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DEC 18th-20th 2023--Wet, White, Wind?

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 17, 2023 10:38 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Radar looks impressive. I guess the RGEM from 2 days ago had a clue. The models all caved to it
And I believe you said toss to me, hey I honestly wasn't expect it either. Whats your thoughts on the wind threat? The models as mugs posted are still really bullish and scary if true, not buying the 3km NAM verbatim but do you think this will actually play out to at least the NWS warnings and advisories rather than nothing like last week? Just curious on ur opinion, I have mine and mugs appears to agree.

I think 60+ mph gusts NYC east are likely. I don’t think winds west of NYC will be as bad. But with all of the rain we’re getting, it won’t take much for there to be wind damage.
I am 1 block from the bronx so i guess that includes me. And im surprised we are in the afvisory but 15 miles east of here is under hww. And how long duration at approx what time? I know sorry thats a lot questions. Im go bed but i want get up when it is supposed to be ripping.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 17, 2023 10:46 pm

GreyBeard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:b ased on radar looks like almost all the rain is well off to the west and moving NW, is this storm coming in more west? if so I think we can expect higher end winds and less rain? Huge gap for majority of area for rain, I presume it will fill in over night but underwhelming for the next several hours at least. You can certainly see the rotation and center is still way down in carolinas, long way to go.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/national/weather-radar


I was thinking the same thing jman. Looks like central PA. has been getting hammered while up to this point I have been getting dry slotted, which is fine by me. It's pretty wild how far north you have to go before there is a changeover to snow. All the way to Hudson Bay.
be glad its not snow then as this would suck. Nam shows it picking up fairly fast overnight and i think nyc on east is ripping winds by early morning into late morning possibly. Nw of nyc flooding go be biggest issue but as frank just posted with all this rain there will b wind damage.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 17, 2023 10:55 pm

Oh man i just realized they put up one of those cranes for big buildings near my job in new rochelle. I hope they took precautions to secure it. Ive heard of them coming down in less wind before.
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Post by Zhukov1945 Sun Dec 17, 2023 11:13 pm


HRRR still calling for 2-3" on top of what has already come down. Early morning hours look intense1 - DEC 18th-20th 2023--Wet, White, Wind?   - Page 8 Screen11
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Dec 18, 2023 2:34 am

Winda are ripping at 25mph and rain steady the wind woke me hp
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 18, 2023 3:15 am

Can’t sleep. Rain is coming down hard and winds are causing it to slam into the windows. Hoboken is going to flood…

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Post by silentwreck Mon Dec 18, 2023 3:37 am

Hey all! Quick update: Heavy wind swept rain in Astoria, NY. Winds are definitely picking up!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 3:55 am

Heavy rain, I hear the neighboors windchime blowing around and rain hitting windows, can also see rain whipsing around at times and running and blowing along the road. It is hard for me to tell because I have a number of buildings around me that block the wind, I would have to go up the road while is open and higher up. But raining much too hard for that.

Update 4:38 winds are blowing rain in sheets scross neigboorhood. So far only a few ourages in westchester. The rain has let up a bit. and you can hear it roaring which is not easy here on a busy street.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Dec 18, 2023 4:40 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Radz Mon Dec 18, 2023 4:38 am

57*, 1.62” in the bucket, breezy but no big winds up this way…
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Post by Radz Mon Dec 18, 2023 5:04 am

Wind kicking up now… hear it roaring through the trees up on top of the surrounding hills…
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 5:07 am

Did anyone else see tgat huge flash in direction of hudson in southern westchester. Power surged so my guess is transformers blew. It happened twice. No thunder so thats my guess.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 5:10 am

Radz wrote:Wind kicking up now… hear it roaring through the trees up on top of the surrounding hills…
same here transformers just exploded in dustance. Power went out for a brief moment.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Dec 18, 2023 5:59 am

Mild 55 degrees, moderate rain and very windy with higher gusts.There have been bursts of heavy rain.Just put the garbage out by the street and it is something to experience out there.Looks like a wild 3 to 4 hours coming up.
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Post by phil155 Mon Dec 18, 2023 6:20 am

Heavy rain here

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Post by billg315 Mon Dec 18, 2023 6:29 am

