December 2018 Observations and Discussions

December to remember. Great pattern

What nasty weather this morning, NAM no longer has much of anything for this area but oall of mass and northern CT get slammed, of course.

What nasty weather this morning, NAM no longer has much of anything for this area but oall of mass and northern CT get slammed, of course.

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7. Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.

@jmanley32 wrote:

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.

I love your optimism. With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking!

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.

I love your optimism. With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking!

LOL sorry not in the best of moods today, we will see is all I can say I hold NO expectations right now.

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.

I love your optimism. With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking!

For once I’m with Jman here Yes I know it’s still very early. I’m putting my trust in Frank’s optimism and LR forecast but I hold ZERO expectations. And maybe that’s a good thing

syosnow94 wrote:

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:

@nutleyblizzard wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern

I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.

So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.

I love your optimism. With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking!

For once I’m with Jman here   Yes I know it’s still very early. I’m putting my trust in Frank’s optimism and LR forecast but I hold ZERO expectations. And maybe that’s a good thing

I don't even check in all that often cuz so far its just been letdown after letdown but it is very early and march seems to be our new winter monthmaybe it should b. Jfm from now on lol

Anyone seen the euro and gefs weeklies? Torch 5 to 10 plus degrees above normal!! Ain't getting snow with these kinda temps. Not looking good and some forums are write off any chance of snow till mid January. Thoughts?

@sroc4 wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:Anyone seen the euro and gefs weeklies? Torch 5 to 10 plus degrees above normal!! Ain't getting snow with these kinda temps. Not looking good and some forums are write off any chance of snow till mid January. Thoughts?

People are idiots. End thoughts

touche LOL, they are. Well lets hope but the weeklies do show this.

38° here and 1.23" of rain .. ugh

btw, check the general banter thread...

this years farmer's almannac said dec,jan,feb bitter cold,above avg snowfall...so something 2 ponder(although they've been wrong a few year's..lol)

Sleet mixing in now

Now snow sleet mix. 34.7

Nearing 3” and counting

Mix of snow sleet and rain at 36.1° and falling. Under a heavy dbz band causing the cooling...

Snow and sleet mix and sticking to cars and mulch now woo hooo!!#9 wintry precip on this season

@hyde345 wrote:

@rb924119 wrote:Nearing 3” and counting

RB where are you located? Im in Hyde Park and it's 34 here with rain and sleet.

I went home to my parents’ in NE PA lol left at 4:50am this morning after I got out of work. Probably don’t have anything in Fishkill, but that’s obviously speculation haha

@amugs wrote:Snow and sleet mix and sticking to cars and mulch now woo hooo!!#9 wintry precip on this season

BRING ‘ER HOME MUGSY AND DUNZ!!!!

Snow in Westchester but not dutchess? Odd