Re: January 2nd-3rd Storm Details / Snow Map

by goalscore Tue Dec 31, 2013 2:56 pm

Nows a great time for a big snowstorm before all the daytime heating issues in late feb and march. Very cold airmass coming in.

Usually models tend to trend west within 24 hours but sometimes end up turning out how it shows now. So expect a west trend tonight or tomorrow but dont get too excited yet.

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Dec 31, 2013 2:57 pm

We were in 6-12 inches, not far from the 12-18 belt yesterday. NOW they think 3-5" in NYC. I cannot. It's the most annoying kind of storm in Manhattan. By the time it even sticks, the friggen storm is over!!

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:05 pm

So what happened, the 'main' Low is WAY out there and now there's a secondary weaker Low offshore to us?

by **jmanley32** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:06 pm

It's snowing a bit in the bronx. Those showers are comin in.

by Deweydave Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:09 pm

jmanley32

Off phone on Accu Weather for Danbury. First was 4-8 Then 6-10 and today 8-12

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:24 pm

18z NAM

January 2nd-3rd Storm Details / Snow Map - Page 2 Nam-mslp-qpf6-us_hr51

by **HectorO** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:25 pm

Snow flurries in ridgewood nj.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:26 pm

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:27 pm

That's what I was mentioning in last nights chat for years a day out and a jog to the west is possible

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:28 pm

18z NAM is widespread 6-12 inches.

I KNEW THESE MODELS WERE CRAZY

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:29 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:30 pm

Maybe this gets support from the 00z NAM and GFS tonight. We'll see

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:32 pm

The Nam is showing one LOW, no?

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:47 pm

I think tonights model runs will be important and nail this thing down to bad its new years will anyone post them

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:48 pm

Northern stream energy is the most important piece of this storm. And now that these runs are getting better sampling of it, we could see changes with the 00z data tonight.

by **HectorO** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:52 pm

Whoa , we got snow now! Within 2 minutes everything as been coated. Heavy flakes at my job here in ridgewood. Where did this band come from?

by **pdubz** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:53 pm

winter storm watch was just issued for me. northern Nassau county

by **RJB8525** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:54 pm

Winter storm watches are going out,issued for me in S.I so it has to be well rounded

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
352 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013

...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-010500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0005.140102T2300Z-140103T2300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
352 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...PASSAIC...HUDSON...BERGEN...ESSEX...AND UNION
COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY. ORANGE...PUTNAM...ROCKLAND...WESTCHESTER
NEW YORK...BRONX...RICHMOND...KINGS AND QUEENS COUNTIES IN NEW
YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW...WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

by **docstox12** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:59 pm

Snow flurries started in Mahwah NJ

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:59 pm

4-8 INCHES in Upton's WINTER STORM WATCH statement. ehhh.

by nofoboater Tue Dec 31, 2013 3:59 pm

Happy New Year Frank, Sroc, Stox, Zoo and everyone else on the board!
And stay safe.
Cheers,
Nofo

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:00 pm

If we can get this storm to back in 100 miles west, we've got ourselves possible "B _ _ _ _ _ _ _" Conditions THURSDAY night.

by **sroc4** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:00 pm

nofoboater wrote:Happy New Year Frank, Sroc, Stox, Zoo and everyone else on the board!
And stay safe.
Cheers,
Nofo

Ditto my friend!!

by **docstox12** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:02 pm

Heavy snow shower now Mahwah nj. Ground getting coated.

by **docstox12** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:03 pm

nofoboater wrote:Happy New Year Frank, Sroc, Stox, Zoo and everyone else on the board!
And stay safe.
Cheers,
Nofo

You too, Nofo! Tight lines in 2014,Man!

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:03 pm

Winter storm watches issues. They have 4-8 which is where most guidance stands. My first call was 5-10, but wouldn't be surprised if I had to make everyone 8-12 by tomorrow afternoon if these trends continue.

by **HectorO** Tue Dec 31, 2013 4:04 pm

docstox12 wrote:Heavy snow shower now Mahwah nj.

I'm working now in ridgewood, it stopped but coated the parking lot, roofs, cars and grass.

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