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2019 TROPICAL SEASON

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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:48 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:This is nuts!!! What is our strongest can on record? Whoes to say he won't go over 200mph at this point he could turn into a freaking evil unicorn I wouldn't be surprised Jesus. I hope everyone left the Bahamas.

Super-typhoon Tip. I believe it got down to 878 hPa or 876 hPa with estimated sustained winds in excess of 230 mph. This isn’t even close. There was one a few years back, Haiyan, also in the western Pacific that came close but didn’t get there. I think it got down to 886 hPa and sustained winds of 225 mph.
I meant in Atlantic I know there been typhoons crazy strong.
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Post by sroc4 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:52 am

2019 TROPICAL SEASON - Page 9 48c12b10

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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:07 am

@sroc4 wrote:2019 TROPICAL SEASON - Page 9 48c12b10
excuse me I'm sorry did that say 913mb holy skiks!!
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Post by hyde345 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:08 am

913mb/180MPH at 11am from NHC and still strengthening. This is a disaster for Bahamas.
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Post by Grselig on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:11 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:This is nuts!!! What is our strongest can on record? Whoes to say he won't go over 200mph at this point he could turn into a freaking evil unicorn I wouldn't be surprised Jesus. I hope everyone left the Bahamas.

Super-typhoon Tip. I believe it got down to 878 hPa or 876 hPa with estimated sustained winds in excess of 230 mph. This isn’t even close. There was one a few years back, Haiyan, also in the western Pacific that came close but didn’t get there. I think it got down to 886 hPa and sustained winds of 225 mph.
I meant in Atlantic I know there been typhoons crazy strong.

Just saw a tweet by Phillip Klotzbch. Since 1950 3 Atlantic hurricanes have had max winds stronger than Dorians of 180 mph. Allen (1980 190) Gilbert (1988 185) and Wilma 2005 (2005 185). Does not mention pressure.
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Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:11 am

@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:This is nuts!!! What is our strongest can on record? Whoes to say he won't go over 200mph at this point he could turn into a freaking evil unicorn I wouldn't be surprised Jesus. I hope everyone left the Bahamas.

Super-typhoon Tip. I believe it got down to 878 hPa or 876 hPa with estimated sustained winds in excess of 230 mph. This isn’t even close. There was one a few years back, Haiyan, also in the western Pacific that came close but didn’t get there. I think it got down to 886 hPa and sustained winds of 225 mph.
I meant in Atlantic I know there been typhoons crazy strong.

Hurricane Wilma, 2005, got down to 882 hPa (885 hPa, maybe?). Somewhere in there. Again, not even close right now lol

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Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:20 am

Recon just made another pass. Down to 910 mb.
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Post by Grselig on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:23 am

Hurricane watches up for Florida.
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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:28 am

Down to 913 and wind speed found at 202 mph Jesus H !!

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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:28 am

NHC doing that is telling

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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:32 am

Her eye is expanding. Holy Moly!!

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Post by Grselig on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:44 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:Recon just made another pass. Down to 910 mb.

Its now 909!
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Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:44 am

Hurricane hunters just picked up a 909mb!!! Can't fathom those islands post-Dorian...
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Post by Joe Snow on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:47 am

Crawling at 8 MPH - 278° direction................ pure destruction in its path
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Post by Dtone on Sun Sep 01, 2019 11:52 am

@Grselig wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:This is nuts!!! What is our strongest can on record? Whoes to say he won't go over 200mph at this point he could turn into a freaking evil unicorn I wouldn't be surprised Jesus. I hope everyone left the Bahamas.

Super-typhoon Tip. I believe it got down to 878 hPa or 876 hPa with estimated sustained winds in excess of 230 mph. This isn’t even close. There was one a few years back, Haiyan, also in the western Pacific that came close but didn’t get there. I think it got down to 886 hPa and sustained winds of 225 mph.
I meant in Atlantic I know there been typhoons crazy strong.

Just saw a tweet by Phillip Klotzbch.  Since 1950 3 Atlantic  hurricanes have had max winds stronger than Dorians of 180 mph. Allen (1980 190) Gilbert (1988 185) and Wilma 2005 (2005 185). Does not mention pressure.

How many actually made landfall at that strength though?
This thing is right the shore now and still strengthening.

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Post by billg315 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:05 pm

Wow. 180 mph gusts to 205 mph. Currently the 5th strongest Atlantic basin hurricane of all-time according to a list I just saw. Not many structures on the Bahamas won’t be wiped out or severely damaged by that.
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Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:38 pm

907mb

shocked
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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:50 pm

Pressure down to 906 and winds up to 175 knts whichnis 202 mph

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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:54 pm

Wind gusts are 225 mph
Storm surge is 20-25'
Highest pint of Grand Bahama elevation is 48'
Put 30-50' waves onto and you have just annihilation.
This is a sheer humanity disaster for these people.
Anyone see how the gfs tries to phase him by us? A few hours earlier and oh boy!!

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Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:58 pm

@amugs wrote:Wind gusts are 225 mph
Storm surge is 20-25'
Highest pint of Grand Bahama elevation is 48'
Put 30-50' waves onto and you have just annihilation.
This is a sheer humanity disaster for these people.
Anyone see how the gfs tries to phase him by us? A few hours earlier and oh boy!!

Definitely something to watch, the Gfs has been coming closer each run with that interaction. 12z CMC is very close as well

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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:10 pm

Well officially 185mph, 911mb, why if they are finding these numbers is he not upgraded to those? Now I gotta look we could have a potential storm now?
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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:11 pm

Also how much does the fact that the GFS pressure initializes almost 50mb too high? I would imagine this could change model track from reality etc?
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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:15 pm

Wow CMC shifted north west alot towards us brings heavy rains to cape cod and even some outer rains here, but again cmc initializes almost 70mb too high.
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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:26 pm

BREAKING: #HurricaneDorian has made landfall on Elbow Cay in the Abacos of the northwest Bahamas. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 185 mph.

CAT 5 built homes are being destroyed on the island from reports.

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Post by amugs on Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:47 pm

Here is why the hcane watches went up.
His wind field is expanding
2019 TROPICAL SEASON - Page 9 Img_2036

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