Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:54 pm

billg315 wrote:There has been a lot of consistency with this being a long-duration event, I guess because of blocking to the north. If that is true I would say this, to ease the concerns of those who would be negatively impacted by a track taking the Low center on, or hugging, the coast. In that scenario I would think it still starts as snow, and even IF (IF because I lean against this happening) it was so close as to cause a change to sleet and rain in the middle as it tracks by NJ, it seems once it got a little north of us it would go back to snow - possibly for quite some time with a slow moving system (at that point we'd be in the CCB). So we'd get a good thump on the front-end and on the back-end. This is why I'm not so concerned about models showing a track right along the coast. If that's the WORST CASE scenario, its not awful. The real worst case is the damn thing goes OTS.

BINGO Billg!!

These huge storms have tended to take an east jog as they approach here, so having them start a little west is good,IMO.rb has a great analysis in a few posts above this one on this.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:55 pm

by **sroc4** Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:55 pm

Remember we are still 3.5 days away. By 00z Sunday We should be able to nail down the track.

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:56 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
SNOW MAN wrote:I can already hear the jet taking off with Jim Cantore on it heading for Bastan !

100% true

Yep, guess Chief Thundersnow will be dancing around screaming at the top of his lungs again,lol!

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:04 pm

15:1 euro snow map

by **GreyBeard** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:14 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:15:1 euro snow map

YIKES! 51" at the Kennedy Compound on Cape Cod. What determines the ratios, the temperature?

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:15 pm

GreyBeard wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:15:1 euro snow map

YIKES! 51" at the Kennedy Compound on Cape Cod. What determines the ratios, the temperature?

Yes, it will not be 15:1 for the entire storm. Especially long the coast like that.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:16 pm

SREFS would show a bomb if they kept going. I love the SREFS

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 SREFSLPSpread15087

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:17 pm

The EURO Ensembles are coming in stronger and west of the EURO OP. May be begin seeing a compromise between the GFS and EURO.

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb8177f3d

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb8177f3d

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:19 pm

EPS are a definite Roidzilla with isolated Frankzilla amounts

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fc03c3942

by **mikeypizano** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:24 pm

Guys, please stop posting so much, I hadda clean up the slop and I wore my Trackpoint middle button out scrolling through all this!

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:25 pm

I would be at work all week if this verifies reminds me of the boxing day blizzard

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:32 pm

With Crap Storm Out of the Way, Attention Turns to TuesdayModels Insist Roidzilla Likely Tuesday; Locally Frankzilla Amounts Possible!!!

The new headline scroll...in case you missed it. Thing of beauty Frank!

by **SNOW MAN** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:33 pm

Yeah, but I'm waiting for the NJ strong banner to change to Godzilla mode !

by Guest Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:36 pm

I taught for 1 hour and come back to 4 pages of posts and knew something was up[/b[b]]. Then I saw the scroll and said GOD BLESS THE EURO. A compromise between the Euro and the GFS would make the entire forum giddy!

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:38 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I taught for 1 hour and come back to 4 pages of posts and knew something was up[/b]. Then I saw the scroll and said GOD BLESS THE EURO. A compromise between the Euro and the GFS would make the entire forum giddy!

The euro ensembles showed it

by **jmanley32** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:40 pm

A compromise between euro and gfs would put us most attractive at 18 to 24 plus. And might I mention the wind this monster will produce woth the way it's shown to deepen.

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:41 pm

Here they are BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb10

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb11

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb12

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb13

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fb14

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fc10

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 58c2fc11

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:46 pm

Never seen anything like this EPS signal...

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th - Page 11 Img_3418

by **lglickman1** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:49 pm

Is this all snow?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:51 pm

lglickman1 wrote:Is this all snow?

It's a probability map. The tans light to darker are anywhere from 50-75% chance of greater than a foot of snow. Very impressive this far out.

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:55 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
lglickman1 wrote:Is this all snow?

It's a probability map. The tans light to darker are anywhere from 50-75% chance of greater than a foot of snow. Very impressive this far out.

This is when years ago with my old cube NOOA weather radio they would be announcing the good possibility of a foot of snow a few days out.THAT is very impressive that probability map, and I am sure the variables must all be coming in line for it to spit that out.

by **bloc1357** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:56 pm

Wow...we went RED...*hit just got real!!!

by Sparky Sparticles Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:56 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:Yeah, but I'm waiting for the NJ strong banner to change to Godzilla mode !

You got it, pal!

by Sparky Sparticles Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:57 pm

I don't think I *ever* saw things turn red before, and I've been coming here a few years now. Wow!

Edited to add:
Aw, shucks. As I was writing this it went back to blue and the Godzilla mode banner went away.. Darn!

by **docstox12** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:57 pm

DEFCON 4 at NJ Strong!!!

by **Grselig** Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:58 pm

It's going to be a long weekend. 60% chance of over a foot! Winds. Can there be thunder snow?

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