Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:42 pm

OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:51 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

why what they say?

by **frank 638** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

is it good news or bad news

by **aiannone** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:06 pm

Euro is a jog west

by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I would argue the trough is more neutral than it is positively tilted. Some models showed it positively tilted at this time. Take it for what its worth...

2:08 PM trough seems neutral to perhaps very very very slightly negative.

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

by **aiannone** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

by **aiannone** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:17 pm

by **sroc4** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:28 pm

Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf113

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf115

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf114

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:31 pm

sroc4 wrote:Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.

Good for you, Long Island! Well deserved. I doubt the city will accumulate much given temps and lack of heavy rates. Maybe we say ~4" up here I'm Westchester!

by **dsix85** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:33 pm

Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

by **sroc4** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:35 pm

dsix85 wrote:Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

Yes def a chance..decent one at that IMO.. I still like my map I posted this am. Not changing anything. Se the other thread for reference

by **dsix85** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:36 pm

Understood. Thanks my man.

by **GreyBeard** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:40 pm

Doc and Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:45 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
why what they say?

Upton increased totals N and W in the advisory areas by 1-3" but decreased them in my advisory area which is east of the city, while increasing the warning amounts in Suffolk

very confusing especially considering my point and click forecast from them is for 4-8"

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:46 pm

Hey guys it sure does feel like it's going to snow!! Good luck.. hopefully we wake up to a surprise here tomorrow

by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:47 pm

docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing

by **sroc4** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:54 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:55 pm

Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:57 pm

GreyBeard wrote:Doc and Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

Hi, Greybeard! Yes, I'd say 18 to 20 inches still OTG here.There was the usual compaction and a slow melt as temps have been on the cold side, but that March sun does work.There was 28 OTG immediately after the storm.Hoping for that 3 to 5 to freshen up what we have.Have not looked long range, but temps the balnce of this week look to be on the cold side.

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:58 pm

sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

by **docstox12** Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:59 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

by **Grselig** Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:01 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

Yes. Banter. Does she predict more snow for March