March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

sroc4 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:All but me, only 3"...

Well again it just goes to show like anything else in this world you can never please everyone all of the time.  Sorry Brotha.  I believe the Aresian only gets a couple as well.  At least 95% of the board members would be happy.  Although Im sure those who would get 6 would complain and say they wanted 12.  Can never win

sroc4 wrote:And because its text I hope that didnt come off the wrong way.  Im not trying to be a smart ass or a jerk.  

I have a fridge full of wine and beer, you think I care?

I'm fine with the Euro verifying. If it's not going to be my winter, I'd like to see it be the board's as much as possible.

Accuweather snow probability for 1to3 is now higher than their 3 to 6 go figure model huggin nyc 11207

Bernie! He's confident in a 6-12" snow for NYC & Philly, is changing his snowfall map soon he said.

adamfitz1969 wrote:

I selfishly wish every map ever posted from now on here looks identical to this.

syosnow94 wrote:

adamfitz1969 wrote:

I selfishly wish every map ever posted from now on here looks identical to this.

Haha that is a beautiful sight.

mikeypizano wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:All but me, only 3"...

Well again it just goes to show like anything else in this world you can never please everyone all of the time.  Sorry Brotha.  I believe the Aresian only gets a couple as well.  At least 95% of the board members would be happy.  Although Im sure those who would get 6 would complain and say they wanted 12.  Can never win

sroc4 wrote:And because its text I hope that didnt come off the wrong way.  Im not trying to be a smart ass or a jerk.  

I have a fridge full of wine and beer, you think I care?

you'll be too drunk to notice what falls and what doesn't lol

I thought I was the only one on here who drinks 1 beer per inch during a storm?  Although to be honest I’ve moved to bourbon.  Knob Creek 100 proof. I go 1/2” pour per inch that falls. Hoping for a Frankzilla one day so I can pass out!

EURO Ensembles say game on

Frank_Wx wrote:

As close to an all board win scenario as we’ve seen in awhile. You still give the EURO as much respect as the NAM Frank?

EPS snow map

15z SREF plumes:

ISP 6.90"

LGA: 6.76"

JFK 6.40"

EWR 6.50"

Looks like most get 6-12 says Euro.

Looks like Europe vs America. I’m a USA guy all the way but in this case?

amugs wrote:EPS MOMMA MIA!!!!!!

I’d sign for this verbatim no question.

syosnow94 wrote:I thought I was the only one on here who drinks 1 beer per inch during a storm?  Although to be honest I’ve moved to bourbon.  Knob Creek 100 proof.  I go 1/2” pour per inch that falls.  Hoping for a Frankzilla one day so I can pass out!

Maybe Sun into Monday/Tues storm - Archimbault Event - Heather rules!!!!!!

syosnow94 wrote:

amugs wrote:EPS MOMMA MIA!!!!!!

I’d sign for this verbatim no question.  

Me to - and remember this is a mean!

RJB8525 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:All but me, only 3"...

Well again it just goes to show like anything else in this world you can never please everyone all of the time.  Sorry Brotha.  I believe the Aresian only gets a couple as well.  At least 95% of the board members would be happy.  Although Im sure those who would get 6 would complain and say they wanted 12.  Can never win

sroc4 wrote:And because its text I hope that didnt come off the wrong way.  Im not trying to be a smart ass or a jerk.  

I have a fridge full of wine and beer, you think I care?

you'll be too drunk to notice what falls and what doesn't lol

syosnow94 wrote:I thought I was the only one on here who drinks 1 beer per inch during a storm?  Although to be honest I’ve moved to bourbon.  Knob Creek 100 proof.  I go 1/2” pour per inch that falls.  Hoping for a Frankzilla one day so I can pass out!

I like Evan Williams, also love me some Kraken spiced rum..

Bernie Rain-O says SNOW-O!


"I will have a periscope later. I believe the precip shield on the NW side of the surface storm is larger and heavier than shown on some of the guidance. that is why NYC to PHL is in the 6-12 including eastern Pa and N NJ.Can see the 3-6 back into Harrisburg. rain/snow line in bos"

One thing I have noticed with time is the inverse correlation between the SREF snow trend and the NAM snow trend. Take late last night for example. The 3Z SREF snow mean for NYC decreased while the 6Z NAM snow for NYC increased. Then late morning, while the 9Z SREF snow mean for NYC increased, the 12Z NAM snow for NYC decreased.

The 15Z SREF snow mean for NYC increased. If the correlation persists, the 18Z NAM snow for NYC would decrease.

Math23x7 wrote:One thing I have noticed with time is the inverse correlation between the SREF snow trend and the NAM snow trend.  Take late last night for example.  The 3Z SREF snow mean for NYC decreased while the 6Z NAM snow for NYC increased.  Then late morning, while the 9Z SREF snow mean for NYC increased, the 12Z NAM snow for NYC decreased.

The 15Z SREF snow mean for NYC increased.  If the correlation persists, the 18Z NAM snow for NYC would decrease.

I was just about to comment on this hahaha how different they are for being based on the dynamical core. 18z running now!