Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:41 am

N kicker is slower into the picture. Wioll it come in and dive N/S into the back side of this as it reaches the coast?

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_45

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_45

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:43 am

This run on the NAM will likely end up a Miller B type set up

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:47 am

Again follow the 552 line along the coast and look at the N piece of energy. Just barely poking into the top of the picture on this run; whereas, its over the GL on prev runs valid for same time. ef big changes this run.

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_48

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_48

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_50

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Namconus_z500_vort_us_52

by bobjohnsonforthehall Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:51 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:

And they're never wrong.

Well they are "accuweather". That sounds like "accurate weather". So...

Yeah I got nothin.

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:54 am

Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:57 am

Sanchize06 wrote:Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting

Agreed. Pos trends in multiple areas. Lets see if the globals follow suit.

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 10:49 am

Well the GFS is now OTS

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 11:07 am

In reality if these two pices of energy were one, which is only a stones throw from being reality, as it progresses from here:

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Eeee10

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Eeee10

You would get much higher heights out ahead and if the timing of the N energy diving in were approx the same then it would likely be digging into the back side enhancing the coastal. With such drastics shift on NAM for the better, and GFS for the worse it tells us nothing is set in stone.

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Wwww10

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Wwww10

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:17 pm

Ripped from another board but here is the UKIE:

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 5aa2bf10

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 5aa2bf12

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 5aa2bf13

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 5aa2bf11

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:21 pm

sroc4 wrote:Ripped from another board but here is the UKIE:

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 5aa2c110

by **nutleyblizzard** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:26 pm

UKIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by **jmanley32** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:30 pm

Nice! No mugs I said let's see what today shows was not get upset. Jeeze hard to read me in txt I guess.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:31 pm

Looking good...

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:39 pm

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:54 pm

CMC ensembles and UKIE in a pretty good spot for now, NAM improving, lets see what the EURO says.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:55 pm

what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?

Its running. Out to hr 24 for me

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?

I believe it's out to about hr 48 now, should know within 15 minutes or so

by **mikeypizano** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:06 pm

It'll be an hour later after this weekend.

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:08 pm

The issue with the euro is the polar vortex isn't moving out

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:09 pm

Hr 72, definitely an improvement from yesterday at 12z

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Sfcmslp.conus

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:09 pm

thanks fellas...I forgot... following now to hear the new on euro

by **amugs** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:11 pm

Nice improvements overall on the EURO - not there yet but it is making steps in the right direction.

by **Sanchize06** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:14 pm

Big shift west on Euro

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 Sfcmslp.conus

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:27 pm

PNA rdige improved. The N energy still acts to steer the system just a tad too far OTS rather than help it amplify. If the N vort were delayed by 100 miles west or came in 12-24 hrs later we would be in business. More improvements though. Lets see what the EPS has to say

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:32 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:If we're paying attention to trends (on all models not just NAM) I would argue the PNA ridge has strengthened, NAO block has weakened, northern short wave has slowed down, but the upper low associated with the confluence has remained the same. 3/4 is not bad. Especially in baseball. Still have some time to make this 4/4.

Trend continued on today's 12z runs. We can overcome this confluence as long as these trends keep happening.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:40 pm

Long Range RGEM shows a Roidzilla!!!!!

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 5 P1_GZ_D5_PN_084_0000