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Long Range Discussions 21.0

The SSW back in January has been trickling down into the troposphere for some time, but this next dip down comes with the lobe of the vortex displaced closer to North America. Subsequently, rather than Siberia, the coldest air will now displace over North America. #Energy #NatGas pic.twitter.com/qp71s37Nc5

— Bret Walts (@BretWaltsWx) February 2, 2021

December 2020 Observations and Discussion

from BAMWx
The new GEFS is starting to see a *potential* sudden stratospheric warming event within the next 10 days. As the North Pacific pattern starts to feature some blocking (-EPO) its going to doing some serious work on the #PolarVortex. This is something to watch closely. #natgas




This woudl squeeze the PV and elongate it dropping some cold into the USA as depicted by the above maps. Time will tell for sure but interesting and some good news before the Nina state takes over.