December 1st-2nd Winter Storm Observations

When is the change over to snow happing?

HRDPS (short range Meso model) is showing a prolonged snow event with lots of banding NW of 95. If the location of the low is far inside the BM as much as it depicts that makes sense.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:23.5 and light sleet.

What a bummer.

you will get urs aren't u in the 6 to 12 plus? It's mainly tomorrow. Today was never supposed b much. Odd radar is show snow but it's sleet.

Snowing now on 95 in West haven CT area. Very light flurry and 32 degrees.

30* with freezing rain here. Car and my porch steps are coated in ice. Roads are not bad, just wet because they've been treated. Sidewalk a little slick but not like my steps/car so I think elevated surfaces are icing more quickly. I think this actually may go from freezing rain to snow if it picks up in intensity, but either way, until the temp gets above freezing I've got some ice issues here.

And yeah Jman, you are correct. Nobody should be expecting much from today because even areas that start as snow will mostly go to rain. Tomorrow is the day to watch for snow accumulation -- and that's going to be a tough call until it is happening.

HRDPS throws good banding on ELI and NYC metro from the coastal tmw

billg315 wrote:And yeah Jman, you are correct. Nobody should be expecting much from today because even areas that start as snow will mostly go to rain. Tomorrow is the day to watch for snow accumulation -- and that's going to be a tough call until it is happening.

Except if you're well N and W. My forecast is for 3-5 today.

aiannone wrote:HRDPS throws good banding on ELI and NYC metro from the coastal tmw

arg lol everything just circles around my area still 6 to 10 is good.

Just switched over to all sleet in Stillwater Nj at 1190 ft altitude,

hyde345 wrote:

billg315 wrote:And yeah Jman, you are correct. Nobody should be expecting much from today because even areas that start as snow will mostly go to rain. Tomorrow is the day to watch for snow accumulation -- and that's going to be a tough call until it is happening.

Except if you're well N and W. My forecast is for 3-5 today.

Correct. I should have made clear that if you are one of the well north folks on the forum you could get the front-end thump today.

Light sleet now looks like there was some freezing rain mixed in with it light glaze of ice on cold surfaces and sleet starting to accumulate also hopefully we switch over to snow must be a sneaky warm layer in there hrrr shows snow between 12 and 2 p.m. we'll see if it changes over

The WAA is increasing but cold air is putting up a fight. If we can get some heavier precip in here before the warm air wins out, there could be enough time to cool the column for a period of snow

Mixed crap most of the morning here, goes sleet, rain, sometimes a little snow, at 31* in Yatesville PA

The PA state police have reported dozens of accidents on rts 78,80,84 and 380 in where else the poconos. Talking about shuttin' er down.

amugs wrote:The PA state police have reported dozens of accidents on rts 78,80,84 and 380 in where else the poconos. Talking about shuttin' er down.

I am on a few scanner pages, one said there was a 20 car accident on 476 NB at RT80 interchange

Light rain mixed with sleet Temperature at 32 def I wonder why the city is not in a winter weather advisories

As I said yesterday er rday to Scott the wrap around is gonna be sick as the lp.deepens and instensufies the banding as it pulls away.
Keep in mind models waffle and tick 20-25 miles in either direction will move the snow totals in both directions north west or south. For all of this board to see a SECS we need a 20-25 mile SE move as currently modeled but models do have a SE tick with their place ment as we have seen over the years.
Time will tell

Switching over to snow here at 12:15

Heavy sleet here in Fairfield County ct. I expect accidents to start popping on 95 hopefully after we get home. Mugs I hope ur right I'll be happy with 6 though. I'm in 4 to 8 for Frank's map. But very close to 8 to 12 plus.

Temps drop to 28.5

Everything is coated with a heavy glaze of ice and snow has officially mixed in. 31*

6-10" of snow with the possibility of as much as .5" of ice here on the western perimeter. December's starting with a bang.

LOL!  Mt Holly starting to realize things getting interesting.

https://www.facebook.com/NWSMountHolly/posts/2889942787705767

Love it, hope this system drops the hammer!

Approaching 1 inch of Snow in Stillwater NJ at 1190 ft altitude
ALL SNOW AND HEAVY NOW....