Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm

Really impressive moisture fetch with this system and a Impressive radar presentation. It should exit the whole area by midnight tonight.

Over half an inch now we should see the 2 inch mark

sabamfa wrote:Any chance roads will clear later? How about the AM commute tomorrow? Looking at Passaic and Morris counties which are both a total mess now.

Temps are above freezing almost everywhere besides N&W of NYC. Tomorrow morning High's will get near 40 degrees. The biggest concern was always this morning.

Up to .63" since 8:00 a.m. and still only 32° roads seem a little better, my police scanner a little quieter, but walkways and steps still icy... towns around here have a no travel alert... they don't want anybody on the roads

.63 inches of ice! Thats a ice storm warning criteria not a advisory the NWS really did flop on this one, are there starting to be power outages up there some pretty heavy on the trees.

more pics of accidents...jman first pic is cross county parkway

jmanley32 wrote:.63 inches of ice! Thats a ice storm warning criteria not a advisory the NWS really did flop on this one, are there starting to be power outages up there some pretty heavy on the trees.

.63" of precip.  ice accretion on trees and wires was about .10" but most of that has started to melt since we hit 33° a little while ago. Thank goodness there was no wind, we would have lost branches for sure. My total precip now is up to .74" with a lot more to come!

Police called at 9am and urged all residents to stay off roads due to severe icing conditions. Estimate about1/8 ice accretion if not more to 1/4. This weather sucKS period. Now the clipper is trending south on latest models runs from last night and today's runs. Did I tell you how much I hate 34* and rain!
Last night driving home on route in nnj and they were spreading brine down for this morning and it would be icy when they do this on major roads/highways.

Madonne.

picture not showing

Here's another. That convectn over SW NJ and SE PA is stalled.

That cluster of heavy rain is beginning to advance northeast now. Heavy rain threat expected through 5pm now

My street is completely flooded. At least my car gets a wash to remove the salt.

Frank_Wx wrote:My street is completely flooded. At least my car gets a wash to remove the salt.

Is that Cranford or Parsippany?

Cranford. I'm home this weekend for my cousins birthday.

nws update...
INTENSE COASTAL FRONT SITS FROM JUST S OF NYC ACROSS LONG ISLAND
AND INTO SE CT. TEMPS ARE ARE IN THE 40S TO NEAR 50 TO ITS S...AND
IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S IN MANY PLACES TO ITS N. THIS FRONT
IS FCST BY THE 12Z NAM TO MOVE SLOWLY NW-WARD THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH NYC AND SOUTHERN CT...WHILE AREAS TO THE NW REMAIN IN THE
COLD SECTOR...AND TEMPS WELL TO THE WEST OF NYC MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH
FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ANY SLOW WARMING OCCURRING VIA
FALLING RAIN ALOFT AS ANY COLD AIR REPLENISHMENT VIA NORTHERLY
FLOW REMAINS QUITE WEAK. HAVE ADJUSTED FREEZING RAIN ADVYS
ACCORDINGLY...LASTING ACROSS MOST OF THE INTERIOR UNTIL 18Z...AND
ACROSS ORANGE/PASSAIC/W BERGEN/ROCKLAND UNTIL 20Z. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT TEMPS IN THIS LATTER AREA MAY NEVER WARM MUCH ABOVE
FREEZING...WHICH ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH
THIS AFTERNOON MAY KEEP THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT GOING LONG ENOUGH
TO REQUIRE A SHORT FUSED ICE STORM WARNING. AT ANY RATE...GIVEN
VERY COLD GROUND TEMPS IN MOST PLACES...AIR TEMPS MAY HAVE TO
REACH THE MID 30S BEFORE THE ICING THREAT SUBSIDES.

INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT...ARRIVAL OF 50-60KT 950-850 HPA JET
BY AROUND MIDDAY...AND THE REGION BEING IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT
OF A STRENGTHENING 120-140KT 300 HPA JET THIS AFTERNOON...WILL
BRING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE
FOR AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER OVER E ZONES...AS THE SHOWALTER
INDEX IS FORECAST TO GET DOWN TO AROUND 2 THERE. PRECIPITATION
WILL TAPER OFF FROM SW TO NE AS THE SURFACE LOW LIFTS TO THE NE
LATER THIS EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT. REFER TO THE HYDROLOGY SECTION
OF THE AFD FOR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AND ANY IMPACTS.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL COLD AIR
COULD MOVE IN ACROSS INTERIOR ZONES BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS
TO HAVE IT MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW THERE BEFORE ENDING.

quite a day..


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS IN...
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 600 PM EST

* AT 203 PM EST DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
MOVING INTO THE WARNING AREA. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY OBSERVED
AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN. AN ADDITIONAL INCH IS EXPECTED.

* WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED. THE BRONX
RIVER IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR EXCEED FLOOD THRESHOLDS.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

Wow 55 dbz band in North central NJ

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow 55 dbz band in North central NJ

A Flood Warning on January 18th. I can't.

Its just blah, I didn't even get to see the ice this morning, not that its fun but I always talk about it and the one time it actually happens im out of state lol. I just hope my parked car in yonkers is ok its on a hill and people slide there.

Al what part of CC parkway was that, looks like that was a catastrophic accident fatalities?

There was another I saw that was even worse not sure where it was but it was mashed up cars for like as far as you could see had to be at least 50 cars.

The NWS fd up this storm imo up here in nnj I am at 35.6* now and we had heavy icing up here and points north. Now a flood advisory then a changeover back to wintry weather. And to think some models showed a dry weekend. This is how BAD models again imho have been all winter and late fall long.

amugs wrote:The NWS fd up this storm imo up here in nnj I am at 35.6*  now and we had heavy icing up here and points north. Now a flood advisory then a changeover back to wintry weather. And to think some models showed a dry weekend. This is how BAD models again imho have been all winter and late fall long.

I totally agree. I can't remember models being this horribly spread.

Just heard a loud rumble of thunder. Man this winter stinks thus far.

Thunder. Squall line approaching NYC

Yeah, two rumbles of thunder here at 3:32.

Because why the hell not.

Quickly exiting. Seems sooner than expected which means maybe this will give our clipper more space Wednesday to come further north. Rain should end around 6pm