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March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:42 pm

OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:51 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
why what they say?

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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
is it good news or bad news

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:06 pm

Euro is a jog west
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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I would argue the trough is more neutral than it is positively tilted. Some models showed it positively tilted at this time. Take it for what its worth...

2:08 PM trough seems neutral to perhaps very very very slightly negative.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.


Last edited by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Captur63
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:17 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Captur64
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:28 pm

Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf113
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf115
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf114

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:31 pm

sroc4 wrote:Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf113
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf115
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf114

Good for you, Long Island! Well deserved. I doubt the city will accumulate much given temps and lack of heavy rates. Maybe we say ~4" up here I'm Westchester!
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Post by dsix85 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:33 pm

Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:35 pm

dsix85 wrote:Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

Yes def a chance..decent one at that IMO.. I still like my map I posted this am. Not changing anything. Se the other thread for reference

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by dsix85 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:36 pm

Understood. Thanks my man.

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Post by GreyBeard Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:40 pm

Doc and Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:45 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
why what they say?

Upton increased totals N and W in the advisory areas by 1-3" but decreased them in my advisory area which is east of the city, while increasing the warning amounts in Suffolk

very confusing especially considering my point and click forecast from them is for 4-8"

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:46 pm

Hey guys it sure does feel like it's going to snow!! Good luck.. hopefully we wake up to a surprise here tomorrow
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:47 pm

docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing

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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:54 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:55 pm

Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:57 pm

GreyBeard wrote:Doc and  Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

Hi, Greybeard! Yes, I'd say 18 to 20 inches still OTG here.There was the usual compaction and a slow melt as temps have been on the cold side, but that March sun does work.There was 28 OTG immediately after the storm.Hoping for that 3 to 5 to freshen up what we have.Have not looked long range, but temps the balnce of this week look to be on the cold side.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:58 pm

sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:59 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.


lol! lol! lol! lol!

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Post by Grselig Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:01 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

Yes. Banter. Does she predict more snow for March
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:08 pm

Greslig

I answered in banter.

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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:17 pm

FWIW weather channel took me from 2-6 now 6 - 10
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:30 pm

Not gonna lie boys. I thought about CP hacking the NWS site to screw with me AND I thought about the Ophelia thing too. Funny crap

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:36 pm

Radar is looking healthy. FWIW
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