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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 7 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:05 pm

Ok

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Ok

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:06 pm

Mugs I think you over sold this run.

It's pretty deflating, most of the jackpots went to people 100 miles outside our forum.
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Post by Grselig Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:09 pm

Euro scares me now.  minimal snow Sharp north cutoff.
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Post by gigs68 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:11 pm

Well that looked like crapola
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:12 pm

amugs wrote:EURO COMES IN TUCKED AND MAULS US LIKE GODZILLA!!!!!!!

And by us you meant all of our members down in Maryland? Last count 0 of them.

Don't do that man, some of us are very fragile.
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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:14 pm

This is the point where I just toss any model I don't like because it's too close to the storm for me to take bad news.
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I'm KIDDING. lol Anyway, last runs of GFS and NAM and UKIE were good for us. So no panic here.
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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:15 pm

Taffy wrote:
amugs wrote:EURO COMES IN TUCKED AND MAULS US LIKE GODZILLA!!!!!!!


Good, I like to be mauled. Usually after a few drinks.

Great line Taffy. Now we’re talking

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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:16 pm

Well who wouldn't feel confident in a forecast that is 4-12"+ lmao

You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!
March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 7 Captur77

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:17 pm

OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.
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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:18 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Mugs I think you over sold this run.

It's pretty deflating, most of the jackpots went to people 100 miles outside our forum.

Agreed

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:19 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.

It's actually so bad, I'm laughing about it, in between crying hysterically.
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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:19 pm

Hey I want snow but i am ok if this misses me lost power in the last 2 and did well with them in snow totals. Pulling for out peeps to the south.

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:20 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.

It's actually so bad, I'm laughing about it, in between crying hysterically.

I can't even believe how bad it is! Zero piece of mind EVER. Lol
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Post by gigs68 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:21 pm

Well who wouldn't feel confident in a forecast that is 4-12"+ lmao

You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!


Guess he can say that he nailed the forecast.  I'm gonna go with a 0-24" forecast Rolling Eyes
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Post by deadrabbit79 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:24 pm

How can three models basically crush us and one give us almost nothing comparatively speaking? Doesn't it take away all credibility from these models?

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:26 pm

I know it’s the EURO and it’s well respected, but it hasn’t done well recently. Also the snow bands usually verify further NW than they are forecast to by a significant amount. We are within 12 hours of start time. The global mean squat. Current observations and the short range hi-res are All that matter now.

Where have Scott and rb been the last 12 hours. Weird without them

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:26 pm

...and of course everyone on Twitter jumps on the Euro.

Ryan Maue: "NYC spared!"

Others: "CT off the hook!"

shout
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:26 pm

My final call

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 7 Final_Call

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:28 pm

Well anything goes at this point so F the Euro.

Look at the 6Z NAM this morning it was horrible and at 12Z it corrected. Lets see what the Euro does on it's next run.

Still plenty of models with great hits for NYC south and east.

Northern people are in trouble but we've known that for days, no surprises despsite the ridiculous WSW for 10-16 inches. I never thought that was happening up here anyway.
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Post by gigs68 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:28 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:My final call

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 7 Final_Call

Frank, Guess you're throwing out the Euro
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:30 pm

So by the look of your snow map Frank, I assume your discounting the EURO?
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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:31 pm

Hey but frank still got me in the 5-10 I will sign for that.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:32 pm

I think the high snowfall amounts the EURO shows for southern areas is true, but the cut-off to the north is too extreme.

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:32 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:My final call

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 7 Final_Call

Wow ok then. santa

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:33 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Well anything goes at this point so F the Euro.

Look at the 6Z NAM this morning it was horrible and at 12Z it corrected. Lets see what the Euro does on it's next run.

Still plenty of models with great hits for NYC south and east.

Northern people are in trouble but we've known that for days, no surprises despsite the ridiculous WSW for 10-16 inches. I never thought that was happening up here anyway.

If you compare the 00z EURO to today's 12z EURO it did correct and it's probably not finished correcting. So, I would weigh the EURO very lightly. I bet the EURO Ensembles look different than the OP.

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Post by Angela0621 Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:35 pm

Heavy sleet in Ocean Grove
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