January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Page 1 of 2 1, 2  Next

Go down

January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Jan 24, 2016 11:55 am

Good Morning!

Please follow the link to my blog to read my Storm in Review. Quite a historic event for many!

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/01/january-23-2016-roidzilla-storm-in.html


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18598
Reputation : 271
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 26
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by hyde345 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:22 pm

Frank, great write up and great job with a very difficult forecast. Predicting where the cutoff was going to be was very tough given how extreme it was. Unfortunately, it turned out to be IMBY, but I'm looking forward to some white gold in future storms.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 654
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by jimv45 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:29 pm

hyde in better words we go screwed!! Looking at those pictures is torture but hey its the weather and I have seen it all but never the cutoffs like this!!!! congrats to all you didn't suffer!!!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1014
Reputation : 29
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : dutchess county ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by frank 638 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:41 pm

frank excellent job and you nailed this storm it was a tough call but we got what we wanted cant wait till we get a another storm soon

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1854
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 35
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by hyde345 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:43 pm

jimv45 wrote:hyde in better words we go screwed!! Looking at those pictures is torture but hey its the weather and I have seen it all but never the cutoffs like this!!!! congrats to all you didn't suffer!!!!

My brother-in-law who lives on Long Island sent me a picture of the 2 feet in his backyard to rub it in a little. I sent him a picture of my backyard with the green grass and me barbequing. Who's jealous now? Wink
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 654
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:58 pm

Great job Frank. To say this storm tested our time and patience would be an understatement. I went to bed last night exhausted having spending the last week model watching into the late night. In the end it was all worth it. I measured 22 inches in my town in Nutley. It was a great storm, but 1996 still ranks #1 to me having received 30 inches in that storm. Hopefully it won't be long before we see our next event. I'm fairly certain we will see another Godzilla this winter probably sometime in February.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1549
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 52
Location : Nutley, new jersey

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Mac003 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 12:59 pm

Frank. Thanks for the knowledge. We are all better for it. You saw this before it appeared on any conventional forecast and helped us understand what was driving the changes from model run to model run. Keep it up Laughing

Mac003

Posts : 19
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-12-14
Location : Clifton, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Grselig on Sun Jan 24, 2016 1:15 pm

Great write up. Its always fun to read the post game show when we win (most of us, unfortunately not all).
Grselig
Grselig
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1038
Reputation : 113
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 48
Location : Wayne NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by jimv45 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 1:20 pm

In my jealous rant I forgot to say great job Frank you are the man!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1014
Reputation : 29
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : dutchess county ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by jimv45 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 1:26 pm

Yea Hyde I was doing good until i started seeing pictures then the breakdown!!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1014
Reputation : 29
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : dutchess county ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by docstox12 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 1:26 pm

Frank, great job during the week and with this.Congrats to all members who jackpotted.

I am in a major league slump with huge snowstorms since Boxing Day.Juno,Nemo and this Roidzilla should have given me two feet plus but I got 2,9, and 13 inches missing out by mere 25 to 30 miles.
Looking for a HV special this winter.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6512
Reputation : 144
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 68
Location : Monroe NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by hyde345 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 1:52 pm

docstox12 wrote:Frank, great job during the week and with this.Congrats to all members who jackpotted.

I am in a major league slump with huge snowstorms since Boxing Day.Juno,Nemo and this Roidzilla should have given me two feet plus but I got 2,9, and 13 inches missing out by mere 25 to 30 miles.
Looking for a HV special this winter.

From your mouth to God's ears.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 654
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by petep1000 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 2:01 pm

Great write up Frank. It's amazing that the NAM and other mesoscale models sniffed this out and they ignored all the noise of convective feedback. I guess in the future, we will have to give them some credence. I feel for you guys in the HV. I was mountain climbing in Washington State years ago and we got 68 inches of snow on Mt Rainier in 24 hours. Twenty miles away it was sunny and 40. Mother nature will always throw us a curveball. My Nonna used to say "some days you're the statue and some days you're the pigeon." That is so true....
petep1000
petep1000

Posts : 35
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2016-01-18
Age : 60
Location : West Orange

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by elkiehound on Sun Jan 24, 2016 2:06 pm

Thankful it was not a wet heavy snow.
elkiehound
elkiehound

Posts : 41
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-12-09
Location : Flemington Nj

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by richb521 on Sun Jan 24, 2016 2:51 pm

Great job with all of your knowledge and insight along with all of the other moderators of this board. The updates are really helpful and very informative. It is nice knowing I can get an idea of the whole picture (or pattern) so I know more of what to expect than with the traditional forecasts elsewhere. I'm a lurker but I follow up on your updates regularly. Keep up the good work!

