Re: January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:51 pm

amugs wrote:HWAW means winds gusts are over 59mph but u still have a Wind Advisory so gutsy for the area will be as highbatms57 mph with some gusts could reach above that in isolated areas.

Still bad imo

Picture from buddy in Monroe Woodbury
January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 37 20170113

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:52 pm

Just as the moisture fetch off the ocean started to look like it was moving north, a new area of heavy rain is moving into NJ from the south near Cape May, Atlantic and Ocean counties. I guess this is why we can expect rain all night. And why some of those rain totals of "only" an inch people were tossing around this morning were clearly underdone.

by **aiannone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:55 pm

Thundersleet reported in Woodbridge, NJ

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:55 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Mt. Holly downgraded their wind warnings to advisories. Upton hasn't made changes yet. It looks like there is a thick inversion layer.From a Meteorologist...

Around 900 mb the temp warms with height and its pretty substantial. Winds are strongest above this layer. Below that, winds are still high, but we will only be able to mix to the top of this layer which are closer to 50 kt. This plus temps in the 30s at surface mean its stable enough to prevent the worst winds

sorry I got side tracked with my post and posted it after you posted this...dogs need to go out but won't because its raining so hard...I just went out to entice them..no go...I know I am going to get a wake up call in the middle of the night...lol

No worries but winds are picking up again

I seem to be lagging behind you...so lets see in a bit...how much rain do you have now...and have you heard how the aquarium is doing?

2.15 inches right now. I'm not sure how aquarium is doing but I'm sure it's fine. Martells looks bad but the water usually goes right under it not affecting the inside

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:57 pm

Can anyone give me a report on Orange county NY sleet or snow

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 8:57 pm

By the looks of the radar the entire tri state area is looking at 2.5-4" of rain IMHO

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:05 pm

how the heck is Woodbridge, south and east of me, getting sleet when I'm still getting rain? this storm is madness.

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:06 pm

billg315 wrote:how the heck is Woodbridge, south and east of me, getting sleet when I'm still getting rain? this storm is madness.

Warm wedge I guess

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:07 pm

syosnow94 wrote:By the looks of the radar the entire tri state area is looking at 2.5-4" of rain IMHO

I have to agree with this. I know I'm already well over an inch and there seems to be plenty more streaming into the area.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:07 pm

30.2 as the temperature continues to drop and it continues to sleet and sleet some more occassionally mixed with rain.

Ground is white although grass is not covered, and my wife the school teacher should have a sleet day tomorrow if this keeps up.

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:08 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Still rain here, 35° holding steady. Besides the flooding damage, lots of accidents, and pedestrians hit because it is so dark.... please be careful if you go out observing. I'm on call and it's just bad out....hate dark rainy nights...

Be safe!!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:09 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Can anyone give me a report on Orange county NY sleet or snow

Just posted it above skins

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:11 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:30.2 as the temperature continues to drop and it continues to sleet and sleet some more occassionally mixed with rain.

Ground is white although grass is not covered, and my wife the school teacher should have a sleet day tomorrow if this keeps up.

Thank you was hoping for a change over to snow at some point

by **skinsfan1177** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:12 pm

If it keeps rainnng like this I can see easily going over 3 inches

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:13 pm

Huge props to the NAM/RGEM models. Nailed it.

by **Joe Snow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:20 pm

Lots of rain on the way...Watching radar

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:21 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Huge props to the NAM/RGEM models. Nailed it.

Don't forget the CMC!!! Had this from the beginning lol

by **snow247** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:22 pm

Looks like 50/50 rain/sleet here now. Temp holding steady at 34*.

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:23 pm

Inversion, I knew it. As always winds never pan out, yep guess I missed it today, what can I do just one piece of bad news amoung many. Sorry I do not mean to banter. Onto the next hopeful storm for me.

by **essexcountypete** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:23 pm

Joe Snow wrote:Lots of rain on the way...Watching radar

That's an impressive mass coming right at us. Hopefully that's what a drought buster looks like.

by **Joe Snow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:25 pm

36° here in Stony Brook with RAIN............

by **2004blackwrx** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:29 pm

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 37 20170110

Still sleeting. steady 32.5 last few hours. Picture of sleet covered yard. Sticking to all surfaces.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:32 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:30.2 as the temperature continues to drop and it continues to sleet and sleet some more occassionally mixed with rain.

Ground is white although grass is not covered, and my wife the school teacher should have a sleet day tomorrow if this keeps up.

Thank you was hoping for a change over to snow at some point

Maybe up by them, they are 20 miles north of me so they've got a better chance than I do.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:41 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Huge props to the NAM/RGEM models. Nailed it.

Frank the NAM suite upgrade has been very good this winter. Nailed the Dec 17 and Kan 7 storms along with RGEM my fanmvirite winter weather model.

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:47 pm

The NAM has come a long way since its "Not A Model" days when its mere mention would get Frank's blood a'boiling. It's actually become somewhat reliable.

by **amugs** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:47 pm

Winds advisories taken down for NNJ and LHV uggghhh. Why can't they EVER work out. Frustrating.

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 9:52 pm

Skins you were right the winds have picked up...and it is raining really heavy right now we got almost a quarter of an inch of rain in the last 20 min..

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