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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:19 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:23 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
What did the Euro show? Have not seen any maps.

I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7 (I upped ya to a -6 with a like)? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:25 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

Where the heck did the reputation number come from!? I've never even seen it before! Lol

And why is mine below 0?! Feeling frigid in here...
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:27 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

Where the heck did the reputation number come from!? I've never even seen it before! Lol

And why is mine below 0?! Feeling frigid in here...
Frank added it when he added the LIKE thumb near the quote box. Exactly my point there is no way to be negative.
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:29 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

Where the heck did the reputation number come from!? I've never even seen it before! Lol

And why is mine below 0?! Feeling frigid in here...
Frank added it when he added the LIKE thumb near the quote box.  Exactly my point there is no way to be negative.

I don't even see a like thumb anywhere lol. But look, I'm up to -6! Haha
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:32 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

Where the heck did the reputation number come from!? I've never even seen it before! Lol

And why is mine below 0?! Feeling frigid in here...
Frank added it when he added the LIKE thumb near the quote box.  Exactly my point there is no way to be negative.

I don't even see a like thumb anywhere lol. But look, I'm up to -6! Haha
Yes that was me liking one of your posts, its only on other peoples posts not your own, you cant like your own posts.
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 23, 2018 1:34 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I know it's just one model, 8 days away but I need something to keep me going.

At least the peepers are quiet tonight, or dead?

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as10

Doesn't it snow until that Sunday on the GGEM? Lol #HECS
There ya go soul : ) Sign me up NOW, so it doesnt go away LOL

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gem_as11

Between that and the Euro, I'm IN. Thanks for the post, Jman. And yes, the blocking is the culprit.

bananadude
I think your reputation number is broken, how did you manage to get a -7? There is no dislike button and I have figured out or correct me if I am wrong that every like ups your reputation, shame on no one (cuz I do not see how that happened) soul is great : )

Where the heck did the reputation number come from!? I've never even seen it before! Lol

And why is mine below 0?! Feeling frigid in here...
Frank added it when he added the LIKE thumb near the quote box.  Exactly my point there is no way to be negative.

I don't even see a like thumb anywhere lol. But look, I'm up to -6! Haha
Yes that was me liking one of your posts, its only on other peoples posts not your own, you cant like your own posts.

But even yours, I just quoted. I only see two exclamation points next to the quote tab. Hmm.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:05 am

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 3C7E59F5-216B-4D22-8770-E4C6302763D2.jpeg.86db73af45c5934ea7d03a8e31073763.jpeg.035374faa1b790a075d43547e552eb51

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:41 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 3C7E59F5-216B-4D22-8770-E4C6302763D2.jpeg.86db73af45c5934ea7d03a8e31073763.jpeg.035374faa1b790a075d43547e552eb51
Last nights EURO and Canadian runs just goes to show the potential that awaits us as we head into March. Many Mets agree that there will be a large slow moving cyclone somewhere along the eastern seaboard. The big question is where? My gut tells me we will see a 6+ event out of this with the potential for much more depending on the location of the low. Don't get hung up on the models right now; this is a very complex pattern and there will be a lot of different and bizarre solutions.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:49 am

Good to see something up on the board! Still plenty of time to get a big snowstorm up here.March could be the snowiest month of the winter again up here.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 23, 2018 7:28 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 3C7E59F5-216B-4D22-8770-E4C6302763D2.jpeg.86db73af45c5934ea7d03a8e31073763.jpeg.035374faa1b790a075d43547e552eb51
Last nights EURO and Canadian runs just goes to show the potential that awaits us as we head into March. Many Mets agree that there will be a large slow moving cyclone somewhere along the eastern seaboard. The big question is where? My gut tells me we will see a 6+ event out of this with the potential for much more depending on the location of the low. Don't get hung up on the models right now; this is a very complex pattern and there will be a lot of different and bizarre solutions.
am I right in saying extrapolated out the snow would all be east too or does it cut off like that? For a setup like this I'm def not gonna worry bout each model run when we get into next week especially late then we can start to take them more serious and start biting out nails lol.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 23, 2018 9:43 am

Moved to the weather stats thread. Will send a forwarding address.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:19 am; edited 2 times in total
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 23, 2018 9:54 am

The potential of this pattern from 3-1 through 3-12 as the block starts to break down in teh latter part -3/4 days of this period is when we can see an Archambault event/storm. Link about her work.
http://www.met.nps.edu/~hmarcham/bio.html
These storms are usually big in nature. 2016 blizzard is the most recent example as the block broke down allowing the storm to traverse teh coast. Interesting to note the split flow in the PAC will bring the storms either across the southern tier or northern tier and then slied E and ESE. Those coming from the South will run into teh block and get stuck and retrograde inland. Interesting times ahead and only a week away LOLW

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:44 pm

gfs crush job northeast and nw of nyc, some spots see 3 ft! That LP needs stay forther south, if that had happened it would been a hecs for most.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gfs_as10
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:50 pm

jmanley32 wrote:gfs crush job northeast and nw of nyc, some spots see 3 ft! That LP needs stay forther south, if that had happened it would been a hecs for most.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gfs_as10

I am excited about not one but two potential biggies for the Northeast during this upcoming pattern. I am also concerned for the battering of beaches with astronomical high tides during the start of March, should storms meander. Needs to be watched CAREFULLY.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:01 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:gfs crush job northeast and nw of nyc, some spots see 3 ft! That LP needs stay forther south, if that had happened it would been a hecs for most.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gfs_as10

I am excited about not one but two potential biggies for the Northeast during this upcoming pattern. I am also concerned for the battering of beaches with astronomical high tides during the start of March, should storms meander. Needs to be watched CAREFULLY.

This is so typical of a March snowstorm in years gone by.The Catskills get creamed, the HV also but the areas S and E get diddly squat.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:09 am

docstox12 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:gfs crush job northeast and nw of nyc, some spots see 3 ft! That LP needs stay forther south, if that had happened it would been a hecs for most.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Gfs_as10

I am excited about not one but two potential biggies for the Northeast during this upcoming pattern. I am also concerned for the battering of beaches with astronomical high tides during the start of March, should storms meander. Needs to be watched CAREFULLY.

This is so typical of a March snowstorm in years gone by.The Catskills get creamed, the HV also but the areas S and E get diddly squat.
well as u know this is far from what will or won't happen. Is this pattern at all similar to the March 2010 super noreaster? I believe it was 2010, we had a ton of rain and wind gusts to 70mph.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Feb 24, 2018 4:51 am

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Ecmwf_11
King EURO reigns supreme! savior king
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Post by WeatherBob Sat Feb 24, 2018 6:54 am

Let’s get the snow cheer going! EURO , bom, bom, EURO, bom, bom, EURO, bom bom!!!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 24, 2018 8:57 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Ecmwf_11
King EURO reigns supreme! savior king  

That rain/snow line is very similar to the Snowicane of Feb 25-26 2010. That storm saw all rain in Red Sox Suck and most of New England from Central CT and Mass. on east. on The western side, NYC received 21 inches, Orange County 35 inches and parts of the Catskills 5 feet.

I'm not saying this storm will be anything close to that or the rain snow line will be as depicted right now, but 7 days away as depicted on the Euro it's eerily similar.

Kudos to Sroc and Amugs for picking up on this potential this early in this transition several days ago. The models seem to be catching onto our experts. At least ther's something to watch for the next several days other than Mickey's spring phenology map.
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Post by sroc4 Sat Feb 24, 2018 9:28 am

Your out of the hole Soul.

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Post by Guest Sat Feb 24, 2018 11:44 am

Funny snow map there that has no chance of verifying.  11” in Manhattan and 0” on the Nassau Suffolk border.  

I ask you folks a question.

Do you agree with me or not?

This pattern the last month is the worst I can remember in my lifetime.  we all talk about 96 as the holy grail.  We’ve had a solid month of way AN temps and very little snow during the coldest period climatologically of our winter.  The snow that did fall melted within 36 hours and we’ve had storms every three days which if it were just normal temps would have dropped 3-4 FEET area wide.   THIS SUCKS BIG TIME Tired Mad  shout

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 24, 2018 11:56 am

syosnow94 wrote:Funny snow map there that has no chance of verifying.  11” in Manhattan and 0” on the Nassau Suffolk border.  

I ask you folks a question.

Do you agree with me or not?