richb521

Posts : 8
Reputation : 3
Join date : 2014-01-19
Age : 44
Location : Hillsborough, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by amugs on Sun Jan 24, 2016 4:31 pm

Frank,
Great write up, analysis of this storm.this was THE MOST EXHAUSTING STORM TO TRACK!! Great work with your forecasts as u said we learn something new each time. This was not considered a blizzard for my area even though I along with ZOO recieved 22" which I have never received such an amount and not been in a blizzard warning criteria for such even though I had the snow fall per hour rates but not the sustained winds but at times had white out cinditions. Sorry but 19 96 will be my #1 aNutley said hands down, I have a long write up in the archives of my personal experience for this storm. But Roidzilla was incredible for a vast majority of this board and excellent work here peeos. As tired as I maybe I am ready for the next one and then one after that and the next 3-6 after that, weenie wishing but maybe after the first week of Feb peeps.


Last edited by amugs on Mon Jan 25, 2016 2:49 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 10058
Reputation : 146
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 49
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by WeatherBob on Sun Jan 24, 2016 8:44 pm

Does anyone have a link to a radar loop of the entire storm to post? That would be interesting to see.
WeatherBob
WeatherBob
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 544
Reputation : 80
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Caldwell, NJ - NW Essex County - Altitude 480 ft

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by sroc4 on Mon Jan 25, 2016 1:00 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Does anyone have a link to a radar loop of the entire storm to post?  That would be interesting to see.




_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 5.75"" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
Feb 12th 2.75"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6173
Reputation : 231
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Dtone on Mon Jan 25, 2016 4:19 pm


Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1717
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Jan 30, 2016 2:42 am

NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Jan 30, 2016 10:10 am

That was fast

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18598
Reputation : 271
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 26
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Jan 30, 2016 10:58 am

Frank_Wx wrote:That was fast

Interesting interactive snow map, seems like higher totals were in a general band from 518-Rt27/Rt1 north from there in NJ and south from I80 to the north. Very localized heavier banding, 8" (officially) higher in my town then just a couple miles to my north. Many similar situations, about 10" less about 5 miles to my southeast in Kingston. Knew I noticed some massive differences with the height of the snowpack/road pile height as I was driving around.

http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf/2016/01/final_snowfall_totals_across_nj_from_monster_blizz.html

28" could very well be an all time record in my town. Still in disbelief... Too bad Belle Mead is hit or miss listed and different geographically from Hboro which is why I dont like to use it.
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Aug 28, 2016 6:30 pm


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18598
Reputation : 271
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 26
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Math23x7 on Sat Dec 31, 2016 9:18 pm

This was hands down my favorite moment of 2016.

Since November 2011, I have been tracking the models for potential storms, especially winter storms. I have seen numerous instances of Roidzillas on the models, especially 200+ hours out which don't happen. Some show up in the median range and don't happen. Another potential storm showed up 2-3 days out (1/26/15; "Juno") and did not pan out.

In this case, in the days leading up to it, it seemed like the storm would be suppressed (ala 2/6/10) and keep the big snows to our south. Throughout the day on Friday, January 22nd, models made a last minute trend northward with the snow, giving me excitement. Then that night, around the time the snow began, The 0Z RGEM came out and showed me this:



My post at 10:35 PM on the Observations thread (which I meant to put in the discussion thread):

WOW WOW WOW WOW WOW THE RGEM SHOWS A ROIDZILLA FOR NYC FROM THIS STORM!!!!!!

And at 10:39 PM in the Discussions thread, I posted the above image and said this:

"Hour 16 of the 0Z RGEM!!!! As Frank would say: MADONNE! ROIDZILLA INCOMING!!!!"

In my mind, I was screaming with excitement, I went to my father and said to him without hesitation, "WE'RE GETTING TWO FEET OF SNOW!!!" In this instance, a Roidzilla wasn't just possible, it wasn't just likely, it was IMMINENT!

I ended up with 25" of snow. While Bellerose does not keep official snowfall records, looking at Kocin-Uccilini snowmaps, the most snow that was recorded there prior to this occurred in the February 1969 Lindsay Day snowstorm, when 22" fell. This surpassed it alright!

This was a great moment in an otherwise dull winter, which was the second warmest on record.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2155
Reputation : 51
Join date : 2013-01-08

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Math23x7 on Mon Jan 22, 2018 9:05 pm

Hands down my favorite snow event. 25" of snow IMBY! It began two years ago tonight!

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2155
Reputation : 51
Join date : 2013-01-08

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 23, 2016 - Roidzilla Storm In Review

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 1 of 2 1, 2  Next

Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum