Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

rb924119 wrote:

SNOW MAN wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

SNOW MAN wrote:Anyone have any thoughts on todays forecast. I'm only asking because I have to commute to NJ from EPA and I don't feel like getting out of work at 4:00 and having a rough commute home. Thanks.

You'll be headed out of it. It should just be getting going between 4-6pm tomorrow, so you should be fine, I think.

Thanks. What about the snow we're suppose to get during the day today, do you think it will add up to anything ?

Probably like a 1-3/2-4" event at most. Just enough to make it slick, but it should be a steady light snow; nothing heavy.

Thanks !

anxiously awaiting it jman

wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.

CP srefs agree, show 1.8 qpf for my area thats close to 2.3 qpf on euro

At this range, I GOTTA put more weight into them than a medium range model. Idk

Al, I do not think NWS changes their totals even if it busts they have brought too much heat for NYC preparredness, national guard etc.

algae888 wrote:wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.

If you use the idea of an average the low end from the American models is about 12 to 16 for nyc and the high end is 24 to 30+. The average then would be about 20 inches for NYC and more east.

jmanley32 wrote:Al, I do not think NWS changes their totals even if it busts they have brought too much heat for NYC preparredness, national guard etc.

12-18 for nyc and 18-24 for li that's what I think they will do. I feel that is the wise and responsible thing to do, it is still a crippling snowstorm and some spots will probably get 3' but not widespread.

syosnow94 wrote:

algae888 wrote:wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.

If you use the idea of an average the low end from the American models is about 12 to 16 for nyc and the high end is 24 to 30+.  The average then would be about 20 inches for NYC and more east.

james you are in a great spot for this storm so I wouldn't worry. I think nws still has to respect other models somewhat but def Nassau county on east 2' is a good forecast

final map posted