NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

+45
Joe Snow
hyde345
dad4twoboys
heehaw453
algae888
oldtimer
2004blackwrx
SENJsnowman
dkodgis
WeatherBob
gigs68
Sparky Sparticles
rb924119
essexcountypete
Dtone
Vinnydula
1190ftalt
mancave25
mwilli5783
dsvinos
Blaze
Radz
Scullybutcher
Grselig
dsix85
SoulSingMG
docstox12
GreyBeard
CPcantmeasuresnow
jake732
Taffy
nutleyblizzard
Dunnzoo
Smittyaj623
billg315
RJB8525
jmanley32
frank 638
aiannone
Math23x7
amugs
bobjohnsonforthehall
sroc4
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
49 posters

Page 4 of 15 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 9 ... 15  Next

Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
is it good news or bad news

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2361
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 38
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:06 pm

Euro is a jog west
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4265
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:09 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:I would argue the trough is more neutral than it is positively tilted. Some models showed it positively tilted at this time. Take it for what its worth...

2:08 PM trough seems neutral to perhaps very very very slightly negative.
bobjohnsonforthehall
bobjohnsonforthehall

Posts : 279
Reputation : 19
Join date : 2016-10-02
Location : Flemington NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.


Last edited by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7251
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Captur63
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4265
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:17 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Captur64
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4265
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:28 pm

Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf113
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf115
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf114

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6958
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:31 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf113
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf115
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf114

Good for you, Long Island! Well deserved. I doubt the city will accumulate much given temps and lack of heavy rates. Maybe we say ~4" up here I'm Westchester!
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2787
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by dsix85 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:33 pm

Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

dsix85

Posts : 272
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2014-01-01
Location : New York

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:35 pm

@dsix85 wrote:Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

Yes def a chance..decent one at that IMO.. I still like my map I posted this am. Not changing anything. Se the other thread for reference

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6958
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by dsix85 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:36 pm

Understood. Thanks my man.

dsix85

Posts : 272
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2014-01-01
Location : New York

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by GreyBeard Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:40 pm

Doc and Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

GreyBeard
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 591
Reputation : 34
Join date : 2014-02-12
Location : eastern nassau county

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:45 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
why what they say?

Upton increased totals N and W in the advisory areas by 1-3" but decreased them in my advisory area which is east of the city, while increasing the warning amounts in Suffolk

very confusing especially considering my point and click forecast from them is for 4-8"

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:46 pm

Hey guys it sure does feel like it's going to snow!! Good luck.. hopefully we wake up to a surprise here tomorrow
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 3013
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 57
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:47 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:54 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6958
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:55 pm

Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:57 pm

@GreyBeard wrote:Doc and  Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

Hi, Greybeard! Yes, I'd say 18 to 20 inches still OTG here.There was the usual compaction and a slow melt as temps have been on the cold side, but that March sun does work.There was 28 OTG immediately after the storm.Hoping for that 3 to 5 to freshen up what we have.Have not looked long range, but temps the balnce of this week look to be on the cold side.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7251
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:58 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7251
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:59 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.


lol! lol! lol! lol!

docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7251
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Grselig Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:01 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

Yes. Banter. Does she predict more snow for March
Grselig
Grselig
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1332
Reputation : 137
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 51
Location : Wayne NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:08 pm

Greslig

I answered in banter.

CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:17 pm

FWIW weather channel took me from 2-6 now 6 - 10
Scullybutcher
Scullybutcher
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 510
Reputation : 16
Join date : 2013-02-06
Location : North Smithtown, western Suffolk county, long island

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:30 pm

Not gonna lie boys. I thought about CP hacking the NWS site to screw with me AND I thought about the Ophelia thing too. Funny crap

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:36 pm

Radar is looking healthy. FWIW
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3681
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 4 of 15 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 9 ... 15  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum