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MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:32 am

THE NAM PULLS OFF THE UNDERDOG WIN!!!! ITS CHUKING NORTH OF 78 12z EURO RUN INCOMING FOLKS!!!!!!!! HUGGGEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

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Post by nutleyblizzard on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:33 am

Ripping snow at hr 54!!!
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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:35 am

H5 OVER THE DELMARVA BABY!!!!!! LETS GOOOOOO RAY BOY FIRED UPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SUB 975 EAS OF STRONG ISLAND WHO EVENS GETS SOME NAM LOVIN!!!!!!!!!

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Post by Guest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:36 am

@rb924119 wrote:THE NAM PULLS OFF THE UNDERDOG WIN!!!! ITS CHUKING NORTH OF 78 12z EURO RUN INCOMING FOLKS!!!!!!!! HUGGGEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

rb when you say rt 78 that’s Jersey.  If you continue 78 eastwards it basically bisects LI in half just like the LIE.  Are we to infer that the northern half of LI is in play as well when you say North of 78?

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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:37 am

OH YOU ALL GONNA LOVE THIS MAP!!!! SHE SITS AND SPINS FOR HOURS!!!!!!!! ADVISORY SNOWS TO THE MASON-DIDON IF NOT MORE AND ITS STILL GOING!!!!!!!

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Post by Scullybutcher on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:43 am

Is Long Island in that mix?
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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:45 am

High end advisory/low end warning snow into NYC, warning snow all the way to AC

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Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:45 am

Most of LI looks too close to the core of the MSLP to benifit

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Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:45 am

I can't even.

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 12 175c6c10
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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:47 am

THAT WAS THE SOUTHWARD SHIFT. RIGHT THERE. NOW LETS HOLD THE LINE!!!!!!

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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:47 am

Holy Holy Holy! Backside blizzard conditions of heavy wet snow!!!!!!!
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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:50 am

Look how the 500;mb low slinks to off AC and deepens. Column cooling north of the 500 mb and west of the surface low. RB - you think maybe some lightning and thunder from this run!
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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:57 am

I don’t think LI gets anything based on the position of the surface low and it retrograde west
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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:58 am

@WeatherBob wrote:Look how the 500;mb low slinks to off AC and deepens. Column cooling north of the 500 mb and west of the surface low.  RB - you think maybe some lightning and thunder from this run!

I don't think. I KNOW. This is gonna be a huge thunder producer.

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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:00 am

HA, HA. This little baby will have a punch!
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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:01 am

Sorry LI, the retrograde west is not a friend of LI.
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Post by Guest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:01 am

@SoulSingMG wrote:I can't even.

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 12 175c6c10

I know ULL’s are hard to predict and forecast, but 5-8” of snow for Jersey shore and 1-2” for CT. 4-6” eastern peaks of the Catskills at 300’ and Hudson Valley makes ZERO SENSE

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Post by Guest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:06 am

@WeatherBob wrote:Sorry LI, the retrograde west is not a friend of LI.

So 3-9” from Baltimore to Staten Island right up 95. Then almost nothing from LI through southern Mass. then 6-8” central Mass? I want some of what the NAM Is smoking. If this verifies I’m going out in public all weekend naked

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:08 am

syosnow94 wrote:
@WeatherBob wrote:Sorry LI, the retrograde west is not a friend of LI.

So 3-9” from Baltimore to Staten Island right up 95. Then almost nothing from LI through southern Mass.  then 6-8” central Mass?  I want some of what the NAM Is smoking.  If this verifies I’m going out in public all weekend naked


shocked shocked


have a good day folks..off to school
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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:12 am

This is typical of a bombing low that retrogrades west and then loops south and then east. The cold air typically wraps in from the south and west and eventually envelopes the storm. It’s not that unusual for the situation that the model is showing.
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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:12 am

This is typical of a bombing low that retrogrades west and then loops south and then east. The cold air typically wraps in from the south and west and eventually envelopes the storm. It’s not that unusual for the situation that the model is showing.
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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:12 am

syosnow94 wrote:
@WeatherBob wrote:Sorry LI, the retrograde west is not a friend of LI.

So 3-9” from Baltimore to Staten Island right up 95. Then almost nothing from LI through southern Mass.  then 6-8” central Mass?  I want some of what the NAM Is smoking.  If this verifies I’m going out in public all weekend naked

Some of the inconsistencies in southern New England are caused by the effects of elevation, Syo. But the main east-west gradient makes perfect sense given the thermal structure of the system. Don't forget, there is going to be warm air out front of this thing, and even once the mid-levels close off, the eastern half will still be warm, so some warm advection from east to west will occur instead of north to south like we typically see. It's just a function of the background state and how wrapped up this system will become. Sandy was a great example of this; 3-4' of snow in the Virginias while we were 50° and rain. That system was so wrapped there was warm air wrapping into the northwestern quadrant all the way from the southern quadrant, with cold air driving in on the southwestern flank. Same deal here.

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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:14 am

RB - that’s what I was trying to say! Good job!
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Post by Guest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:15 am

@rb924119 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
@WeatherBob wrote:Sorry LI, the retrograde west is not a friend of LI.

So 3-9” from Baltimore to Staten Island right up 95. Then almost nothing from LI through southern Mass.  then 6-8” central Mass?  I want some of what the NAM Is smoking.  If this verifies I’m going out in public all weekend naked

Some of the inconsistencies in southern New England are caused by the effects of elevation, Syo. But the main east-west gradient makes perfect sense given the thermal structure of the system. Don't forget, there is going to be warm air out front of this thing, and even once the mid-levels close off, the eastern half will still be warm, so some warm advection from east to west will occur instead of north to south like we typically see. It's just a function of the background state and how wrapped up this system will become. Sandy was a great example of this; 3-4' of snow in the Virginias while we were 50° and rain. That system was so wrapped there was warm air wrapping into the northwestern quadrant all the way from the southern quadrant, with cold air driving in on the southwestern flank. Same deal here.

Ok. When I see it I’ll believe it

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Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:19 am

Syo, just ask CP about Feb 2010. Christmas 2002. Many storms are like this. It happens to the Cape literally all the time lol we just aren't lucky enough to have it as frequently here because we are sometimes too far west to get the best results of the evolution.

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