Re: Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

by **mikeypizano** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:01 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:Latest HRRR gives me an inch at best, my temp is 35* now, its over for me... 12-18+ down to an inch at best...

i wouldn't give up until your NWS gives a reason

Frank has failed me in my time of need... Anyone have a tide pod?

Let the storm play out. No doubt there is an east shift in track, but some of the banding may still get into your area

I will trust the HRRR, and I was on the edge to begin with so I was already in a bad place... Any shift east was a death sentence...

by DAYBLAZER Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:01 am

First time I can use this phrase for this storm-- HEAVY snow now in Hopatcong. Accumulating quickly.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:02 am

12z RGEM valid for 1pm

12z RGEM valid for 5pm

8pm

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:03 am

frank 638 wrote:Light rain occasionally mixed with snow getting very light out why does it look like the sun wants to try to come out and what time is this storm really supposed to be cranking

There are a few breaks in the radar, but it will fill in when it starts cranking about lunchtime....

by **billg315** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:04 am

I am at the stage now where I’m not even trying to figure out what WILL happen. It’s going to happen either way in the next 8-10 hours, so I’m just watching the radar to see what IS happening and what is incoming in the very short term.

by **heehaw453** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:05 am

31.5 with Heavy Snow! Main roads are now white. About 4" so far... Winds are howling!

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:06 am

billg315 wrote:I am at the stage now where I’m not even trying to figure out what WILL happen. It’s going to happen either way in the next 8-10 hours, so I’m just watching the radar to see what IS happening and what is incoming in the very short term.

And that's how you handle snowstorms in the Tri State area.NOTHING is sure until the day of the storm and you see 6 to 8 plus hours of 1 to 2 inch snow rates on the radar.Look at how this last minute 20 to 40 mile shift S and E is affecting the snow totals!

by **bloc1357** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:06 am

I'm @ 36 here...light rain with wet flakes mixed in

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:07 am

Heavy snow going on 3 inches.No wind to speak of yet.31 degrees.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:08 am

sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- what do you think for Manorville?

You and I are in a tough spot. Your like 3-5 miles south of me. Eastern suffolk is really a toss up in my mind. But the latest observations, yes syo I think the current position of the secondary surface Low is EF east of all guidance from yesterday, tell me that we may be in for some surprises, as it looks like the heaviest banding over LI comes in mid to late afternoon when sun angle begins to go down rapidly. We may be in for some serious surprises but Im just not 100% confindent in calling a lock at all.

are you close to Mattiuk?

by **algae888** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:09 am

Had a coating of snow on the coldest surfaces this morning then some light drizzle for a couple of hours now it's snowing light to moderate melting on contact we definitely lost 2 to 3 in of snow due to the warm surface and March Sun so all those snowfall maps that we saw yesterday and this morning you can reduce that amount and probably more until we get into the good Banding

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:09 am

sroc4 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:Latest HRRR gives me an inch at best, my temp is 35* now, its over for me... 12-18+ down to an inch at best...

And ironically on the eastern fringe of this board I went from an inch at best to 10-12"

LOL, Jimmy threw in the towel on this storm.

by **bloc1357** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:11 am

bloc1357 wrote:I'm @ 36 here...light rain with wet flakes mixed in

And just as I said that...there are slowly and gradually more flakes entering the mix here

by **RJB8525** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:13 am

heavy snow falling right now hovering around 35

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:14 am

Just a coating thus far. 35F. Surface still to warm to stick on roads.

by Smittyaj623 Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:17 am

TWC just upped Jersey Coast 8-12

by DAYBLAZER Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:19 am

Watching TWC looks like some heavy bands starting to sweep up through NJ.

by **Taffy** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:19 am

36. real feel 27, winds N at 12. No precipitation of any kind at the moment.

by **Vinnydula** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:20 am

Temps are going up fast.

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:20 am

I just woke up, ran to the window, shoved the curtains apart and believe I suffered a heart attack. I've never scrolled faster thru the pages on here to make sure this beast didn't pull a fast one. Folks are gonna be shocked on their way home later.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:22 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:Watching TWC looks like some heavy bands starting to sweep up through NJ.

Yes, the coastal is getting its act together

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 12 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **dsix85** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:23 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- what do you think for Manorville?

You and I are in a tough spot. Your like 3-5 miles south of me. Eastern suffolk is really a toss up in my mind. But the latest observations, yes syo I think the current position of the secondary surface Low is EF east of all guidance from yesterday, tell me that we may be in for some surprises, as it looks like the heaviest banding over LI comes in mid to late afternoon when sun angle begins to go down rapidly. We may be in for some serious surprises but Im just not 100% confindent in calling a lock at all.
are you close to Mattiuk?

About 20 miles west

by **Scullybutcher** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:23 am

It’s starting to changeover to snow right now

by **sroc4** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:26 am

dsix85 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- what do you think for Manorville?

You and I are in a tough spot. Your like 3-5 miles south of me. Eastern suffolk is really a toss up in my mind. But the latest observations, yes syo I think the current position of the secondary surface Low is EF east of all guidance from yesterday, tell me that we may be in for some surprises, as it looks like the heaviest banding over LI comes in mid to late afternoon when sun angle begins to go down rapidly. We may be in for some serious surprises but Im just not 100% confindent in calling a lock at all.
are you close to Mattiuk?

About 20 miles west

About 15 for me. Your actually only about 15-16 as well. As the crow flys. I just measured it on my radar scope app. Semantics probably

by **dsix85** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:27 am

sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- what do you think for Manorville?

You and I are in a tough spot. Your like 3-5 miles south of me. Eastern suffolk is really a toss up in my mind. But the latest observations, yes syo I think the current position of the secondary surface Low is EF east of all guidance from yesterday, tell me that we may be in for some surprises, as it looks like the heaviest banding over LI comes in mid to late afternoon when sun angle begins to go down rapidly. We may be in for some serious surprises but Im just not 100% confindent in calling a lock at all.
are you close to Mattiuk?

About 20 miles west

About 15 for me. Your actually only about 15-16 as well. As the crow flys. I just measured it on my radar scope app. Semantics probably

I used google maps and it had me a hair over 20 miles. Close enough.

by Smittyaj623 Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:28 am

Shore still in decent shape it looks like the low wants to be a little more south and a tick east...correct?

by **Dtone** Wed Mar 07, 2018 10:28 am

winds picking up with moderate rain and sleet now 38*

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