Heavy rain continues to fall here. Already at close to 3” I believe, may approach 4 if it keeps raining at this rate. Pretty sure there will be some flooding around here and continue under a Flood Warning. Temp wise, a balmy 61*. The barometer has just crashed here, now at 29.08.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 6:35 am

Looking at the radar and the fact that it got dead calm suddenly when the rain stopped i think it may be over for my arwa in terms of the high winds and rain. We really got very little rain it appears. The fencing arpund s scaffolding collapsed blocking a entire block and a few trees down. We will see if radar fills in but futuecast keeps all the rain over nj and training due north. In a big dryslot now.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Dec 18, 2023 6:57 am

1.78 inches worth of rain didn’t sleep as well. Last night the wind was howling all night and it continues to be. Windy . Just for a heads up if anyone is taking the throggs neck bridge don’t stay home .i live of the highway and it’s not moving the traffic going to Queens or Long Island I am assuming the Whitestone bridge is closed as well

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Post by dkodgis Mon Dec 18, 2023 6:59 am

I checked my rain gauge: leak. I looked outside with the first light and the wetlands six feet down off my driveway are a swimming pool. I have not seen it that flooded for some 20 years. Water is flying off my slightly tilted lawn across the driveway into the wetlands area. I heard no winds and did not ser, jear rain last night. Even my cameras show nothing from last night. I thought it had not rained much but damn it really did.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 7:36 am

Never mind ripping again with a sudden downpour. My daughter has 2 hr delay. This looks like a TS wind is just blowing across the open areas in sheets. Pretty cool looking.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 7:49 am

frank 638 wrote:1.78 inches worth of rain didn’t sleep as well. Last night the wind was howling all night and it continues to be. Windy . Just for a heads up if anyone is taking the throggs neck bridge don’t stay home .i live of the highway and it’s not moving the traffic going to Queens or Long Island I am assuming the Whitestone bridge is closed as well
i dont believe they even closrd the bridges completely for sandy did they? Some damage around here a snapped pole few trees down snd a barracade arpund a scaffold fell down blocking a entire block.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Dec 18, 2023 8:17 am

jmanley32 wrote:
frank 638 wrote:1.78 inches worth of rain didn’t sleep as well. Last night the wind was howling all night and it continues to be. Windy . Just for a heads up if anyone is taking the throggs neck bridge don’t stay home .i live of the highway and it’s not moving the traffic going to Queens or Long Island I am assuming the Whitestone bridge is closed as well
i dont believe they even closrd the bridges completely for sandy did they? Some damage around here a snapped pole few trees down snd a barracade arpund a scaffold fell down blocking an entire block.
it’s hard to tell because because traffic is moving very slowly on throggs neck expy on the throggs neck bridge I don’t know if they are letting tractor-trailers on or off the bridge or if there’s a speed limit but the Whitestone bridge is open .at least it’s not that windy out

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 18, 2023 8:37 am

Sun is coming out in distsnce. Rxpected precip for longer
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Post by frank 638 Mon Dec 18, 2023 8:41 am

Jman the sun is trying to come out. I do see a couple blue patches but it’s very warm and somewhat humid

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Dec 18, 2023 8:48 am

3.5" of rain here, sun coming out now. Due to the heavy rain upstream in NYS our reservoir is going to hit capacity and they are going to have to let the water out. They are preparing for a wall of water to come down through the brook in town, not good.

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Post by kalleg Mon Dec 18, 2023 8:56 am

55*, light rain, total cloud cover in New Hope, rain gauge says so far we've had a bit under 3"

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Dec 18, 2023 9:05 am

The rain from this storm has stretched all the way up to James Bay in Quebec and parts of Labrador. I haven't seen snow from this on any of the northern or western extremes of this precipitation field which in mid December is really odd, well use to be odd, this is our new climate and I for one can't stand it.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Dec 18, 2023 9:10 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:The  rain from this storm has stretched all the way up to James Bay in Quebec and parts of Labrador. I haven't seen snow from this on any of the northern or western extremes of this precipitation field which in mid December is really odd, well use to be odd, this is our new climate and I for one can't stand it.
I hate to say this but ur right it’s warm outside it feels like April then Dec

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