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MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 14, 2018 5:03 pm

Am looking at the indie eutro ensembles #6 is aweful, has her re-emerge off the midatlantic courve around and hit the same area of NC as a 985mb cane on day 10, no joke, those of you who have the ability to look its unreal, highly doubtful but jeeze.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 14, 2018 5:26 pm

00z Euro ensembles had a slew of runs with 6+ inches of rain. I know we are concerned for the folks down south myself included but this is def something we have to watch.

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Post by dkodgis Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:10 pm

Scott, I too have fished in very rough seas. I felt like Captain Ahab. As for those folks who decided to ride the storm out, they are in for the ride of their lives. Lord have mercy on them. Lord have mercy.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:59 pm

And look at the cone, right over NYC (I know its only a depression but as I said some of the Euro ensembles spell a lot of flooding trouble and winds wont have to be high to uproot some trees), and at the end redevelops into a subtropical storm lol, so she might get renamed Flo again!

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:27 am

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 7 ?format=go&jsonp=vglnk_153702163373213&key=e1e7dc862af11f29652fc542d68928ac&libId=jm3imj100102n0l7000MAkpq2wybx&loc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain.com%2Ftopic%2F1404-hurricane-florence-mega-thread-forecast-observations%2F%3Fpage%3D169%26tab%3Dcomments%23comment-95297&v=1&out=https%3A%2F%2Fscontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net%2Fv%2Ft1.0-9%2F41741972_10214660135851097_7455456802243608576_n.jpg%3F_nc_cat%3D0%26oh%3D0cc368874f7023afd8a44d9ebee792f7%26oe%3D5C162012&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:33 am

The flooding is now going to be a catastrophic concern as the 18-20 Trillion gallons of liquid will be draining into the rivers and will cause historical cresting of the rivers downstream over the next few days like Tuesday/Wednesday.
Jesus H this is incredible from Jack Sillan pro met
MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 7 ?format=go&jsonp=vglnk_153702189112716&key=e1e7dc862af11f29652fc542d68928ac&libId=jm3j4s7l0102n0l7000MA6xwebylb&loc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain.com%2Ftopic%2F1404-hurricane-florence-mega-thread-forecast-observations%2F%3Fpage%3D168&v=1&out=https%3A%2F%2Fs3.amazonaws.com%2F33andrain%2Fmonthly_2018_09%2F34120582_03CapeFearRvatFayetteville.jpg.e144b521adfa5fe74776a6607a4846b9.jpg&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain

1 million wout power with more to come as she crawls through the inland regions.

Well see her effects Monday night through Tuesday as it is forecasted now. 1-2'" of rain with windy conditions.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Sep 15, 2018 7:15 pm

amugs wrote:The flooding is now going to be a catastrophic concern as the 18-20 Trillion gallons of liquid will be draining into the rivers and will cause historical cresting of the rivers downstream over the next few days like Tuesday/Wednesday.
Jesus H this is incredible from Jack Sillan pro met
MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 7 ?format=go&jsonp=vglnk_153702189112716&key=e1e7dc862af11f29652fc542d68928ac&libId=jm3j4s7l0102n0l7000MA6xwebylb&loc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain.com%2Ftopic%2F1404-hurricane-florence-mega-thread-forecast-observations%2F%3Fpage%3D168&v=1&out=https%3A%2F%2Fs3.amazonaws.com%2F33andrain%2Fmonthly_2018_09%2F34120582_03CapeFearRvatFayetteville.jpg.e144b521adfa5fe74776a6607a4846b9.jpg&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.33andrain

1 million wout power with more to come as she crawls through the inland regions.

Well see her effects Monday night through Tuesday as it is forcasted now. 1-2'" of rain with windy conditions.
I think there is the potential for a lot more rain than that but it depends, Euro shows the low reintensifying enhancing rain a lot over the area while others do not so much. Cone keeps shifting north south north, now center of depression is just NW of NYC in the 3 day cone.

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Post by Guest Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:27 pm

Jman the limiting factor in how much rain we will get is the speed of movement. This thing will be accelerating like a rocket as it passes us

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:56 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Jman the limiting factor in how much rain we will get is the speed of movement. This thing will be accelerating like a rocket as it passes us
True, your right.
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Post by sroc4 Sun Sep 16, 2018 10:54 am

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Jman the limiting factor in how much rain we will get is the speed of movement. This thing will be accelerating like a rocket as it passes us
True, your right.

Or maybe not.  Look at what half the euro ensemble members are starting to do.  Yes about half the members take her off the NE coast and redevelop her, prob to hurricane strength again, as she heads up into the N Atlantic  However; it looks like the other half of the members actually have her come off the coast and loop back around towards the EC.  hmmmm  

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 7 Ecmwf_26

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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Sep 16, 2018 11:40 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Jman the limiting factor in how much rain we will get is the speed of movement. This thing will be accelerating like a rocket as it passes us
True, your right.

Or maybe not.  Look at what half the euro ensemble members are starting to do.  Yes about half the members take her off the NE coast and redevelop her, prob to hurricane strength again, as she heads up into the N Atlantic  However; it looks like the other half of the members actually have her come off the coast and loop back around towards the EC.  hmmmm  

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 7 Ecmwf_26

This looping signal started showing up yesterday morning and clearly gained more support overnight. Wouldn't that be something else.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 16, 2018 12:09 pm

Not sure what U mean by May be not Scott
She's going to be slower? I mentioned one of the euro ensembles the other day had her redevelop and hit nc again as a 989mb storm. That would be awful. Also what is limiting all the loops to staying at depression status isn't this water still primo?If she does look and redevelop this could be a record amount of time a storm is around. By then b nearly all of September.
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