March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
jmanley32 wrote:Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla
I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low
emokid51783- Posts : 144
Join date : 2013-12-12
Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Oh maybe manhattan, you did not specify, I think as a whole for the NJstrong area its spot onemokid51783 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla
I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Temps have gone up here I was at 31 now 35° not good
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
jmanley32 wrote:Oh maybe manhattan, you did not specify, I think as a whole for the NJstrong area its spot onemokid51783 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Its pretty in line with franks map and the other models, I do not think its off that much at all, if at all.emokid51783 wrote:I cant imagine that HDRPS verifying...but syo and dsix, i got first round of beers if we get a nyc, newark godzilla
I know jman...but late march(im thinking 8-14, not drastically different). Think urban heat gets Manhattan low
Yeah, i noticed the difference in the last storm for me in jersey city heights, and its only 4 miles and 20meters of height
emokid51783- Posts : 144
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
RAD_KDIX_N0R_ANI (10).gif
Check out the progression of your banding features in this radar loop. This is a FASCINATING example of what @earthlight has been preaching to the heavens about. Notice how the banding features east of the region over the open water are propagating mainly west to east; this is associated with the runaway lead vorticity and associated west-southwesterly H5 advection escaping ahead of our main show. However, check the bands over our region moving due south to north; this is in response to the main trough amplification, subsequent tilting and corresponding backing of the column's steering flow, which allowing much stronger H5 vorticity advection to begin to focus on our region rather than out sea. This is a tremendous sign at this stage, in my opinion, as this to me suggests the evolution is going to be deeper than even progged right now. This is well ahead of schedule, from what I can remember (haven't been following very closely so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong), and bodes better for EVERYBODY as a result, as this should be telegraphing a much further northwestward expansion of the precipitation shield in due time. Awesome!!!!!
Check out the progression of your banding features in this radar loop. This is a FASCINATING example of what @earthlight has been preaching to the heavens about. Notice how the banding features east of the region over the open water are propagating mainly west to east; this is associated with the runaway lead vorticity and associated west-southwesterly H5 advection escaping ahead of our main show. However, check the bands over our region moving due south to north; this is in response to the main trough amplification, subsequent tilting and corresponding backing of the column's steering flow, which allowing much stronger H5 vorticity advection to begin to focus on our region rather than out sea. This is a tremendous sign at this stage, in my opinion, as this to me suggests the evolution is going to be deeper than even progged right now. This is well ahead of schedule, from what I can remember (haven't been following very closely so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong), and bodes better for EVERYBODY as a result, as this should be telegraphing a much further northwestward expansion of the precipitation shield in due time. Awesome!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Image did not show, and too much of a NW shift would shaft the coast no?rb924119 wrote:RAD_KDIX_N0R_ANI (10).gif
Check out the progression of your banding features in this radar loop. This is a FASCINATING example of what @earthlight has been preaching to the heavens about. Notice how the banding features east of the region over the open water are propagating mainly west to east; this is associated with the runaway lead vorticity and associated west-southwesterly H5 advection escaping ahead of our main show. However, check the bands over our region moving due south to north; this is in response to the main trough amplification, subsequent tilting and corresponding backing of the column's steering flow, which allowing much stronger H5 vorticity advection to begin to focus on our region rather than out sea. This is a tremendous sign at this stage, in my opinion, as this to me suggests the evolution is going to be deeper than even progged right now. This is well ahead of schedule, from what I can remember (haven't been following very closely so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong), and bodes better for EVERYBODY as a result, as this should be telegraphing a much further northwestward expansion of the precipitation shield in due time. Awesome!!!!!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
dsix85 wrote:Emo...what's your handicap these days? Sorry, should've reserved for the banter
I’m a 5
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Light sleet 39* why is the temperature going up I was sitting at 34 degrees all day today now I am up to during 39
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
I meant I am up to 39°from earlier high of 34
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
skinsfan1177 wrote:Temps have gone up here I was at 31 now 35° not good
I noticed that too. I’m up to 37
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
35* here. But I think surface temp will drop back toward freezing later tonight behind wave one as the main storm approaches.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
WHY HAS MY TEMPERSTURE JUMPED 4 DEGREES IN THE LADT HOUR?
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center
You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Carter bk wrote:Why no chat
Frank has been screaming MADONNE all day, I guess he has laryngitis.
GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
rb924119 wrote:syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center
You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.
My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Just got notice work is closed tomorrow. Drinking can commence.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
syosnow94 wrote:WHY HAS MY TEMPERSTURE JUMPED 4 DEGREES IN THE LADT HOUR?
Precip dying down so now winds off the ocean warming our area. No worries. Tomorrow you and I will be dancing in white gold!
devsman- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
GreyBeard wrote:Carter bk wrote:Why no chat
Frank has been screaming MADONNE all day, I guess he has laryngitis.
He’s in his 20s with a girlfriend
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
yep we went up 4 degrees as well..
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
syosnow94 wrote:rb924119 wrote:syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center
You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.
My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?
Syo- taking a shot here. Initial surge of southern moisture brought temps up several degrees, combo w more easterly winds.. Once precip starts to fall at faster rates, dynamic cooling will commence aloft and temps will come back down at/near freezing. Wouldn't be concerned at this point.
dsix85- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
My temps were climbing most all afternoon. I posted about it a few times.
Taffy- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Temps were always forecast to rise night, that's why the 2nd lp had to crash the cold to the coast. I'm pretty sure this is part of the plan.
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
dsix85 wrote:syosnow94 wrote:rb924119 wrote:syosnow94 wrote:No Jman. The precip shield expands northwest not the lp center
You're learning!!! Although I do think it would draw the center of circulation further north and west with it by default, at least to some extent. Gonna be interesting 00z suites with the recon data.
My man why are everyone’s temps jumping 3-5 degrees in the last hour or so?
Syo- taking a shot here. Initial surge of southern moisture brought temps up several degrees, combo w more easterly winds.. Once precip starts to fall at faster rates, dynamic cooling will commence aloft and temps will come back down at/near freezing. Wouldn't be concerned at this point.
Makes sense to me. I’m also lying in front of my fire and a few drinks deep so......
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Frank, love ya, no chat needed now it’s time to sit back and enjoy the ride
Smittyaj623- Posts : 73
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Emo- my wife is asking me if she will have work tomorrow out in Suffolk County. Any thoughts?
dsix85- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Also would note my precip has ended and my dew point is 21* which tells me temp will drop some when next round of precip comes in.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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