May 2018 Observations & Discussions
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Frank_Wx
28 posters
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Frank_Wx wrote:Just a few more days of May left. Time is flyin'
June looks like it wants to get off to a below normal start. A lot of cut-off low's showing up in the long range under an NAO block.
Weather in general in our area has been uneventful for my liking. Looks like a rainy weekend ahead. Why have our weekends been timed with crap weather??
Happy belated Birthday you old timer!!!! Hahaha hope your day was well spent!! Your post is music to my ears regarding the extended; I'm done with this heat, give me winter again!!! Frank, you're the man to get that accomplished......I beg of you, please strike a deal with Mother Nature lol or as you also said, at least make it more interesting to pass the time lmao
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
rb924119 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Just a few more days of May left. Time is flyin'
June looks like it wants to get off to a below normal start. A lot of cut-off low's showing up in the long range under an NAO block.
Weather in general in our area has been uneventful for my liking. Looks like a rainy weekend ahead. Why have our weekends been timed with crap weather??
Happy belated Birthday you old timer!!!! Hahaha hope your day was well spent!! Your post is music to my ears regarding the extended; I'm done with this heat, give me winter again!!! Frank, you're the man to get that accomplished......I beg of you, please strike a deal with Mother Nature lol or as you also said, at least make it more interesting to pass the time lmao
Already miss the cold, eh?
Here is the cut-off low this weekend:
'
Then next week the trough offshore links with another dropping down from Canada:
And mid-June the trough is still there
Obviously below normal in June is not "cold" but it will not be the scorching heat nor humid air mass we've seen. The west is going to BAKE.
Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Next few days will remain overcast. Maybe some glimpses of the sun today and tomorrow. Steady rain could move in late Friday then again Saturday afternoon.
Saturday 8pm:
Saturday 8pm:
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Ok, I need a favor, my friend is going to propose to his girlfriend this weekend at Bradley Beach. He was planning on 8:20 pm on Saturday, and needs a weather report. The models couldn't be more different. If Saturday is a no go he could do Friday night, but that looks worse. Please help!
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Janet I think Friday night will be a good idea to propose because sat evening into the night it's going to rain I hope this helps and good luck with ur friend propose
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Friday looked like a better chance of tstorms though, gfs has rain pretty much Friday through all day Saturday. NAM has hardly anything!
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Tonight's runs do look better for Friday night than Saturday night...going to give it til noon runs tomorrow.
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Dunnzoo wrote:Ok, I need a favor, my friend is going to propose to his girlfriend this weekend at Bradley Beach. He was planning on 8:20 pm on Saturday, and needs a weather report. The models couldn't be more different. If Saturday is a no go he could do Friday night, but that looks worse. Please help!
Good morning Janet. If I had to guess after analyzing GFS, Euro, RGEM, 12K NAM and 3K NAM that Friday night between 5-7pm offers the greatest probability of decent weather for a proposal. While both evenings, Fri and Sat, offer chances for rain, Sat looks more consistently overcast and dreary/steady precip after 4-5pm, while Friday's chances seem more hit or miss and likely have clearer skies in between chances. Like you said the possibility of a down pour or thunderstorm exists tomorrow night, but to me it looks like mid to late afternoon-ish, then again as you head into the later hours of Friday, 8pm-midnight with a window in between for decent weather. That's the way I see it as o fthis am. I will re-eval 12z and let you know if it looks any different to me.
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Thanks Scott! That's about what I was going to suggest to him after seeing this morning's runs.
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Dunnzoo wrote:Thanks Scott! That's about what I was going to suggest to him after seeing this morning's runs.
good luck to him..hope it does not rain!!
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Friday night for sure
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
The weather looks so awful - cloudy/cool/rainy - this weekend and next week that I may just locate where Thor lives and persuade him to move NJ into the Caribbean.
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
billg315 wrote:Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.
That's my thinking too Bill!
Btw, now my friend is asking about Sunday!
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Dunnzoo wrote:billg315 wrote:Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.
That's my thinking too Bill!
Btw, now my friend is asking about Sunday!
12z conts to make me think Friday night between 5-7 is the time. Tell your friend to quite stalling...lol
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35" WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.50
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Jesus it is pitiful looking out
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
its nasty and depressing outside why cant we have this weather in the fall time esp in oct and nov .hopefully we will have our summer soon after next weekFrank_Wx wrote:Jesus it is pitiful looking out
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
I'm not asking for it to be 100 degrees outside but I would like it warmer than the 60s. This pattern of raining or cool/damp weather every weekend really does suck. And for all you guys that are already asking for winter.. Come on, give us a break and allow us to enjoy some warm weather so we can be outside with our families.
Fededle22- Posts : 169
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Despite bouts of dreary/cool weather, May ended up well above normal temp wise and below normal rainfall.
Good enough for another top 10 warmest month at all the major reporting sites..actually top 5 at most sites.
Central Park avg temp: 66.9* (+4.5*)
6th warmest May on record.
Rain: 3.53" (-0.66)
May (and season to date) 90 degree days:
LGA 4
Newark 4
Teterboro 3
Central Park 2
JFK/Islip 0
Good enough for another top 10 warmest month at all the major reporting sites..actually top 5 at most sites.
Central Park avg temp: 66.9* (+4.5*)
6th warmest May on record.
Rain: 3.53" (-0.66)
May (and season to date) 90 degree days:
LGA 4
Newark 4
Teterboro 3
Central Park 2
JFK/Islip 0
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Just started pouring and heavy winds thunder and lightning in Stillwater NJ, wow this thing has some punch to it, east of here get inside !
1190ftalt- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
Wow. Just started pouring out of nowhere here as well. Driving rain against my house with thunder but have not seen any flashes of lightening. Today turned out to be nicer than I thought. Hopefully the weekend is not a total washout.
Fededle22- Posts : 169
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Re: May 2018 Observations & Discussions
59 right now
Feels like Autumn
Feels like Autumn
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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