Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

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Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by sroc4 on Thu Dec 15, 2016 7:41 am



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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 15, 2016 12:18 pm

First call for the Friday night-Saturday winter weather event:

Start: 11pm Friday-3am Saturday
End: 12-4pm Saturday

Look for flurries and light snow to begin breaking out across much of the region late tomorrow night and early Saturday morning. I am expecting that as the precipitation increases in coverage and intensity, the warm air aloft will be rapidly approaching from the south and east. As a result, kept snowfall amounts generally lighter and added some ice accretion, mainly for the higher terrain (as outlined by the areas of higher snow/sleet accumulations), seeing as though surface temperatures will likely lag the levels above with the speed at which they get above freezing. For all areas, this is likely going to end as plain and drizzle during the early-afternoon on Saturday. Any updates will be posted tomorrow as a final call.

To see the thought process behind my forecast, please watch the video at the link below:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Byod2Sk27yNYMG5zZlJCNEVnODA


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Re: Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by sroc4 on Fri Dec 16, 2016 7:54 am

Reasoning for my changes are in the other thread, but here is my final call.



_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Dec 16, 2016 11:22 am

Final call


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Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: Saturday December 17th 2016 Snow Storm--SNOW MAPS ONLY

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