January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

Frank_Wx wrote:If there was polar energy phasing into this closed 500mb low, we would be looking at an area-wide Roidzilla. Unfortunately, there is another closed 500mb low over the western U.S., so the lack of ridging keeps the polar jet confined mainly to the north.

PLEASE STOP!!!!!!

The moisture is coming up from teh bahamas with lots of warm moist air - a pro met stated on another board this may enhance the winds even more and cause them to over perform once this storm gets NW. Feels it will deepen more than progged. Interesting and somewhat scary.

syosnow94 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:If there was polar energy phasing into this closed 500mb low, we would be looking at an area-wide Roidzilla. Unfortunately, there is another closed 500mb low over the western U.S., so the lack of ridging keeps the polar jet confined mainly to the north.

PLEASE STOP!!!!!!

For LI, this probably had Frankzilla potential.

Oh well.

amugs wrote:

The moisture is coming up from teh bahamas with lots of warm moist air - a pro met stated on another board this may enhance the winds even more and cause them to over perform once this storm gets NW. Feels it will deepen more than progged. Interesting and somewhat scary.

when is nyc area looking at the worst now? And along ct coast as I'll b driving back today. Had a bit too much fun last night and haven't been able leave yet. Frank do u have map of wind gusts in nyc li and coastal ct?

Jman later evening through the overnight hours.

HRRR getting colder we will see - OC and NW NJ EPA as well as NNJ

rb924119 wrote:UKMET GOES BOOM

Indeed. Wow...

LBI already with 2 more storm tides to go

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:UKMET GOES BOOM

Indeed. Wow...

Even if that's sleet north and west that's a metric crapton of it lol if it's somehow snow, dear God, but I doubt it right now. We shall see though lol

Frank_Wx wrote:LBI already with 2 more storm tides to go

That's Beach 1 (suicide jetty)!!!! Keep in mind that's not all from this, but still not a good sign.

Current gusts / radar

rb924119 wrote:I spy with my little eye where our coastal is developing......

Spot on

Frank_Wx wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:If there was polar energy phasing into this closed 500mb low, we would be looking at an area-wide Roidzilla. Unfortunately, there is another closed 500mb low over the western U.S., so the lack of ridging keeps the polar jet confined mainly to the north.

PLEASE STOP!!!!!!

For LI, this probably had Frankzilla potential.

Oh well.

I know you're busy today but if at some point you could draw Syos a snow map of what would have been in LI it might help him.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:If there was polar energy phasing into this closed 500mb low, we would be looking at an area-wide Roidzilla. Unfortunately, there is another closed 500mb low over the western U.S., so the lack of ridging keeps the polar jet confined mainly to the north.

PLEASE STOP!!!!!!

For LI, this probably had Frankzilla potential.

Oh well.

I know you're busy today but if at some point you could draw Syos a snow map of what would have been in LI it might help him.

Are you trying to drive this man singlehandedly into the Sanitarium at OTI,LOL.A map showing 36 inches over Jimmy's house would do the trick!!!

LOVE the phrase rjb coined about us getting a lot of sleet up here CP.He called the amount a metric crapton,LOL.Perfect name for a staff member at the sanitarium, Dr. Metric Crapton.

Anyway, windy, 36.5, 79% nothing here yet.

Emergency sand dunes now being constructed along parts of the Jersey Shore. Emergency crews on "standby" in NYC, expecting a "3-5 foot" storm surge tonight.

The experiment continues, soundings for Teterboro, Caldwell and White Plains show the warm nose continuing at the 700-850 layer..... I want to get as many obs from these areas as possible to see how the sounding forecasts went. They don't match the snow maps for sure.

SoulSingMG wrote:Emergency sand dunes now being constructed along parts of the Jersey Shore. Emergency crews on "standby" in NYC, expecting a "3-5 foot" storm surge tonight.

Why do they wait until the day of the storm when this has been modeled for at least 4 days.

Cold air Damning filtering in. Check out 925mb and 850's. 952 freezing line well south of the area; 850mb down to the CT coast through the HV. Surface temps you can see are still well up north, but check out the wind direction.

Light Rain  down 1 to 39*  Sustained 28 This is killing me almost like Syo

Not funny. These comments are mean and hurtful. If they don't stop I'm going to organize a lack of snowflake (political pun intended) protest where we will block traffic until someone gives me my baby bottle do I can go back to being an adult.

Gusts here in Somerville reported up to 40 mph -- and having just walked outside, I'd say that's accurate. I'm walking along a path and noticing all the tree branches down on either side that weren't there this morning, then CRRRRAAACK. A branch falls on the walkway about 15 feet in front of me. Probably wasn't big enough to kill me, but likely was big enough to knock me loopy and put a good cut on my scalp. Word to the wise: If you are walking under trees this afternoon, especially where you see a lot of branches down, keep an eye above you. In fact, maybe just don't walk there.

Rain is here

Sooner Frank?

oldtimer wrote:Sooner  Frank?

Not really, models had it raining by Noon. But the heaviest won't be until tonight

Currently 40 degrees here in Binghamton and cloudy.

Just got back from a 2 hour cinema class..... kill me now lol.... anything big change?

I took a brief step outside while at work. It is quite chilly. With plain rain approaching, wind chills are sub-freezing...