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MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

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Post by WeatherBob Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:38 am

Awesome Soul! Will the wild snow and wind make it to the coast? Will that strong convergence zone set up from a line on the Jersey coast thru NYC and up the Hudson River Valley? Will that’s be the line of rain to the east of it? Snow to the west of it? We will see how things look tmrw morning!
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:57 am

Wow 12z gfs and nam!! Winds are just ripping around he 60 and snow has def made it's presence. Wow 3k has a pronged period at 850 of 64kts to 110 kts on eastern li. Sbikeys!!
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:58 am

HOLY UK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF THE THICKNESS CONTOURS ARE ANY INDICATION WE GOT THE NAM, RGEM, UK TRIPLET!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:00 pm

H5 BABAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HUNINA HUMINA HUNINA HUMINA HUMINA HUMINA!!!!!!!

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:10 pm

Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.
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Post by billg315 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:11 pm

I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:14 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.

Agreed, and combined with any wet snow accumulation (weight) and the already moist soil, we will be looking at power outages widespread.
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Post by Noreaster Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:15 pm

^500mb maps will be out in 15 mins
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:22 pm

@billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Img_1422

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:23 pm

Identical to NAM. Sits there for 18 hours and goes sub-970. All you need to know. Two words: FIRED. UP.

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Post by Guest Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:28 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Img_1422

As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing. If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED. PERIOD.

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Post by frank 638 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:29 pm

National weather service has me for rain and snow for Fri into sat with no accumulation I hope this will change

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Post by Noreaster Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:29 pm

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Tt_gz_12MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Ts_ts_11
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 P1_gz_11
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Post by Noreaster Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:34 pm

Here's where the Ukie closes off at 500mbMARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Screen10
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Post by jimv45 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:35 pm

It might not snow  for you syosnow but some on this board might get the goods. Whatever happens this looks to be a long event.

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Post by WeatherBob Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:41 pm

It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!! affraid
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Post by amugs Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:45 pm

Analogs to tis storm for yuor enjoyment :
Dec 25th , 2002
October 2?, 2011

Both storms were dynamic and wild making their own cold air.
It is all about the uppe low as Rayno has been harping on for Snow.

It coming and its going to be a meteorological wonder and nightmare

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by amugs Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:47 pm

GFS ENS - this is a great look.


MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 C26B50A8-24CE-413E-8F37-B2CAB6F71F15.png.1902cd05105d30f53392ec143399d214

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:48 pm

Indies - not bad
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 130C084B-C244-48DE-A915-3CA6F362AE63.png.fddbf118f93b3e55d9033d73402c3f4c

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:49 pm

Mugs- in a nut shell, what is Bernie saying about this storm?
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:53 pm

And the euro is off

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:02 pm

Loving the look at H5 through 36

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 14 Img_1422

As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing.  If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED.  PERIOD.

FEELING A LITTLE BETTER NOW SYO?!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:05 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Loving the look at H5 through 36

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:06 pm

@WeatherBob wrote:It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!! affraid

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!

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