January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

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January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by sroc4 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 12:44 pm

Here is my first call map I started putting together after I evaluated all the 00z runs last night but before looking at 6z, along with the second call map after fully evaluating the 6z and most of the 12z runs this afternoon.  Yes this is coming out before I see the Euro.  I feel pretty good about this map except to say anywhere east of the city, esp the eastern half of geographical LI and the central and eastern coastlines of CT may have some enhancement to totals if any mesobanding sets up over them.  Remember this will be a higher ratio snow so if a meso band sets up over top of these areas, even a thin one, for an hour or two, an additional 1-2" to 1-3" additional is possible on top of totals on the second call map, but this would likely be in isolated areas.  Unfortunately we will likely need to watch the best mesobanding sit just offshore south and east of LI.  Sorry to my N&W brethren.  I do hope we have a last minute miracle, on the order of an extra 1-2" for you guys, and gals as well, but Im just not feeling it.  




Last edited by sroc4 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 12:47 pm; edited 2 times in total

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"[/b]
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 12:46 pm

Nice map Scott, I agree
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 1:04 pm



NWS Upton raises totals! Solid event for Suffolk County
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Jan 06, 2017 2:51 pm

First and final call snow map



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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 2:54 pm

Wow from your posts earlier I didnt think you would go that aggressive for LI. Guess I gotta prep the snowblower. I will say SREF nailed this past event. Had a mean of 1.96" for Islip for this event, I got 1.9"
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by syosnow94 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 4:24 pm

c


Last edited by syosnow94 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 4:48 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by sroc4 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 4:34 pm

Im assuming you meant to post this in Banter right Jim? You posted your complaint in the snow map only thread by mistake??

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"[/b]
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by snow247 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:06 pm

Here is my first and final call


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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

Post by amugs on Sat Jan 07, 2017 1:37 am

BETTER UP THESES SNOW MAPS GUYS GUIDANCE IS FLYING WEST AND UPPING QPF - STJ JUMPING!!

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Re: January 7th 2017 Snow Storm: SNOW MAPS ONLY

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