January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Page 10 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 9, 10, 11, 12  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:28 pm

GFS is running now

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:29 pm

Gfs has initialized.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13312
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:29 pm

Lol rb
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13312
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:33 pm

Every time I tell myself I'm going to go to bed, another model run starts and I end up staying up.
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:33 pm

It just doesn't seem right to me. The global model depictions look right, I just wasn't thinking that the H5 low would get THAT far into the block (north). If you noticed, H5 on the NAM after hour 72 stopped its northward progression and started heading ESE because of the block. If it just maintained a NE heading like the CMC and UKMET had north and west would get slam canned. Clearly my thinking is wrong, though, so I'm just here to analyze now lmfao

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:33 pm

TheAresian wrote:Every time I tell myself I'm going to go to bed, another model run starts and I end up staying up.

The struggles are real, my friend. We are all right there with you ahahaha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:34 pm

#TeamWeatherJunkies

Thank God for Benny Hill on YouTube.
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:37 pm

GFS looks the same through 30.....I feel like a broken record lol Why couldn't this be fluff? Sad Sad Sad

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:47 pm

I don't see the 2nd closed low on the GFS.
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:49 pm

TheAresian wrote:I don't see the 2nd closed low on the GFS.

Yeah it's not there. GFS is a little north of 12z at H5 through 54 Sad

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:51 pm

OK now I've lost it. GFS IS MUCH COLDER THAN 12z AT 60!!! ????????????

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:52 pm




rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:52 pm

rb924119 wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I don't see the 2nd closed low on the GFS.

Yeah it's not there. GFS is a little north of 12z at H5 through 54 Sad

what does all this mean.. no storm or are you looking for cold air...my brain is about to shut down..
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1526
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:54 pm

The 850 temp is sub freezing for me at hr 66.
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:54 pm

Gotta be an error because H5 ends up almost identical to 12z through 72. And it means bad impacts, like we've been seeing.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:55 pm

Yeah it was just that hour lol it's warm. I knew it had to be with H5 where it was aha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:59 pm

At the rate it's going west, that closed low is gonna end up in Ohio or Michigan by the 12z tomorrow.
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:59 pm

TheAresian wrote:At the rate it's going west, that closed low is gonna end up in Ohio or Michigan by the 12z tomorrow.

Agreed ahaha Oh man now comes the CMC lol

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:01 pm

Not as much rain with the GFS at least, so that's good.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:03 pm

Look at how far it's moved in 24 hours.

1/20 00z


1/21 00z
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:07 pm

TheAresian wrote:Look at how far it's moved in 24 hours.

1/20 00z


1/21 00z

Great post! Yeah it's pretty amazing and sad all at the same time aha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by TheAresian on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:09 pm

Am I close in my guess that a lot of the westward movement of the low comes from the fact that the "bar"/block separating the two troughs has disappeared?
avatar
TheAresian
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 597
Join date : 2014-03-07
Location : Painted Post NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:12 pm

TheAresian wrote:Am I close in my guess that a lot of the westward movement of the low comes from the fact that the "bar"/block separating the two troughs has disappeared?

Thumbs up Thumbs up Thumbs up

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:16 pm

Through 60 CMC is roughly the same location as 12z but slightly deeper. It would appear that we have a battle of wills going on ahaha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Fri Jan 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Through 84 CMC shifted H5 about 75 miles further northwest than 12z. If you're looking for frozen precip, even you, Aresian, the trends tonight are not a good sign.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3662
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 22nd-24th Storm Update / Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 10 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 9, 10, 11, 12  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum