February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions

oldtimer wrote:34*  Snowing very lightly  Started 20 minutes ago   SROC  Will we get 5" out of this   Don't look to impressive  

oldtimer wrote:34*  Snowing very lightly  Started 20 minutes ago   SROC  Will we get 5" out of this   Don't look to impressive  

If we can get that band to move a little north and west and get it to park over us for a few hrs like it is over the south fork at the moment we could get 6-10". I've been in some mod snow now for about an hrs do all surfaces are covered. About 1/4 - 1/2" already. I think 4-8" west to east is def possible for Suffolk and even mor out on the twin forks.

Sroc Yes I see if those bands get over us for some time Thanks

Swung too far right for what looks like most of NJ even east parts, not a flake here, models were wrong bringing this north, all I want is some IVT action and ill be happy.

Wow,, its a monster though

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browse2.html

docstox12 wrote:

snow247 wrote:

docstox12 wrote:31.6, 78%, 29.52F

NWS has me up to 2 to 4 from only an inch last night.Radar shows most of the precip way east of me but slowly moving N and W.Better be a rapid expansion of this soon for that forecast to play out.Also, temp almost freezing here, got to be above freezing S and E of me.

Highly doubt we get 2 to 4 around here. Maybe an inch at best if we're lucky.

From the looks of that radar, I'd be surprised to get anything at all up here.

I agree, a few bursts of snow showers from a wandering band that makes if this far west to whiten the ground and that should be it, 2-4 would shock me, that's not happening.

Rain here

Snow just starting here in Nassau county. Temp dropped 3 degrees in last half an hour. The radar looks like it hits a brick wall as it tries to enter Nassau county from Suffolk. I hope that I'm not in one of those Doc and Cp cut offs. Hoping to squeeze out 4" today to keep pace with sroc4. Think I had him by a few inches coming in but he might double me today. Gonna be close

oldtimer wrote:34*  Snowing very lightly  Started 20 minutes ago   SROC  Will we get 5" out of this   Don't look to impressive  

Old Timer ANY SNOW IS GOOD SNOW - don't down play 5" whilst our HV bros & sistas are sucking cold and dry. Enjoy the white gold Paisan!!!

Goes from rain to snow back to rain then snow lol

Latest HRRR recognizing the heavy band over east end. Will post when finished. Totals going up for Suffolk verbatim.

Bill Goodman still thinks the entire metro, except the far NW, is going to see at least advisory level snow, with 8-10" today from C LI to C CT.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/ NEAR TERM MESOSCALE UPDATE...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG H7-5 FRONTOGENESIS ARE SPREADING ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SE CT...AND SHOULD CONTINUE SPREADING WESTWARD INTO MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. PRECIP COULD BE MIXED WITH RAIN AT THE VERY ONSET ALONG THE COAST...BUT THEN EVAPORATIVE/DYNAMIC COOLING FROM ALOFT SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE PRECIP OVER TO SNOW. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN CT...AND BASED ON RECENT RUNS OF THE RAP/HRRR...THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS SHOULD EVENTUALLY SET UP OVER CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY NORTHWARD INTO NEW LONDON...MIDDLESEX AND EASTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPANDED WINTER STORM WARNING TO NEW HAVEN COUNTY EARLIER...AND ALSO INCREASED TOTALS WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH 8-10 INCHES POSSIBLE AS BOTH LIFT AND DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ARE MAXIMIZED. WITH NE WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FORKS AND COASTAL SE CT. THE COMBO OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW COULD ALSO RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. FARTHER WEST...SNOW SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...WITH LIFT GENERATED A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF AN UPPER JET STREAK OVER INTERIOR PA/NY. THESE AREAS SHOULD SEE A GENERAL 1-3 OR 2-4 INCH SNOWFALL...AND EXPANDED WINTER WX ADVY WESTWARD TO COVER ALL BUT ORANGE AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES. TEMPS AFTER SNOW BEGINS WILL FALL TO NEAR FREEZING...THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL THIS AFTERNOON.

Slowly Rotating to the City and NNJ

Very Sharp cutoffs to the west however. I posted that earlier Mugs. It was the 5:15am update. Im not so sure about western areas.

SROC ^^^^^^^^ got it - sorry didn't see it - this is a shame - reminds me a JUNO but what can we do (for me and my NJ and HV crew) - LI seems to be the new snow mecca of the MA region for God's sake. What a beast and waste of a storm for most board members, I believe that as we see this pattern mature we see more of these beasts and we all get one. You will nail the 50" or more call easily going forward.

sroc4 wrote:Very Sharp cutoffs to the west however.  I posted that earlier Mugs.  It was the 5:15am update.  Im not so sure about western areas.  

Wow.Radar looked like that to me hours ago.There is a brick wall again at the Hudson River.Reminds me of Juno.

DOC exactly!!!!!! Look a thi scrap - I am going to drive myself up a wall with this today as this storm hits teh same wall I am driving my 46 yr old physique into!!!

Look at this - are u fricking kiddin me!!

amugs wrote:DOC exactly!!!!!! Look a thi scrap - I am going to drive myself up a wall with this today as this storm hits teh same wall I am driving my 46 yr old physique into!!!

Look at this - are u fricking kiddin me!!

I have to visit a client in New Hyde park today, this may be a problem.

Flakes in Westchester

CP, at least the sun will be out.

HV on western edge of precip. What a shocker. I said days ago that the big storm would come close enough to give us close to nothing and screw us further as IVT sets up further south. This is the Murphy's Law of winter 2015-2016 in HV. I still hope to squeeze out 1-2 inches by Thursday so I don't have to look at green grass in February.

hyde345 wrote:HV on western edge of precip. What a shocker. I said days ago that the big storm would come close enough to give us close to nothing and screw us further as IVT sets up further south. This is the Murphy's Law of winter 2015-2016 in HV. I still hope to squeeze out 1-2 inches by Thursday so I don't have to look at green grass in February.

30 to 1 shot on that IVT coming up here the way our luck has been running this year.

Yeah, radar is sad for those of us to the west and the water vapor loop looks worse.

0.0

33.4, 72% 29.53 F

Tick--tock,tick--tock....time is passing.Radar still looks bad for the HV.Precip moving north but not west.That is all.......

37
Wind 15
Humidity 61
Precipitation a big fat 0

snow just started here. looks like a nice band setting up just to my east hopefully it makes it through my area

Flurries in Washington heights

32 light snow not sticking