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January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:06 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:So wait, if the low tracks west of Hatteras, does that mean I am likely to jackpot?

*IF* it does, you might not technically jackpot, but you'd likely more than double your 2-4" forecast from the NWS lol

WOOOOO!
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:11 pm

yes is that a good hmmmmm or bad lol
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Post by Nyi1058 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:13 pm

Yeah frank what does hmmmmm mean geez!!!!!

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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:15 pm

Frank is a master of suspense. lol
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:17 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 US.fronts

That is to me a very good HMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!

Visibility - WOWO - Superstorm provided this map

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 5a4d6fb016bd8

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:19 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 US.fronts

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Pmsl

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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:22 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 US.fronts

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Pmsl

I have issues with the Meso-analysis. Look at the pressure contours versus the wind barbs. The circulation does not match the contours lol

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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:24 pm

I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

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Post by hyde345 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:26 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 US.fronts

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Pmsl

I have issues with the Meso-analysis. Look at the pressure contours versus the wind barbs. The circulation does not match the contours lol

Yes, I noticed that before. Low placement should be 75 miles west according to wind barbs.
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:26 pm

It may not be reaching the ground, but technically the first precipitation echos have reached NJ. Hello Cape May.
January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 A4b2fe10
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Post by Scullybutcher Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:27 pm

@rb924119 wrote:I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

We’ll see you around 3 am then?
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:27 pm

Black circle is the frontgenesis that will bring moderate to heavy snows on the outer bands as I discussed earlier

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Epvl_sf.thumb.gif.8c6aa880150db52e527a3e97c42fa3e8

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Post by aiannone Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:28 pm

Everyone better get up early tmw and post observations constantly. We track this until the end lol!!
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:29 pm

I sure wish I knew how to keep photos I post from my phone from going sideways when viewed on laptops. lol
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:30 pm

@rb924119 wrote:I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

rb we will be honored to do this my man in your name and faith!!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:31 pm

@aiannone wrote:Everyone better get up early tmw and post observations constantly. We track this until the end lol!!

who sleeps during storm week....it's all about cat naps... Laughing you watch the models and the posts for a week..then you have to stay awake to wait for the first flakes, next you have to stay awake to see the progression of a storm... a vicious, but glorious cycle!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:35 pm

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Us_ce

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Post by lglickman1 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:37 pm

Is this a good location? As in storm more west?

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:40 pm

@lglickman1 wrote:Is this a good location? As in storm more west?

Isobars pointing north. Next 4 to 7 hours will be critical

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Post by Scullybutcher Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:52 pm

Are we done looking at models, and just watching real time progression?
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 03, 2018 7:53 pm

I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:02 pm

@billg315 wrote:I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

Hrrr?
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Post by aiannone Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:03 pm

18.9* here on LI currently
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:08 pm

300mb jet streak looks nice. The more this expands to the west the larger the precip shield is likely to be. 

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 300mb_sf

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:10 pm

Current radar

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Ma3comp18.thumb.gif.9a13b9419420cea745c398ece89cb37d

NAM depiction at same time stamp. Current radar shows bands MUCH further west

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 3 Nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_7.thumb.png.c2e3bb5867552aeddff26ec50c26287f

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