Severe Arctic Blast / Flash Freeze 1/6-1/7

oldtimer wrote:Dont think this new outbreak will get as low as previous   we were near 0* on Long Island in some spots  Not calling for that Mon-Tue nite   IMO

-13 In Westhampton

We're only looking at less than a 1/4 inch of precip tomorrow so I doubt a 'flash freeze' that would result in major issues in the cards. Rain should end well before the temp falls below freezing.

UPTON:

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL A FLASH FREEZE MONDAY EVENING AS ANY
STANDING WATER FROM RAIN AND MELTING SNOW IS LIKELY TO FREEZE
FAIRLY QUICKLY AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE 20S OVER FAR NW ZONES.
ELSEWHERE...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH TIME TO DRY OUT BEFORE TEMPS CRASH
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MID TEENS BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY...BUT EVEN
WET ROADS WILL FREEZE UP DURING THE OVERNIGHT.

The cold will rival the 1994 cold outbreak but not over take it.

How crazy the all upper midwest cities (Chicago, Minneaplois, ST. Paul) and towns have cancelled school for Monday due to the severe cold and wind chills - we may and I say may have a delayed opening for some areas with the wind chills. I think the officials will take notice as the cold grips us tomorrow.

Jeff Smith said that the water on roads will freeze in about 30 minutes with this set up so let's hope it dries out before old man winter kicks in the door!!

amugs wrote:The cold will rival the 1994 cold outbreak but not over take it.

How crazy the all upper midwest cities (Chicago, Minneaplois, ST. Paul) and towns have cancelled school for Monday due to the severe cold and wind chills - we may and I say may have a delayed opening for some areas with the wind chills.  I think the officials will take notice as the cold grips us tomorrow.

Jeff Smith said that the water on roads will freeze in about 30 minutes with this set up so let's hope it dries out before old man winter kicks in the door!!

Maybe for the midwest but it won't come anywhere close to the 1994 outbreak for lows in our area. IMO.

During the 94 outbreak - NYC was -2, Poughkeepsie was -21, Sussex NJ -32, Where I live in Highland Mills was -23.

I don't think we will come within 10 degrees of those temperatures.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

amugs wrote:The cold will rival the 1994 cold outbreak but not over take it.

How crazy the all upper midwest cities (Chicago, Minneaplois, ST. Paul) and towns have cancelled school for Monday due to the severe cold and wind chills - we may and I say may have a delayed opening for some areas with the wind chills.  I think the officials will take notice as the cold grips us tomorrow.

Jeff Smith said that the water on roads will freeze in about 30 minutes with this set up so let's hope it dries out before old man winter kicks in the door!!

Maybe for the midwest but it won't come anywhere close to the 1994 outbreak for lows in our area. IMO.

During the 94 outbreak - NYC was -2, Poughkeepsie was -21, Sussex NJ -32, Where I live in Highland Mills was -23.

I don't think we will come within 10 degrees of those temperatures.

Wow I remember it being cold but that cold momma mia - we need that PV to sit right on top of us for that extreme cold - now that you post this I recollect my buddy at work who lived in Warwick at the time had a reading of -24 and inside his garage it was -5!!  

Coldest since that timeframe -1994??

Some Jan 7th record lows..
Central Park 6* (1896)
LGA 11* (1968)
JFK 8* (1968)
Newark 10* (1996)
White Plains (HPN) 9* (1996)
Islip 13* (1988)

Upton has issued a wind chill advisory and a wind advisory. Wind chills down to -20 N & W and -15 in and around city. Wind gusts up to 50mph. Gonna be one heck of a Monday night and Tuesday!

Please exercise extreme caution Mon PM, Tues AM and PM and Wed AM. Surfaces everywhere are saturated from the melting snow and I would fully expect there to be a flash freeze this afternoon when the polar vortex sweeps in to our region. Even the floors inside subway stations I used this morning were soaking wet between the warm temps, melting snow and fog. Will have to be very careful heading home even this evening, and have not decided yet whether to try to make it out again Tues AM. Have seen a number of people over the years slip on ice and wind up with broken bones. I actually ordered ice cleats (not exactly a fashion statement, but better than winding up in a cast) but they won't make it to me until Friday : ( Please be careful everyone!

Thank you all. I told my daughters about this "polar vortex" before the mainstream media. You all called it days ago. I won a bet and am now a millionaire...okay a 10 dollaraire..but still. You guys continue to blow me away.

Places in SNJ hit 60 degrees today. Their low is going to be between 5-10 degrees. 

Wow

My high temp was 45, dropping already- 43* now

How low do you think it's going to get on Long Island?

I for one don't think we will reach the lows we did on the 4th but because I like to see records broken I'm hoping we do.

My temperature has already started to drop, I started the day at a ridiculous 53 after a morning low yesterday of 2.7 above and  the morning before of minus 7.2.

A 50 degree swing up in 24 hours, goodbye snowpack, again.

I'm down to 43.3 now and not looking forward to driving home from Scarsdale (westchester county) tonight. Be safe everyone it's gonna be ugly tonight.

40* now dropping slowly. Still have a couple of inches of snow on the ground.

I moved this topic into the Arctic Blast / Flash freeze one to avoid repetitive threads

weather99 wrote:How low do you think it's going to get on Long Island?

Low teens

Frank_Wx wrote:I moved this topic into the Arctic Blast / Flash freeze one to avoid repetitive threads

Frank:

I was just getting ready to delete it because I just realized that, you saved me the trouble.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:I moved this topic into the Arctic Blast / Flash freeze one to avoid repetitive threads

Frank:

I was just getting ready to delete it because I just realized that, you saved me the trouble.

  

It looks like the cold front is over PA somewhere

Tuesday morning nation-wide



The United States of wear your footy pajamas, drink hot cocoa with a shot of whisky, start a fire

of America

Frank_Wx wrote:Tuesday morning nation-wide



The United States of wear your footy pajamas, drink hot cocoa with a shot of whisky, start a fire

of America

Just WOW...that is crazy

Here comes the cold...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TRI-STATE AREA
FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-
176>179-061830-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.140107T0500Z-140107T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT...AND
 SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EXCEPT FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS COLD AND WIND.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN ORANGE...PUTNAM
 AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES...AND 15 BELOW ELSEWHERE.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...DROPPING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT...AND
 RISING ONLY TO 8 TO 13 ABOVE ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE BITTER COLD AND WIND COULD
 LEAD TO FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.


Has there ever been wind chill warnings?

RJB8525 wrote:URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TRI-STATE AREA
FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-
176>179-061830-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.140107T0500Z-140107T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT...AND
 SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EXCEPT FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS COLD AND WIND.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN ORANGE...PUTNAM
 AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES...AND 15 BELOW ELSEWHERE.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...DROPPING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT...AND
 RISING ONLY TO 8 TO 13 ABOVE ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE BITTER COLD AND WIND COULD
 LEAD TO FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.


Has there ever been wind chill warnings?

Yes in 1994 I remember a couple of them and I believe we had one in 1996 as well if memory serves me correct.

Sleeting big time in Brooklyn right now, didn't expect this.

Upton's AFD mentions the possibility of issuing a Winter Winter Advisory if the flash freeze potential becomes widespread enough... Well Hello Upton???

Short term /6 PM this evening through 6 PM Tuesday/...
surge of Arctic air will arrive this evening as a strong middle level
shortwave passes through...and could be accompanied by a brief
snow shower mainly well inland. When this surge arrives...temperatures
will plummet into the single digits by morning and near 0 in the
higher elevations well north/west of NYC...with west winds gusting as
high as 45-50 miles per hour in NYC metropolitan and Long Island...possibly in the
interior higher elevations...and 40-45 miles per hour elsewhere. Temperatures will
struggle to rise above 10 above in NYC metropolitan and coastal
sections...and should remain in the single digits inland. This in
combination with west winds 25-35 miles per hour will produce dangerous wind
chills of 15-20 below north/west of NYC...and as low as 15 below
in NYC...western Long Island and southwest CT. Wind Chill Advisory has
been issued.

There is the potential for a flash freeze tonight as any standing
water from rain and melting snow refreezes...and the situation may
be handled via a Winter Weather Advisory if the threat looks to be
widespread.

Temps now getting into the 30's. Should he 20's by 8pm