MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
+27
frank 638
skinsfan1177
hyde345
dkodgis
Math23x7
Snow88
Carter bk
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amugs
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bloc1357
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aiannone
jmanley32
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rb924119
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31 posters
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Frank 638- this is still a fluid situation. We have to wait till tmrw mornings model runs to pinpoint specifics better. This is not a standard winter storm with cold air advection, low coming from the south, upper level energy energizing it. I think u get the picture.
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
GREAT read via @crankywxguy on Twitter (he's one of the best IMO) — we're in for a doozy of a storm, on many fronts:
http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e022818.htm
http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e022818.htm
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Awesome Soul! Will the wild snow and wind make it to the coast? Will that strong convergence zone set up from a line on the Jersey coast thru NYC and up the Hudson River Valley? Will that’s be the line of rain to the east of it? Snow to the west of it? We will see how things look tmrw morning!
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Wow 12z gfs and nam!! Winds are just ripping around he 60 and snow has def made it's presence. Wow 3k has a pronged period at 850 of 64kts to 110 kts on eastern li. Sbikeys!!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
HOLY UK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF THE THICKNESS CONTOURS ARE ANY INDICATION WE GOT THE NAM, RGEM, UK TRIPLET!!!!!!!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
H5 BABAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HUNINA HUMINA HUNINA HUMINA HUMINA HUMINA!!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
jmanley32 wrote:Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.
Agreed, and combined with any wet snow accumulation (weight) and the already moist soil, we will be looking at power outages widespread.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
^500mb maps will be out in 15 mins
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Identical to NAM. Sits there for 18 hours and goes sub-970. All you need to know. Two words: FIRED. UP.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
rb924119 wrote:billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing. If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED. PERIOD.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
National weather service has me for rain and snow for Fri into sat with no accumulation I hope this will change
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Noreaster- Posts : 463
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Here's where the Ukie closes off at 500mb
Noreaster- Posts : 463
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
It might not snow for you syosnow but some on this board might get the goods. Whatever happens this looks to be a long event.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!!
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Analogs to tis storm for yuor enjoyment :
Dec 25th , 2002
October 2?, 2011
Both storms were dynamic and wild making their own cold air.
It is all about the uppe low as Rayno has been harping on for Snow.
It coming and its going to be a meteorological wonder and nightmare
Dec 25th , 2002
October 2?, 2011
Both storms were dynamic and wild making their own cold air.
It is all about the uppe low as Rayno has been harping on for Snow.
It coming and its going to be a meteorological wonder and nightmare
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
GFS ENS - this is a great look.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Indies - not bad
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Mugs- in a nut shell, what is Bernie saying about this storm?
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
And the euro is off
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Loving the look at H5 through 36
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
syosnow94 wrote:rb924119 wrote:billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing. If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED. PERIOD.
FEELING A LITTLE BETTER NOW SYO?!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
sroc4 wrote:Loving the look at H5 through 36
WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
WeatherBob wrote:It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!!
WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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