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Archived: 2/13/14 Godzilla Storm

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:52 pm

"Oh god" good or bad Frank on that NAM post?

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Post by bloc1357 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:52 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
bloc1357 wrote:And Uptons new map!!!

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx//stormtotalprecip.php
Wow!  That means I get 4.5 to 10.5 more inches tonight.

That backend means business!

Mt. Holly not buying that.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php

I had 11" before the sleet/light rain today...I see no reason I cant hit 14-18" in southwest suffolk county

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:53 pm

Tonight is still tricky. Most people got between 8-14 inches from round 1. Anyone get more then 14? Round two, staying conservative, I see 3-6 inches. Which means most of our area would end between 11-20 inches. I think the median number we will see is 16-19 inches. Somewhere in there. 

I for example, since I got 14 inches, think I could get near 20 inches

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:54 pm

The NAM doesn't appear to give us a whole lot on the back end is that what you were saying Frank? Doesn't show much for NYC 4-6, nothing to complain about but wont verify NWS 18-24 here.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:54 pm

Archived: 2/13/14 Godzilla Storm  - Page 38 Nam-mslp-qpf6-ne_hr15

Nam is amazing for tonight. Additional 7+ inches

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:54 pm

jmanley32 wrote:The NAM doesn't appear to give us a whole lot on the back end is that what you were saying Frank? Doesn't show much for NYC 4-6, nothing to complain about but wont verify NWS 18-24 here.

I wouldn't complain about that run at all.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:54 pm

You do have to hand it to the NWS this round, they have put all of  the local Mets to shame.

Other than Frank, and the experts on this board, Scott (Sroc), Ryan, and Tom the sometimes but always knowledgeable skeptic, Mugs, Zoo and all the rest, (like the Gilligans Island song right Doc, only people over 45 will get that) they were the only outlet predicting these kind of totals yesterday.

I agree with you on the backend stuff Doc most of the time, but the way this winter has gone a big thumping on the backend would not surprise me in the least, from everything I've seen on this board I'm expecting it. Let me clarify when I say big, I mean 4-6 inches for a backend event I consider that big, anything more than 6 would be gravy.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:00 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by docstox12 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:56 pm

Sounds reasonable.

Any idea on start time for the second round of snow?
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:56 pm

NJ no complaints wasnt sure how to read it, so thats just one frame, how long will it last?


Last edited by jmanley32 on Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:56 pm

NAM is very impressive for NJ.
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Post by Sferra01 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:56 pm

Have already about 14 on ground now...think 14-18 should be right on target unless tonight's snowfall is more than another 4 inches for me.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:59 pm

SREF

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html
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Post by docstox12 Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:59 pm

LOL, Gilligans Island little buddy!

You're right about NWS, they did do a good job.They are the only place I ever cross check the folks here with.

I'm not an expert radar reader, but that backend looks pretty juicy to me.Very interesting to watch this develop, very rare to get big backend thumps.
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Post by oldtimer Thu Feb 13, 2014 2:59 pm

Is that general amount of 7" for the whole area on the NAM??

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:01 pm

I noticed on the NWS map it says snow totals from 10pm to 5am, I assume these totals include this morning or we are really in for it!
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:01 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I noticed on the NWS map it says snow totals from 10pm to 5am, I assume these totals include this morning or we are really in for it!

NO, it includes this morning.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:02 pm

Nam was 3-6 for Long Island and 5-9 for NNJ/NYC/HV

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:02 pm

docstox12 wrote:LOL, Gilligans Island little buddy!

You're right about NWS, they did do a good job.They are the only place I ever cross check the folks here with.

I'm not an expert radar reader, but that backend looks pretty juicy to me.Very interesting to watch this develop, very rare to get big backend thumps.

LOL go ask de blasio about the NWS he threw them...under the school bus  Mad Mad 
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Post by algae888 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:03 pm

I got a foot of snow this morning National Weather Service has me for 14 to 18 inches total so that's another 2 to 6 inches tonight I think that's reasonable. AccuWeather has 2 to 4 inches for the city in 3 to 6 for the suburbs north and west. right now light drizzle 34 degrees sloppy outside.
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Post by bloc1357 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:04 pm

Well, the front end over performed a bit at least here on LI, lets hope for some backend over performance!!!

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Post by docstox12 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:05 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:LOL, Gilligans Island little buddy!

You're right about NWS, they did do a good job.They are the only place I ever cross check the folks here with.

I'm not an expert radar reader, but that backend looks pretty juicy to me.Very interesting to watch this develop, very rare to get big backend thumps.

LOL go ask de blasio about the NWS he threw them...under the school bus  Mad Mad 

Bet after today he'll never do that again!
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:05 pm

Ok so I am torn here, or maybe spread a little thin. I am absolutely amazed at how intense the snow bands were this morning...at least 2-4" an hr at times. Incredible. I had to pick up my staff and still make it to work...do surgery, then drive home to do my driveway. Problem is I didnt get home before about 2 hrs of rain fell so my darn snowblower kept clogging. So the old back and arms had to do all the work. 1.5hrs of shoveling, and now back up to work so I can discharge my surgery. After that I am closing early and taking my staff to Phils for a burger and a beer.

Bring on the back end BABY!!!
Winter 2013/2014 FTMFW!!!!
Oh and I got about 11.5" before all the rain started.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:05 pm

I just realized another 3-6 tonight and maybe again Saturday means 6-12 (at least) by Sunday. Where exactly will I put this snow?

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Post by oldtimer Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:07 pm

Thanks Frank on tonight amounts

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I just realized another 3-6 tonight and maybe again Saturday means 6-12 (at least) by Sunday. Where exactly will I put this snow?

SNOW CONES!..lol no thats disgusting make an army of snowmen and march them to De Blasio's house
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Post by Quietace Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I just realized another 3-6 tonight and maybe again Saturday means 6-12 (at least) by Sunday. Where exactly will I put this snow?
Make a igloo in your spare time.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 13, 2014 3:13 pm

frank will it be snow all the way to the coast this time
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