March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Remarkably, 00z rgem is slighty west of 18z. NNJ, NYC and N&W of NYC demolished. Some mixing issues for JS and LI

Similar to 3km?

Yes

So 3km is 20-30 for NYC and surrounding areas, i'd say thats laughable but you never know.

Frank_Wx wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Remarkably, 00z rgem is slighty west of 18z. NNJ, NYC and N&W of NYC demolished. Some mixing issues for JS and LI

Similar to 3km?

Yes

Jimminey cricket! You said you dont expect much change after tonight right? So think you might change ur maps tomorrow? And thanks for really being present for this one.

Going to bed. RGEM shows 15 to 20 inches

SoulSingMG wrote:If we get 12”+ of WET SNOW, widespread power outages are a definite. I predict more lose power this storm than last simply due to the snowfall combined with the priming of tree damage set up by the previous storm.

Soul you wanna see the 3km wind map? I have to have one other person on board so I do not get chastised lol

Frank_Wx wrote:Going to bed. RGEM shows 15 to 20 inches

Wait for who lol?

Need a snow map someone plz.

Frank_Wx wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Remarkably, 00z rgem is slighty west of 18z. NNJ, NYC and N&W of NYC demolished. Some mixing issues for JS and LI

Similar to 3km?

Yes

Jesus christ. Frank you may have to consider upping your snow map with some of these obscene SR model outputs.

Similar banding over NYC as 3km, sweet jesus

nutleyblizzard wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Remarkably, 00z rgem is slighty west of 18z. NNJ, NYC and N&W of NYC demolished. Some mixing issues for JS and LI

Similar to 3km?

Yes

Jesus christ. Frank you may have to consider upping your snow map with some of these obscene SR model outputs.

Maybe doubling them for those around NYC, but he did say + to cover himself.

Gfs will be 3in lmao

Islandwide Weather’s forecast map

Frank_Wx wrote:

Look closeer all of LI except for Montauk is intense snow.

Not to put a damper on the excitement, lol, but a lot of times these snow maps are pretty overdone. I think if most people get a foot with this they should be pretty happy.

billg315 wrote:Not to put a damper on the excitement, lol, but a lot of times these snow maps are pretty overdone. I think if most people get a foot with this they should be pretty happy.

Agreed which is why I said I’d take half of the hi-res models. It’s still about a foot

Good night all. Going to bed early. One thing making me nervous my LI forecaster sroc4 hasn’t chimed in. Sometimes he does this when he sees something he doesn’t like.

syosnow94 wrote:

billg315 wrote:Not to put a damper on the excitement, lol, but a lot of times these snow maps are pretty overdone. I think if most people get a foot with this they should be pretty happy.

Agreed which is why I said I’d take half of the hi-res models. It’s still about a foot

Yes 12 abd IF SR hi res play out its just go be a mega bonus.

aiannone wrote:Islandwide Weather’s forecast map

This seems right to me consistent with my posted snow map. But if the storm does track a bit east I could see the western half of the island in 10-15”

Agree with overdoing the snow amounts, but this will be big for March for most.

aiannone wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Going to bed. RGEM shows 15 to 20 inches

Wait for who lol?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018030600&fh=1

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:And its stil lsnowing on LI, max total 29 inches!! Thats ludicrous but oh I so hope it happens. Is RGEM out yet?

The 29.3” is directly in my backyard . Which means it won’t happen. But I’ll take half

Check closer buddy, that 29.3 is right on the Rockland/Orange County border. Insignificant though because as you say it won't happen as depicted but the NAM is good at picking up on these concentrated areas a couple of days ahead of time. I'd bet even money there will be small areas like that within 40 miles one way or the other from where they are depicted now in the LHV and LI.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:And its stil lsnowing on LI, max total 29 inches!! Thats ludicrous but oh I so hope it happens. Is RGEM out yet?

The 29.3” is directly in my backyard . Which means it won’t happen. But I’ll take half

Check closer buddy, that 29.3 is right on the Rockland/Orange County border. Insignificant though because as you say it won't happen as depicted but the NAM is good at picking up on these concentrated areas a couple of days ahead of time. I'd bet even money there will be small areas like that within 40 miles one way or the other from where they are depicted now in the LHV and LI.

Music to my ears CP, and I hope you cash in too.

Talking to pro mets in another bd they are seeing things we have no clue about in soundings etc. This has a high ceiling so this is what happens when you run a sw under a block.
Then pattern will dictate the outcome.

Only IMO LI peeps and Jersey Shore should be nervous and nothing to fret about, you have jackpotted the last few years so law of averages. .to a degree.

Nighty night and hope the euro.and gfs show a bomb. If it tucked the said place are toast

syosnow94 wrote:Chat cliff notes.  Frank still loves his map. Sees no reason to change. Widespread 8-12” likely with potential for more if short range hi-res models are correct.  They spit out 14-18” in lots of places. Storm track ticked east a touch making it better for the coast

Many thanks kind sir.

I would have joined but I heard there was no beer.

So no.

jmanley32 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:And its stil lsnowing on LI, max total 29 inches!! Thats ludicrous but oh I so hope it happens. Is RGEM out yet?

The 29.3” is directly in my backyard . Which means it won’t happen. But I’ll take half

Check closer buddy, that 29.3 is right on the Rockland/Orange County border. Insignificant though because as you say it won't happen as depicted but the NAM is good at picking up on these concentrated areas a couple of days ahead of time. I'd bet even money there will be small areas like that within 40 miles one way or the other from where they are depicted now in the LHV and LI.

Music to my ears CP, and I hope you cash in too.

It seems a long time since Yonkers was a jackpot area Jman, you're about due.

amugs wrote:Talking to pro mets in another bd they are seeing things we have no clue about in soundings etc. This has a high ceiling so this is what happens when you run a sw under a block.
Then pattern will dictate the outcome.

Only IMO LI peeps and Jersey Shore should be nervous and nothing to fret about, you have jackpotted the last few years so law of averages. .to a degree.

Nighty night and hope the euro.and gfs show a bomb. If it tucked the said place are toast

Like a 3km NAM ceiling? Night, not even worried bout globals focusing on SR myself. Betting Warnings go up tomorrow and I could see B word warnings going up for some places along coast and NYC if the 3km nam verifies as it has quite high winds.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:And its stil lsnowing on LI, max total 29 inches!! Thats ludicrous but oh I so hope it happens. Is RGEM out yet?

The 29.3” is directly in my backyard . Which means it won’t happen. But I’ll take half

Check closer buddy, that 29.3 is right on the Rockland/Orange County border. Insignificant though because as you say it won't happen as depicted but the NAM is good at picking up on these concentrated areas a couple of days ahead of time. I'd bet even money there will be small areas like that within 40 miles one way or the other from where they are depicted now in the LHV and LI.

Music to my ears CP, and I hope you cash in too.

It seems a long time since Yonkers was a jackpot area Jman, you're about due.

Dude I have NEVER jackpotted that I can remember, I have had some great snows over 20 inches but not been the top maker. Heres to hoping I see similar on 06z.