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March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:30 pm

Not gonna lie boys. I thought about CP hacking the NWS site to screw with me AND I thought about the Ophelia thing too. Funny crap

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:36 pm

Radar is looking healthy. FWIW

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:45 pm

Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:49 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:12 pm

WTF is the NAM doing???? Chasing convection?? Its all over the place...
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:25 pm

18z Hi res
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 245bab10

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:36 pm

Ef the HiRes. It’ screws everyone but Scott and Akex

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:45 pm

Now that could mean some nice banding
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 142e5c10

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:56 pm

NWS pm updated package gas me in a WWA FOR 2-4” here in Syosset

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:04 pm

aiannone wrote:Now that could mean some nice banding
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 142e5c10
Alex, that band will.meanderings business. Hope whomever is stuck in between those makes up somehow cause it will skunk them a bit.
HRRR shifted another tic west. Well see. Jman may jump out of his skin to a degree when he see this.
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 Hrrrx_10

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Post by Blaze Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:05 pm

Hey was there a recent shift west? My totals in Monmouth County NJ just got upped.

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Post by Taffy Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:09 pm

I have a pretty big increase in wind @11mph ESE and temps are falling fast.
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:15 pm

40* with a light rain shower here. Not expecting steady snow until later, maybe after 10.
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:16 pm

If some of the westward trends especially like the HRRR continue my first call snow map may be better than my final. Lol.
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Post by dsvinos Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:19 pm

Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to? I'm in Marlboro. Thanks!
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:20 pm

The HRRR is trying to sucker us in. It brings the 1” of line to my backyard. Don’t let it suck you in

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:21 pm

Blaze wrote:Hey was there a recent shift west? My totals in Monmouth County NJ just got upped.

where do you live?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:23 pm

dsvinos wrote:Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to?  I'm in Marlboro.  Thanks!

we are still in the 2-4 over here...I would be happy with that...what is your advisory?
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Post by Blaze Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:30 pm

dsvinos wrote:Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to?  I'm in Marlboro.  Thanks!

They upped it where I am in Middletown NJ from 1-2 inches to 2-4 possibly 5.

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Post by Blaze Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:32 pm

I heard though there is a chance it gets upped to 4 to 6 here in Middletown NJ

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:06 pm

Don’t like the 44 degrees out here

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:12 pm

Looks pretty east now

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19

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Post by Taffy Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:13 pm

I can't believe the wind pick up. I went from 11mph to 16 with gusts up to 20 in a bit less than one hour. Temps are falling more slowly now. Now, if it just gets a little white gold behind it. I'm a happy woman
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:14 pm

Down to 38* with light rain here. Looking at radar the heaviest bands over NC and VA appear to be moving more north than northeast. Of course if the low pulls the entire precip shield to the northeast that may not mean much.
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:17 pm

Love to be in Williamsburg VA right now: 34* under a heavy snow band.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:29 pm

Trough going neg..going to tug her back west

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 500mb_sf

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
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WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:33 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 5 A0cb3871-e0e3-4d7b-8854-a9d8e1d4d714.gif.b22646ce176f9cec0aa5dbc15d66e41d

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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