLEASE let this happen.

jmanley32 wrote:3km 15.4 NYC so around 12-15 for me, heck yes ill take it, who knows though 18z could see 20-30 again this storm is causing a wirlwind of model outcomes.

Let's not get greedy. Lets revel in the 12-15 and that Beantown is getting 3 inches and eastern Mass rain. How can you ask for more than that?

This from a pro met:

N & W people relax - the inflow is awesome. Precip will respond.

250 jet structure will aid in this development just give it its due here.

LI peeps better not say boo here - you are getting teh goods big time this is about getting the NYC on W and N to share in this.

12z RGEM not great. About 10mm for NYC

Lol have winds ever verified from a storm? I can't remember any nor'easter actually verifying

emokid51783 wrote:Lol have winds ever verified from a storm? I can't remember any nor'easter actually verifying

They never seem to reach the surface which is why I don't talk about them much unless I feel like conditions were ripe. In this case, I do not. Jersey Shore and LI obviously will see the best gusts.

Ugg 10mm, no thats like a couple inches, toss it lol. Emokid your right but yes they have verified, last year we had a big one in Feb. verified to a T, frank gave me props for my best post ever I remember.

Mid-level lownalready taking on a comma head appearance over Alabama. Great sign.

Seems to be a lot of "Beanis" envy going on.

Taffy wrote:Seems to be a lot of "Beanis" envy going on.

hysterical

Frank_Wx wrote:12z RGEM not great. About 10mm for NYC

Frank I am mobile right now. What did RGEM show for CLI?

RGEM develops the low NE of the Bahamas, seems too far east to me

The expanse of snow over Florida is something to see. Right now 36* with heavy rain in Jacksonville but snowing heavily just 10 miles west of the center of Jacksonville and as far south as Gainesville. Wow.

RGEM snow map

NYC, Jersey Shore, and LI with ratios will still likely see 6" from this run

amugs wrote:This from a pro met:

N & W people relax - the inflow is awesome.  Precip will respond.

250 jet structure will aid in this development just give it its due here.

LI peeps better not say boo here - you are getting teh goods big time this is about getting the NYC on W and N to share in this.

BOO. BOO. BOO. BOO. BOO

Are we going to live and die with the NAM right now even though some of the other models are MUCH less impressive? Anyone have the HRRR

syosnow94 wrote:Are we going to live and die with the NAM right now even though some of the other models are MUCH less impressive?  Anyone have the HRRR

Still too early to look at HRRR. RAP is in line with NAM. SREFS trended wetter this morning. Bring .50 to NYC. Consensus might be a mix between NAM and global models. We'll know more when the globals come out.

Frank_Wx wrote:RGEM snow map

Anything is on the table and this has as good a chance as any others and has support from the major models as disappointing as it would be.

RGEM trended in the right direction