This pattern the last month is the worst I can remember in my lifetime.  we all talk about 96 as the holy grail.  We’ve had a solid month of way AN temps and very little snow during the coldest period climatologically of our winter.  The snow that did fall melted within 36 hours and we’ve had storms every three days which if it were just normal temps would have dropped 3-4 FEET area wide.   THIS SUCKS BIG TIME Tired Mad  shout

Don't hold back, you will never release your pent up anger until you learn to unload.
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Post by Guest Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:02 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Funny snow map there that has no chance of verifying.  11” in Manhattan and 0” on the Nassau Suffolk border.  

I ask you folks a question.

Do you agree with me or not?

This pattern the last month is the worst I can remember in my lifetime.  we all talk about 96 as the holy grail.  We’ve had a solid month of way AN temps and very little snow during the coldest period climatologically of our winter.  The snow that did fall melted within 36 hours and we’ve had storms every three days which if it were just normal temps would have dropped 3-4 FEET area wide.   THIS SUCKS BIG TIME Tired Mad  shout

Don't hold back, you will never release your pent up anger until you learn to unload.

This actually made me laugh out loud for real

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:29 pm

sroc4 wrote:Your out of the hole Soul.

Haha! cheers I've never been so happy to see a goose egg! Thanks for lookin out. Very Happy
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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Feb 24, 2018 12:47 pm

Good afternoon everyone. The first thing I'd like to say is thank you to Doc, Cp, Syo and Sroc for their condolences on the passing of my Mom and for their kind words and encouragement. Doc your right this board is like family to me. I know I haven't been posting much this season, but I've been going to Occupational Therapy trying to get my finger to bend and to try and desensitize it from feeling like I'm being shocked by a 220 volt hot wire every time I touch something. Unfortunately I'm having other problems from a misaligned pelvis. It causes extreme pain in one or both legs because it pinches the Sciatic nerve which makes your ability to walk very difficult or impossible.
I've been going to PT for that with the Therapist that rehabbed my shoulder after I had Rotator Cuff surgery. She's really helped me tremendously.
I was watching the Mets/ Professors at Penn State last night and they were doing there 12 day outlook and they were showing how in that period there would be 2 to 3 opportunities for a decent snow fall. Although they did say that it would be a complex set up for each opportunity. So KUDOS to Sroc, Mugs and the others on this board that said weeks ago that Winter isn't over quite yet.
I apologize if I posted this in the wrong thread, but I wanted to let the above mentioned that I appreciate their thoughtfulness and caring. Thanks you guys you are my family. Now bring on Winter PART II with a vengeance. I'M READY !!!!
SNOW MAN
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 24, 2018 1:03 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:Good afternoon everyone. The first thing I'd like to say is thank you to Doc, Cp, Syo and Sroc for their condolences on the passing of my Mom and for their kind words and encouragement. Doc your right this board is like family to me. I know I haven't been posting much this season, but I've been going to Occupational Therapy trying to get my finger to bend and to try and desensitize it from feeling like I'm being shocked by a 220 volt hot wire every time I touch something. Unfortunately I'm having other problems from a misaligned pelvis. It causes extreme pain in one or both legs because it pinches the Sciatic nerve which makes your ability to walk very difficult or impossible.
  I've been going to PT for that with the Therapist that rehabbed my shoulder after I had Rotator Cuff surgery. She's really helped me tremendously.
  I was watching the Mets/ Professors at Penn State last night and they were doing there 12 day outlook and they were showing how in that period there would be 2 to 3 opportunities for a decent snow fall. Although they did say that it would be a complex set up for each opportunity. So KUDOS to Sroc, Mugs and the others on this board that said weeks ago that Winter isn't over quite yet.
   I apologize if I posted this in the wrong thread, but I wanted to let the above mentioned that I appreciate their thoughtfulness and caring. Thanks you guys you are my family. Now bring on Winter PART II with a vengeance. I'M READY !!!!

Snowie,

Welcome back and my deepest sympathies and sympathies on the passing of your mom. I did not know this and we are all here for you in spirit and prayers if you need anything.
Now I see why you weren't around and that finger is making life hard for you to post on here I am sure!!
Have that therapist do her magic and get you ready for this stretch upcoming my man.
I love to see that you are back here and the yuo want this period to be like Crazy Eddie...............
Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 34 Giphy

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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