NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

January 2021 Observations and Discussion

+20
SENJsnowman
Grselig
essexcountypete
docstox12
GreyBeard
weatherwatchermom
billg315
Frank_Wx
aiannone
algae888
brownie
Taffy
heehaw453
jmanley32
rb924119
sroc4
dkodgis
amugs
frank 638
Dunnzoo
24 posters

Page 4 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Sat Jan 23, 2021 12:19 pm

30* here now and windy. Arctic air feel for sure.

amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by dkodgis Sun Jan 24, 2021 10:25 am

16 degrees this morning around 6 am. Wind is around 10 mph. Nice and sunny. Even the squirrels are staying in.

dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2498
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 24, 2021 2:22 pm

Happy Sunday! our low this morning was 20* Currently 31* winds around 16mph we had some gusts in the mid 20's
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3738
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 25, 2021 11:16 am

if you believe the most recent NAM DC is going to break the snowless streak in a big way.  WAA gets up to Mason Dixon Line and then dries out.  So you get good snow up to Mason Dixon Line and above route 80 for an inch or two as the ULL swings by.  LOL!!  

Billg this is the ultimate for our areas.

12Z 3K NAM
January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Nam10

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3906
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

dkodgis likes this post

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by dkodgis Mon Jan 25, 2021 11:28 am

"Billg this is the ultimate for our areas."

Funny! This is what we need from time to time...good humor!
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2498
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by algae888 Mon Jan 25, 2021 11:32 am

Today's 12Z model suite so far Has brought the upper level low South somewhat increased QPF Which raises snowfall totals especially areas North and West of the city The R GEM being the most liberal with precipitation and the nam having next to nothing. Although the 3k nam looks good. Maybe the Northward trend has ended and now we will shift Southeast with the upper level features and hopefully increase snowfall totals for tomorrow
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by algae888 Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:05 pm

Add today's ukie to the list 2 to 4" city west and north
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by algae888 Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:06 pm

6z euro also 2 to 4" . Lets see what 12z does
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by billg315 Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:58 pm

heehaw453 wrote:if you believe the most recent NAM DC is going to break the snowless streak in a big way.  WAA gets up to Mason Dixon Line and then dries out.  So you get good snow up to Mason Dixon Line and above route 80 for an inch or two as the ULL swings by.  LOL!!  

Billg this is the ultimate for our areas.

12Z 3K NAM
January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Nam10

LMAO! Laughing Yeah if someone wanted to create an absurd snow map specifically to make us miserable, this would be it. And alas, here it is. The only saving grace is nobody is really "cashing in" in a big way on this so it doesn't sting too bad.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4466
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by dkodgis Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:20 pm

It was a balmy 9.5 degrees this morning. Wood stove is the saving grace for happiness when there is no snow.
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2498
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:44 pm

If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7274
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 25, 2021 2:37 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8504
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:01 pm

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

Haha, this made me laugh out loud.

My apologies for closing the storm thread. I unlocked it so we can carry on tracking. It does look like a solid 1-3/2-4 inch event for many on the board.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21305
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:10 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

Haha, this made me laugh out loud.

My apologies for closing the storm thread. I unlocked it so we can carry on tracking. It does look like a solid 1-3/2-4 inch event for many on the board.

Doc and CP Frank makes this decision like it was a simple one.  We got into a brutal rock em sockem fight to determine "weather" or not to open back up the other thread.  I believe someone caught it on their phones video feature and posted it on you tube.  It was quite the fight actually


_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8331
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:12 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12

On behalf of all of us Northern Folk vis a vis taking down the January 26th storm thread early.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdQCPlAZjbY

Haha, this made me laugh out loud.

My apologies for closing the storm thread. I unlocked it so we can carry on tracking. It does look like a solid 1-3/2-4 inch event for many on the board.

Doc and CP Frank makes this decision like it was a simple one.  We got into a brutal rock em sockem fight to determine "weather" or not to open back up the other thread.  I believe someone caught it on their phones video feature and posted it on you tube.  It was quite the fight actually


lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8504
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by dkodgis Mon Jan 25, 2021 5:24 pm

To be...or NOT to be...
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2498
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Mon Jan 25, 2021 5:55 pm

I have never seen Frank close a thread for a storm and then reopen it!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 25, 2021 6:40 pm

amugs wrote:I have never seen Frank close a thread for a storm and then reopen it!!

The power of CP, mugsy!

Partly cloudy, cold.Looks like a slop mess tomorrow and tomorrow night with a few inches.NWS honking about Sunday -Monday now.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8504
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by hyde345 Mon Jan 25, 2021 6:48 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:If the 12z RGEM verifies I think the people in the northern part of our forum are owed an apology for closing the Jan 26th storm thread early. Are we not people too?

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Imagep12

We will make our voices heard. Wink
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1082
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:34 pm

Norlun trough on 3K NAM as well as regular NAM

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Image.png.d46ced58c0d67a470304a39833db7ad7

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:20 am

Who ants a piece of PV this weekend??

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EsqoWGXXIAIWdJk?format=jpg&name=900x900

Wind Chill Temperatures Sunday morning
January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EsqlzvKWMAA4j7J?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by heehaw453 Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:24 am

amugs wrote:Who ants a piece of PV this weekend??

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EsqoWGXXIAIWdJk?format=jpg&name=900x900

Wind Chill Temperatures Sunday morning
January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EsqlzvKWMAA4j7J?format=jpg&name=medium

Yes, a TPV lobe is coming right down the shoot. Should lay down a nice antecedent air mass.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3906
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:44 am

Saturday earl AM temps

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EsqxXdnWMAQup_T?format=png&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 27, 2021 11:20 am

Friday morning temps:

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_9

Saturday morning temps:

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_13

Sunday morning temps

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_17

takenback

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21305
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Wed Jan 27, 2021 2:36 pm

PV comes basically just to the North of us and its not in and out in 24 hours as I showed and Frank its a 3 dayer Friday through Sunday into Monday. See teh NAO can be a curse and a blessing.

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 EswouO6XUAU1H5V?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Wed Jan 27, 2021 4:03 pm

MOMMA MIA THESE WIND CHILLS FRIDAY MORNING!!


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by billg315 Thu Jan 28, 2021 6:31 am

26* and Partly Cloudy. Cold out there but this will actually be the warmest morning for the next several days. In fact High temperatures tomorrow and this weekend may struggle to top today’s lows. That arctic  air is paying a visit and today is its arrival.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4466
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

January 2021 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Empty Re: January 2021 Observations and Discussion

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 4 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum