January 4th Snowstorm: 1st Call Snow Map

Frank_Wx wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:This run will 12"+ NYC south and east

To clarify, just for coastal SNJ and east end of LI

Yeah, doesn't quite make it into NYC. Thought it would

NAM

WOW! Taunton got aggressive! That is the warning issued for Hartford, CT so they like the west trend!

238 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
impossible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches, with
localized amounts up to 16 inches, are expected. Increasing
westerly winds with times with gusts up around 40 mph, downed
tree limbs and power outages are possible.

* WHERE...All of Southern New England except east and southeast
coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

Hi res NAM is wow

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Very cold wind chills
possible. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the
morning commute on Thursday. In addition, areas of poor
visibility are expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4
inches are expected. Wind chills could range from 15 to 25 below
zero Thursday night into Friday, and from 25 to 35 below zero
Friday night into Saturday.

* WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Northern Wayne, Lackawanna, Luzerne,
Pike and Southern Wayne Counties. In New York, Sullivan County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 1 AM to 7 PM EST
Thursday. For the Wind Chill Watch, from Thursday evening
through Saturday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will
cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills as
low as 25 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30
minutes to exposed skin.

Godzilla for Jersey Shore to LI

Frank_Wx wrote:

We are within 15 hours of the event and the 18z NAM hi-res shows 12-18 inches for SNJ (all of coastal NJ) to LI. NYC 6-10 inches.

hyde looks like a 3-6 on that map for us, will see this could go any direction.

Something of importance is the track the low took: Very subtle westerly component; 95% of its motion was from south to north. Direct result of mid-level energy and jet. This may be further corrected. I'd argue it should, but we have to see. All conjecture by me at this point.

Hi-Res

With taunton going that aggressive, expect Upton to follow. They have 10-14" for as afar west as Hartford!!

There it is!!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
320 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

NYZ078>081-040430-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.W.0001.180104T0600Z-180105T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.180104T0600Z-180105T0600Z/
Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-
Southeastern Suffolk-
320 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very
dangerous to impossible, including during the morning and
evening commutes on Thursday. Damage to trees and power lines is
possible. Unsecured Christmas decorations may be blown away or
damaged. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with locally
higher amounts are expected.

* WHERE...All of Suffolk County.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 1 AM EST Friday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 55 mph will cause
whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant drifting of the
snow is likely with drifts of 18 to 24 inches possible
especially in exposed areas.

Winter Storm Warnings extended, Blizzard Warnings up

Mt Holly WWA now, 2-4". noticed they put the coastal NJ in blizzard warnings also

Here we go boys time for some snow fun!

PARLIN, NJ
Your Radar | Current Conditions | 15-Day Forecast
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
317 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018

...High Impact Storm including the aftermath of wind driven
record cold on its way to our area...

...A rapidly intensifying coastal storm will produce significant
snowfall and strong winds tonight through Thursday...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Plan on difficult
travel conditions, including during the morning commute on
Thursday. Tree branches could fall as well. Total snow
accumulations of 5 to 7 inches are expected.

Haha where's our buddy track17 when this is all going down.

Yeah you know those totals will rise as storm hits!

amugs wrote:3K NAM

Very nice. Seems about correct.

WOW Upton has a high of 25 here on CLI and 38 with snow/sleet in Montauk