Re: January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 06, 2017 5:58 pm

Here, Frank:

http://www.weatherbell.com/premium/joe-bastardi/is-this-a-carpet-storm/

Bernie Rayno also had a great line in his video this morning. It was something to the tune of how professional forecasters are scared and essentially scrutinized for straying from guidance with something they believe even if they have no support at the time, and how it's killing the industry. So true.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 5:58 pm

aiannone wrote:

I approve this message

I went to high school with this guy, not gonna say anything about him in high school for fear of expulsion but he is a very good meterologist.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 6:08 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:They need to issue more watches and advisories

That's what I was trying to say earlier responding to Armando's post. If you draw a straight line from the advisories in east/central Virginia through the western advisories in Mass., it should lead to advisories west of NYC to westchester rockland border. No?

Jim I may be wrong but I think he was making a joke at how long the list is.

by Guest Fri Jan 06, 2017 6:15 pm

I think you're right Jman Just picked up on that.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 6:30 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I think you're right Jman Just picked up on that.

but i also agree if rgem or nam are right everything needs to be hoisted n and west

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 06, 2017 6:40 pm

January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event - Page 25 15896010

HRRR coming into range and looking RGEM like

by track17 Fri Jan 06, 2017 6:51 pm

Is that good or bad?

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:13 pm

A pessimistic meteorologist from another board who never sides with what everybody else wants just posted that he thinks this is going to trend west until the very end due to the positive PNA, stronger s/w, and negatively tilted trough once the system is nearby our area.

CHIME IN, PROS! :-)

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:20 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:A pessimistic meteorologist from another board who never sides with what everybody else wants just posted that he thinks this is going to trend west until the very end due to the positive PNA, stronger s/w, and negatively tilted trough once the system is nearby our area.

CHIME IN, PROS! :-)

reputable met? We can only hope I've seen where no advisories or warnings have been posted until it's already snowing.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:21 pm

aiannone wrote:

HRRR coming into range and looking RGEM like

look at how much moisture it's pulling in all way into gom!

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:22 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:A pessimistic meteorologist from another board who never sides with what everybody else wants just posted that he thinks this is going to trend west until the very end due to the positive PNA, stronger s/w, and negatively tilted trough once the system is nearby our area.

CHIME IN, PROS! :-)
reputable met? We can only hope I've seen where no advisories or warnings have been posted until it's already snowing.

Yes, he's usually spot-on. Like Raymond but not as delicate with the informative blows lol

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:22 pm

track17 wrote:Is that good or bad?

the RGEM if you look back a page or 2 has higher amounts than most of the models yet so imo it's good.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:23 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:A pessimistic meteorologist from another board who never sides with what everybody else wants just posted that he thinks this is going to trend west until the very end due to the positive PNA, stronger s/w, and negatively tilted trough once the system is nearby our area.

CHIME IN, PROS! :-)
reputable met? We can only hope I've seen where no advisories or warnings have been posted until it's already snowing.

Yes, he's usually spot-on. Like Raymond but not as delicate with the informative blows lol

well we know how ray feels so one of them has to b wrong lol

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:30 pm

Hearing that the northern vort may change or make heights higher on east coast. Any thoughts

by track17 Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:31 pm

Skins would that be bad ?

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:33 pm

I think everyone like frank sroc etc are wait to see 00z suite also fri night so msny are commute home still or going out.

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:44 pm

track17 wrote:Skins would that be bad ?

No better

by track17 Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:45 pm

Great thank you skins you are the one to go to for jersey shore weather. I always trust you

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:45 pm

So frustrated here in NNJ. For today's event, HRRR got it right with less than an inch. Nam and Rgem had me at about 2". Now for tomorrow, HRRR has me at an inch, 18z Rgem and Nam have me at about 4". I cannot have any faith in them, so I'm only expecting an inch. scratch

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:46 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:A pessimistic meteorologist from another board who never sides with what everybody else wants just posted that he thinks this is going to trend west until the very end due to the positive PNA, stronger s/w, and negatively tilted trough once the system is nearby our area.

CHIME IN, PROS! :-)
reputable met? We can only hope I've seen where no advisories or warnings have been posted until it's already snowing.

Yes, he's usually spot-on. Like Raymond but not as delicate with the informative blows lol
well we know how ray feels so one of them has to b wrong lol

I'm sensing some hostility, Jman lmao

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:50 pm

Think I'm going to do an update video before 00z suites come in

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:53 pm

No absolutely not ray. Just saying if soul says ur both as good who's go b right?

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:54 pm

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 06, 2017 7:59 pm

rb924119 wrote:Think I'm going to do an update video before 00z suites come in

Or not.....thank you internet Evil or Very Mad

by larryrock72 Fri Jan 06, 2017 8:01 pm

Tomorrow's am drive from southern ocean county to Atlantic County on the Garden State Parkway should be interesting.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 06, 2017 8:01 pm

jmanley32 wrote:No absolutely not ray. Just saying if soul says ur both as good who's go b right?

Hahaha no I know. I'm just playing :p I am worried, though, that if it does largely miss out to sea Frank or one of the other moderators will ban me for a little while lmfaooo

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 06, 2017 8:05 pm

Observations thread posted

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