Re: Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:16 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:4 degrees heaviest snow of the night so far, 3.7 inches as of midnight so TWC just lowered my forecast to 2-4 inches of snow tonight.

I guess it's gonna stop in 10 minutes.

Stop in 10 minutes?

I'm still expecting an additional 3-6 inches up there

http://tempest.aos.wisc.edu/radar/us3compjs.html

Sarcasm Frank, Just cutting on TWC because the only way I'm getting the 2-4 they're now calling for is if it stops in 10 minutes. My humor can be very esoteric at times.

Lol! No you just don't show it often. I like it.

I'm not sure what's going on with TWC lately Shocked

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:16 am

Quietace wrote:Down to 23. Temps dropping really fast for me now.

I'm still 18.

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:20 am

16 here with 3.8" of snow. Hard to measure because of drifts but thats the average of all the spots i measured

by **Vinnydula** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:20 am

I don't understand how it can be 8 in Irvington and 15 in Dobbs ferry it's only 2miles away

by suds123 Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:22 am

frank no norlun/ no back fill north jersey getting beaten down by south jersey… 6 inches is a lucky # at this point

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:24 am

Vinnydula wrote:I don't understand how it can be 8 in Irvington and 15 in Dobbs ferry it's only 2miles away

Well about 40 miles away in Highland Mills it's 3.9 degrees and I'm retiring for the night.

Hoping to see moderate snow still falling in the morning and temps below 0. That might be a first.

by nyrfan31 Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:25 am

Got really excited cause I heard a rumble and thought it was thundersnow for second till I realized it was a plow truck lol anyways just measure 5.4" on the ground but the grass in the front yard barely has 2" cause of blowing. Certainly an over-achiever

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:26 am

suds123 wrote:frank no norlun/ no back fill north jersey getting beaten down by south jersey… 6 inches is a lucky # at this point

I do not think so. The inverted trough is not expected to happen until overnight and enhanced banding should get into northern areas overnight as well once the coastal reaches our latitude- or close to it. But southern NJ has seen heavy snowfall all night and I do expect them to see higher amounts than us when all is said and done.

by nyrfan31 Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:26 am

Oh and its a quite mild 5 degrees outside

by Dwsi91 Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:30 am

Probably about 4" in western Monmouth with mod snow right now. It's really not all that bad here. Some occasional gusts but visibility is decent right now

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:31 am

Woahhhh Frank, that back edge of precip like did a skip there, and now it's awfully close to western Jersey!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:32 am

nyrfan31 wrote:Oh and its a quite mild 5 degrees outside

Finally a challenger.

3.7 degrees here, below zero is within reach by morning.

Pros were off on these temperatures by a good 6-8 degrees.

by Noreaster Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:37 am

17 degrees and mod snow here. 4.5 inches or so. Tough measuring tonight

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:50 am

Beginning to see enhanced banding in northern sections

Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm - Page 20 Inxr1Kphla_h

by **oldtimer** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:51 am

Will some of the dark green reach LI Frank

by **Quietace** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:55 am

22 degrees, still mod-heavy snow.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:58 am

oldtimer wrote:Will some of the dark green reach LI Frank

It's hard to say where exact bands will form. That is almost impossible to forecast. It's much easier to figure out in a real coastal storm...but this is not an ordinary storm. Lol.

I am going to bed. My last thoughts before I leave are not to dismiss the storm right away. Even though we will likely remain in the lighter snow (with southern NJ seeing the heaviest band), temperatures will continue to crash and ratios will get higher.

Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm - Page 20 Northeast_loop

Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm - Page 20 Northeast_loop

The radar is showing precip back building again toward central PA, so we do have quite some time to go before this storm is over.

In the end, I expect at least the lower range of my snow amounts to come to fruition from my snow map. Some areas will see more than other depending on where banding occurs.

I am quite relieved this storm is out of the way. It was a very tough forecast.

Goodnight all.

by **oldtimer** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:00 am

Yea Frank Great going!! Get rest

by **1190ftalt** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:01 am

Great Job!

by Noreaster Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:11 am

Is everyone going to sleep already??

by suds123 Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:18 am

4 inches in edison the back fill is in. maybe another 1-3

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:22 am

Frank, you're a smart cookie. Nice work.

And no, I'm up til 5am so I'm interested to see where the 5 boroughs are at by then.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:27 am

Observations/ Final Discussion Thread 1/2 - 1/3, 2014 Snowstorm - Page 20 Post-40-0-63297500-1388730355

One last update...radar keeps back building. DC is snowing again

by **mako460** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:29 am

Noreaster wrote:Is everyone going to sleep already??

Not a chance, still have to plow and salt through the night.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:33 am

by **pdubz** Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:49 am

temperature just keeps going down, i am at 14* right now

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 03, 2014 2:04 am

13°F in Chelsea, Manhattan -- moderate snow. How bout that.

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