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March 2nd Nor'easter Update

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 2:58 pm

Hey clan -

Here is a quick blog on Friday's storm. A snow impact map is found at the end. I will have a 1st call snow map released either tonight or tomorrow. Leaning toward tonight.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/march-roaring-in-powerful-noreaster.html

Feel free to ask questions

Best,

Francesco

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Post by deadrabbit79 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:01 pm

Thanks Frank. Just that one little spot of no snow?

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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:04 pm

Officially Storm Mode!! Love it. Its been awhile

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Post by billg315 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:06 pm

Now it's a party!
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Post by algae888 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:09 pm

18z nam at hour 24 is 100 miles s/e and 3 mb weaker with the primary. the n/a block looks stronger.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:16 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hey clan -

Here is a quick blog on Friday's storm. A snow impact map is found at the end. I will have a 1st call snow map released either tonight or tomorrow. Leaning toward tonight.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/march-roaring-in-powerful-noreaster.html

Feel free to ask questions

Best,

Francesco

Thanks Frank!!!! GREAT RIGHT UP and FANTASTIC CHOICE OF MUSIC!
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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:18 pm

NAM is god awful. Very weak
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm

18z NAM

March 2nd Nor'easter Update 5a970f285eddc

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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update Captur34

However, snow is crashing to the coast
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_38

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:23 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update 5a970fc5d2df1

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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:24 pm

This could crush down to the coast if that heavy precip comes with it
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:24 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update USA_PTYPE_sfc_045.thumb.gif.466702f42bea8c5f065636c1ff49d6d9

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:25 pm

Dynamics are insane with this system. I love rain to snow events. Snow comes down in the size of golf balls. It will accumulate very quickly. N&W of NYC is in for some event...IMO.

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Post by jimv45 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:25 pm

Nam does good for a some of us.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:26 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update 5a97104ad0e2b

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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:26 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update Captur35
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Post by algae888 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:28 pm

WOW!! at the 18z NAM
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Post by billg315 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:29 pm

Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:29 pm

HR 51 MADONNNEEEEEEEEE!!!

March 2nd Nor'easter Update Captur36
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Post by algae888 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:31 pm

@billg315 wrote:Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
bill this is a very challenging forecast. I would say if it comes down heavy enough it will accumulate and melt as rates lessen. the conservancy will def blow this one.lol
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:32 pm

@aiannone wrote:NAM is god awful. Very weak

That was exactly what we wanted at the time you posted this...two seperate energy that phases AFTER is reaches the coast then stalls because of the block...text book

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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:32 pm

March 2nd Nor'easter Update Cap110
March 2nd Nor'easter Update Cap_210
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Post by billg315 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:33 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
bill this is a very challenging forecast. I would say if it comes down heavy enough it will accumulate and melt as rates lessen. the conservancy  will def blow this one.lol
lol. don't get CP going on that. hahaha
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Post by algae888 Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:35 pm

1-2' of snow area wide including most of jersey and long island MADONNE!!!!!!!
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