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March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:52 pm

39*light rain and getting windy to

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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:03 pm

Nam? Lmao

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:05 pm

On my way back from JFK. In the process of changing to all snow here now. Mostly wet flakes

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:08 pm

Had drizzle from 8:30 till 9:15. Now sleet snow mix. Now sleet rain mix with occasional snow foakes

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:09 pm

Interesting SLP is west of where it was modelled at this stage. Not by much but looks to be 25 miles about. Could be noteworthy at thisnpount. Let's get it N now.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:09 pm

Who cares if the storm moving nnw was a wobble or a tug. The longer it takes to go east and the longer it moves n or nnw the better

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:09 pm

NAM and Hi res
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 A1016110
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 3fdf2f10

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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:10 pm

amugs wrote:Interesting SLP is west of where it was modelled at this stage. Not by much but looks to be 25 miles about. Could be noteworthy at thisnpount. Let's get it N now.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php
Moving N @ 22mph
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:10 pm

All rain now
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Post by essexcountypete Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:10 pm

amugs wrote:The H5 and H7 closed off getting tugged back and N.
Let's see if it can get up to AC before getting shunted E.
I was working grading engineering classes reports.  Sorry.

THE NERVE!
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:10 pm

amugs wrote:Interesting SLP is west of where it was modelled at this stage. Not by much but looks to be 25 miles about. Could be noteworthy at thisnpount. Let's get it N now.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php

25 miles could mean a lot with this thing. Also, 25 mile difference early in track could extrapolate to bigger difference later if it means modeled trajectory was off. Let’s hope it’s a good sign.
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:13 pm

Looky here. March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 C086ca10

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:14 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Ripping rain outside

sarcasm

but funny nonetheless.
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:16 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Looky here. March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 C086ca10

Math give Syos his laptop back.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:17 pm

billg315 wrote:
amugs wrote:Interesting SLP is west of where it was modelled at this stage. Not by much but looks to be 25 miles about. Could be noteworthy at thisnpount. Let's get it N now.
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php

25 miles could mean a lot with this thing. Also, 25 mile difference early in track could extrapolate to bigger difference later if it means modeled trajectory was off. Let’s hope it’s a good sign.
Bill exactly my point. Radz showed moving due N at 22. Need this to get up to ACY or even Cape May and the its will get shunted E. That could be a coupe. Let's hope for the best but keep expecrations in check.

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Post by Taffy Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:17 pm

39°
RAIN
feels like 32°

Very light freezing drizzle.
Winds have calmed a bit to 10mph with gusts to 14
Dew point 29

patiently waiting....
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:17 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Looky here. March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 C086ca10

Let me put some perspective on this for you.

The night before last Wednesdays storm TWC had my area for 8-12. The morning of the storm when things started slowly they lowered it to 5-8. That night I ended the storm with 24.2 inches.

I'm not saying that happens for you in this storm but need I say more.
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:20 pm

Hi res NAM
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 49540310

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:24 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Looky here. March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 C086ca10

Let me put some perspective on this for you.

The night before last Wednesdays storm TWC had my area for 8-12. The morning of the storm when things started slowly they lowered it to 5-8. That night I ended the storm with 24.2 inches.

I'm not saying that happens for you in this storm but need I say more.

So you’re saying smaller numbers are fake and they actually wind up two to three times bigger.... hmmm.

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Post by Grselig Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:25 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:Ripping rain outside

sarcasm

but funny nonetheless.

Sorry for the correction. Technical term is puking.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:32 pm

~1.5" here at my parents' in Greentown, Pa. so far with a steady light snow. Wooo lmao I just wanted to have my one second of glory before all y'all come in and wreck my hopes and dreams tomorrow with numbers much higher than mine AhahAha enjoy all!!! Btw, if you think we are done tracking for the season, I think you're mistaken. There's A LOTTTTTTTTTT of Winter left in these parts Wink Wink

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Post by Grselig Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:33 pm

rb924119 wrote:~1.5" here at my parents' in Greentown, Pa. so far with a steady light snow. Wooo lmao I just wanted to have my one second of glory before all y'all come in and wreck my hopes and dreams tomorrow with numbers much higher than mine AhahAha enjoy all!!! Btw, if you think we are done tracking for the season, I think you're mistaken. There's A LOTTTTTTTTTT of Winter left in these parts Wink Wink

Too bad I can only give this one "like"
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Post by Smittyaj623 Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:34 pm

What are we saying for the coast? Like for me and Skins? What are we looking at?

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:38 pm

HRRR shifts west. Old vs new run
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 61cb7310
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 8 E3ed9810

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:40 pm

HRRR is 7-16” from me on the Nassau Suffolk birder our to
Montauk. Don’t get suvkered in

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:51 pm

Rain, 35.8° and falling

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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:55 pm

Light mix, 37.5°
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