Archived: 2/13/14 Godzilla Storm

RJB8525 wrote:an updated weather blog from bill evans

Especially this afternoon and early this evening, a lot of this will be in the form of rain, but there will still be enough snow on the front end and also about an inch or two occurring later on tonight to bring storm totals up to near 10 inches in the Five Boroughs. I think it's safe to say that 10 inches is a safer bet in the Bronx and Manhattan's Upper West Side, while near JFK Airport and close to the Rockaways on Staten Island, a general 6 to 9 inches is a better call.

But of course, the double-digit snowfall totals that will exceed a foot are going to be common across much of interior northern New Jersey, and also in southeastern New York State, primarily north of the Tappan Zee Bridge. Areas that are located just to the north and west of that changeover boundary throughout the day should see some of the heaviest snowfall, and we've been tossing numbers around like 16 or 18 inches, which still seems plausible at this time.

A word about temperatures -- if it does manage to reach 36 in Central Park today, it should occur either late this afternoon or early tonight. But it will reach 40 or greater much earlier than that on parts of Long Island and along the Jersey Shore, while it will be hard pressed to get above 30 this afternoon in some places well north and west of the city.

Wind gusts in excess of 35 miles per hour (probably 40-45 mph along the immediate coast) are also expected this afternoon and tonight. And while the snow will be fairly wet and not the kind that will blow and drift, this could still cause problems with snow weighing heavily on tree branches, and that could result in some power outages. There could be some slick travel conditions late tonight as even those wet sidewalks and roadways become snow-covered, and the snow will end from west to east in most places before daybreak tomorrow.

Temperatures tomorrow are still expected to be near 40, because of a southwest wind that will develop out ahead of our next weather system, a clipper that should bring with it a period of snow or flurries from late Friday night into early Saturday. Snow amounts associated with this weaker system should average less than an inch, but the upcoming weekend should be colder with most temperatures no higher than the mid-30s on Saturday and the 20s on Sunday.

Presidents Day will bring some early sun that will fade behind clouds, and that will be followed by a chance for some snow on Monday night as the next area of low pressure approaches from the west. Snow, or a mix of snow and rain early Tuesday should go over to plain rain with the temperature peaking in the 40s. It will be turning milder during the second half of next week, and that should allow some of the snow (not only from this current storm, but prior ones within the last two weeks) to melt.

Have a good day!!!!

Frank_Wx wrote:You see, this is where Mets become exposed. Bill said flurries and an inch for Saturday. What's the basis of his forecast though? The euro? Now Mets will hug the euro because it nailed today event, but the euro is always the superior model when it comes to phasing and miller A type of storm.

The CMC/GFS are superior when it comes to northern stream driven storm, and those models certainly don't show an inch for Saturday. Maybe this is why I took on meteorology as a hobby. I was tired of seeing real Mets being consistently wrong...

docstox12 wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:I really got to give it to my wife I always get called into work when it snows and she is left behind with my daughter and she shovels it all especially this year with all this snow . I have it easy I plow with a truck she does it with a shovel Great job Babes.

What a great young lady!

You're a lucky man!

pdubz wrote:Amazing storm first time i have ever witnessed snow fall so hard so quickly. i think i got 14-15 inches in total over a 6-7 hour period, when it was suppose to be 4-8 then rain.

here is the album i made for the storm and a couple other ones, including last year severe season and of course hurricane sandy https://www.flickr.com/photos/119276687@N06/sets/72157641798686544/

will be updating my flickr during the summer if any severe storms occur