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January 2019 Observations and Discussions

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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 30, 2019 9:41 am

Squall line just passed through State College PA area with heavy snow and strong wind gusts. Interesting to see if it holds together until it gets here around 2 pm. Kind of a tease though, will only last about 20 minutes.

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Post by Smarnold Wed Jan 30, 2019 10:45 am

Quick question. What is the likelihood that the squall line makes it all the way to eastern NJ?

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Post by SENJsnowman Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:07 am

Radar seems to say yes for 3-4 pm time frame. Looks strong from 3:30 to 4- ish for the NYC area and from 4-4:30 for the Shore and LI.

SR radar has been as bad as the rest of the guidance lately...so take it fwiw... Smile

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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:11 am

Smarnold wrote:Quick question.  What is the likelihood that the squall line makes it all the way to eastern NJ?

Id say good.  But keep in mind that there will be areas where it thumps and areas where it just meh; similar to a line of thunderstorms. In between the stronger cell centers it may not be that exciting

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:13 am

CP, did you notice the temp difference between Doc (16) and me (8 degrees).  I too am surprised by the snow difference but amazing there can be 8 degrees difference across 20ish miles.
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Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:26 am

the Appalachians did a number on the squall line. Not sure how it's going to hold up.


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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:42 am

heehaw453 wrote:the Appalachians did a number on the squall line.  Not sure how it's going to hold up.


You got that right. Was afraid that was going to happen. See that so many times with squall lines and even thunderstorms as they get to the downside of the mountains. I'm keeping an eye on it though to see if it regenerates as it moves east toward the coast, but it is ragged right now.
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Post by aiannone Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:48 am

About to get hit by the squall here in Binghamton
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 433d2310

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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:53 am

aiannone wrote:About to get hit by the squall here in Binghamton
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 433d2310

Yep the line is still intact and strong up in your area. You should get a nice hit. The rest of the line south of there looks weak right now.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 30, 2019 11:59 am

WE HAD A SQUALL ADVISORY ABOUT AND HOUR AGO AND NOW ITS GONE...ARRRRR..
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:04 pm

aiannone wrote:About to get hit by the squall here in Binghamton
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 433d2310

Let us know how it is. This is the most exciting thing of this dreaded winter season so far.




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Post by aiannone Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:07 pm

White out here. Can’t see across the parking lot
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 4d87d510

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:10 pm

aiannone wrote:White out here. Can’t see across the parking lot
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 4d87d510
how exciting
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Post by aiannone Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:14 pm

Will it redevelop for the coast? Looks like the PA mountains are it up as usual
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 8cb6bb10

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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:24 pm

billg315 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:the Appalachians did a number on the squall line.  Not sure how it's going to hold up.


You got that right. Was afraid that was going to happen. See that so many times with squall lines and even thunderstorms as they get to the downside of the mountains. I'm keeping an eye on it though to see if it regenerates as it moves east toward the coast, but it is ragged right now.

This was expected. It will get reorganized again as it approaches central NJ & NYC and esp points east.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:03 pm

From SS 33&rain - this radar is IP and sick - look at how its blossoming

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 Twitt3.gif.34e68a33f01b76f6dbbfeb320ee6dfb2

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Post by heehaw453 Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:07 pm

amugs wrote:From SS 33&rain - this radar is IP and sick - look at how its blossoming

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 Twitt3.gif.34e68a33f01b76f6dbbfeb320ee6dfb2

Yes!! It’s regenerating nicely. I can see it in distance. Incoming!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:13 pm

Here it comes...

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:15 pm

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 DyLR2nSXgAEt1lr

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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:24 pm

Frank how do you post twitter tweets - I have tried multiple time sand to no avail - have to make this easier like just a copy and paste if possible.

Those who think this is falling apart before don not realize the radars in CPA are sparce and dont pick up teh echoes out there.

Morris-Hunterdon-Sussex-Somerset-Middlesex-Warren-Mercer-
108 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019

...SNOW SQUALLS WILL AFFECT MORRIS...HUNTERDON...SUSSEX...WARREN...
MERCER...SOMERSET AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 105 PM EST, snow squalls in eastern Pennsylvania were moving
toward northern and central New Jersey at 45 MPH.

Winds up to 40 mph are possible with these squalls as they move
through, along with brief heavy snow with less than one inch
accumulation.

Locations impacted include...
Trenton, New Brunswick, Perth Amboy, Easton, Morristown, Somerville,
Port Jervis, Newton, Montague, Somerset, Edison, Old Bridge, East
Brunswick, Bridgewater, South Brunswick, Sayreville, North Brunswick,
Ewing, Carteret and Dover.

Visibilities will drop quickly to between one half and one quarter
mile in these squalls.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads and reduced visibilities.
Slow down and allow extra time when traveling.

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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:26 pm

Getting to our range here
January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 Codnexlab.NEXRAD_DIX_N0Q.20190130_1810.024ani.gif.69e195e0c23bbb549b2fcb19fb4a8ab1

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Post by Smitty623 Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:31 pm

Even see snow squalls in the Bayville, Toms River area?

Sent from Topic'it App

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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:33 pm

Smitty623 wrote:Even see snow squalls in the Bayville, Toms River area?

Sent from Topic'it App

Yes you have the possibility of this

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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:40 pm

Squall line has reformed and strengthened as sroc predicted:January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 De7c2110
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:50 pm

billg315 wrote:Squall line has reformed and strengthened as sroc predicted:January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 De7c2110
.
It never weakened as I stated above due to the radar sparseness and echos reflection issues in this part of the land.

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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 1:55 pm

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 DyKkZb0WkAAwvow

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 30, 2019 2:04 pm

January 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 15 Inxr1Kphla_h

INCOMING!!!!!!!! WEST JERSEY ABOUT TO GET SLAMMED!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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